Some early bites for next Sunday

[TheShrimp]

SD +3 +110
BUFF +3 +105

I had those same lines so I bit early at the better than even money.

If you like SD +3.5 -110, or Jets +3.5 -110 any better, wait a while.

Both at SIA.

 

[TheShrimp]

Already played:
SD +3 +110
BUFF +3 +105

Those are no longer available.

Adding
TENN ML (1.3 -> 1)
KC/SEA u 43.5 (1.1->1)
TB -3 (1 -> 1)
CHI -5.5 (1.1 -> 1) [if this hits 6.5 or 7 @ SIA on sunday, consider it "bought back"]


Year: 35-35-1 -.85

GL

 

[TheShrimp]

One more note:

At SIA they had TENN -2.5 -120, and TENN on the ML at -130.

Considering you usually get charged "10" to get a half point (buy 3.5 to 3 for -120 instead of -110), that -130 is by far the way to go with this one.

 

[TheShrimp]

1-5 Yesterday

36-40-1 YTD. -5.35

The thing is, yesterday I was much worse than that. Obviously, I play more games than I post.

I add CLE, but also wound up on ZONA, CARO, NE (-7.5). Just a rotten day. How I was so far off on the KC total, and that CARO game, I just don't know. I really thought we'd see the improving KC shut down SEA, while running the clock with the ground game.

Fortunately I had a great day SAT in college foots, going 9-6, and had MICH (L) and VIRG (W) on the ML, for some cash.

The damn thing is, I'm having a great year in college which I don't feel good about at all and play basically for "action", and a rotten year at the pros, where every sunday I go into the games feeling great. Total pros this year, I'm actually down a couple hundred, but college I'm up about that much. I do much more reading about and looking at the pro game, but I'm just not hitting.

Last year, I hit both thanksgiving games, and then went on a tear, so I'm confident that I'll start finding the edges again. The year before I was about .500 going into december, and took off late too, so I'm just starting the engines right now.

Gonna add a little PHI tonight. SIA is offering 7.5. The stingy PHI D and the atrocious kicking game of SF have got me loving the 7.5. Now losing McNabb is detrimental, but PHI, while putting up good offensive numbers, is really more about their 'D'. SFs last 3 they've put up 23, 20, and 17. I don't expect too much more out of them tonight.

That total looks low at first glance, but i'm leaning towards the under on it. Hoping for a 20-17 PHI victory tonight.

Adding:
PHI +7.5 (1.1->1)
PHI +285 (.4 -> 1.1)

 

[TheShrimp]

last night: 2-0 +2.1
week: 3-5
Year: 38-40-1 -3.25

Well, that was just a cherry on top of a hit sundae. I was feeling good abotu this one, and almoist doubled up before game time, but I've had that feeling before and gotten ripped. Can't put too much on the line with the replacement coming in, too.

One thing I can say is that if I wasn't for the VIG, I'd be ahead right now. If that "-3.25" seems too high for being 38-40, its because I've hit several ML's this year.

Someone said in a thread yesterday something to the effect, "what you got here is a division leader, with a #3 defense, getting a touchdown". Sometimes it does seem that easy.

I've been waiting for this dog out of SF. I think they're 5-6 ATS and I've bet against them (in my threads) with SEA, OAK, WASH, ZONA, STL. They've killed me.

I'm not closing the book on them or anything, but I don't think they beat GB, TB, ATL, NO, or PHI in the playoffs.

I don't think I'm playing either T-day game. Maybe DALL on the ML.