So the numbers are telling us Colts/Seahawks?l

[fla]

I'll be the first to admit that I've been average at best since Halloween after a very good start, but both games show public perception issues vs. the line and movement imo. Thinking of going very big on both and Colts ml.

Colts/Pats

New England, the best that the AFC has to offer, beats Indy decisively in Indy earlier this year. Line opens at 7 (low imo) and is bet down to 6.5 with 50/50 action.

Seahawks/Pack

Relatively high open at 7' based on the way Green Bay improved but the Rodgers injury confuses me as far as perception. Still Green Bay is being bet at practically 2 to 1 right now and the line went back up to 7' after a couple of days at 7.

The way I approach any game is motivation (even obviously) and line movement in relation to public perception. Both seem to be fairly solid system plays. Vegas wins as usual so we side with them.

What do we think my friends?

Signed,

Someone who thinks he still knows football but went fairly heavy on the Ducks.

 

[gardenweasel]

one interesting item I took away from last weekend...the way those colt def. backs(particularly vontae davis) seemed to know where the Denver receivers were going before the receivers seemed to know it...they were in the Denver receiver`s pockets the whole game.....

maybe manning missing on several intermediate to deep routes early gave them confidence...but they really took the short Denver passing game completely away....and that`s brady`s bread and butter.....

was it all manning?...or are the colt d.b.`s really catching fire at just the right time?

 

[ET4646]

one interesting item I took away from last weekend...the way those colt def. backs(particularly vontae davis) seemed to know where the Denver receivers were going before the receivers seemed to know it...they were in the Denver receiver`s pockets the whole game.....

maybe manning missing on several intermediate to deep routes early gave them confidence...but they really took the short Denver passing game completely away....and that`s brady`s bread and butter.....

was it all manning?...or are the colt d.b.`s really catching fire at just the right time?

I still say if manning is healthy they win that game 38-24:mj07:

 

[gardenweasel]

I still say if manning is healthy they win that game 38-24:mj07:

it cost me...I had Denver in a teaser...after denver`s first drive I was already plotting my next astute strategic move with my Denver winnings....

by the mid-point of the third qtr I was shitting razor wire....

 

[ET4646]

it cost me...I had Denver in a teaser...after denver`s first drive I was already plotting my next astute strategic move with my Denver winnings....

by the mid-point of the third qtr I was shitting razor wire....

Im square teasing this if a gimpy Rodgers can beat Seattle or Luck can beat NE at home after beating Denver on the road they can have my money:shrug:

 

[gardenweasel]

Im square teasing this if a gimpy Rodgers can beat Seattle or Luck can beat NE at home after beating Denver on the road they can have my money:shrug:

yeah,i guess mine was square as square can be.....I just didn`t see Denver`s offense breaking down so definitively at home in such a big game....

on the bright side,when the zombie plague finally hits,hopefully they`ll see this thread and figure weasel`s house would be the last place to come and look for brains....:facepalm:

f-ck !!

 

[Scrapman]

yeah,i guess mine was square as square can be.....I just didn`t see Denver`s offense breaking down so definitively at home in such a big game....

on the bright side,when the zombie plague finally hits,hopefully they`ll see this thread and figure weasel`s house would be the last place to come and look for brains....:facepalm:

f-ck !!

GW buddy you got hosed as many others did because of lame weak injury reports on Manning!

IF you watched game away @ Bengals you would have seen it coming ..


BUT final home game huge Chalk vs dumping Raiders big win 44- 17 and giving donkeys rest ..but didnt matter they were forced #2 seed win or lose week 17 SO as all Squares do you think broncos are back after posting up 44 points

soon as i sawsquaresville hammer spread to as high as 10 and locals upped to 10 1/2 i said wow you sure you wanna lay that spread ? Tony says yes Bill buddy 10 1/2!! ok pal whats the Money line ?

Broncos - 9 millon LOL ok so colts are what? +425 ok buddy Colts to win game for $200 :00hour

 

[Franchise_Davis]

I too have been less than average since a good 1st half of the season.


Looking at history for the Pats, in AFC title games they win by 7 or more. I figure this is because of the adjustments made in 1 week. The Pats coaches are able to make more adjustments in one week of practice than their opponents.

Once it comes to the Super Bowl both teams can make the necessary adjustments in 2 weeks. That's when the Pats end up winning by 3 or losing.

Short adjustment period favors the Pats staff and Brady.

Pats cover, win easy