Some early leans.....

Fabulous

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I have just got the capping process underway and a few jump out at me for this week.

Dallas pick

The Boys are a very streaky team but the do play well at home. While the Skins are a pretty poor road team. The big factor in this game is that Dallas has won the last 9 meetings with Wahington! I think this will be a defensive war, (or maybe just a couple of shitty offenses) but Dallas will come out with a victory for their 10th straight.

Doggy of the week

Buffalo +2.5

When I first saw the line I thought to myself that Miami was the sure play. They have looked very impressive with back to back blowouts and what in the hell happened to Buffalo and the Bledsoe MVP talk? Despite my orignal lean I found some very intersting info about this game. First off, both of Miami's impressive wins were at home, where they play very well. On the road is another story for them. They are 5-1 at home and 2-3 on the road. Another huge factor is the weather. It looks at this point that the game is going to be cold as hell and snowing. Knowing this and Miami's inability to play on the road in December because of the cold weather. Miami is always a team that is great out of the box but struggle late as their warm blood turns to ice in the winter and they play very lathargic. This line should move in my favor too. Hopefully 3.5 by gametime.

Thats it for now, I have a few over/under plays I like but will keep looking at the games.

Be back in a bit with more
 

Fabulous

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Another play I love.

KC -9.5

I like KC a lot here. They are good against the spread but Arizona?s average margin of loss in their last 3 is 22 points! KC is 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 and Zona is 0-6 ATS in their last 6. KC?s defense is poor but they are a better at home. They average giving up 23.2 points per game at home while they give up 33.3 on the road. Arizona will not be able to stop Priest Holmes. KC wins 45-24. Run with the over too!
 

Fabulous

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Adding Denver -3

Denver is 3-1-1 ATS on the road this season and SD is 7-14 in their last 21 at home. SD has not been playhing very well of late and Denver is 7-0 in day games. Denver will bounce back here and win this game by 10 or more because they match up well with SD. Denver has a very good rush defense and SD's strength lies within LaDainian Thomlinson. Denvers defense will bottle him up and the overrated Drew Brees will not get it done. I like the under in this game too.
 

Fabulous

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Another Biggy

Oakland -6

I know the Jets are hot but so is Oakland. Jets have won 4 in a row, Oakland 3 in a row. Jets are 5-1 SU/ATS in last 6 games overall, but are only 1-3 ATS as the dog this season. Oakland is 4-2 SU/ATs in the last 6 meetings between these two. Oakland is 7-2 ATS in last 9 against the AFC East. These trends dont giveway to much of a lean but I feel Oakland is a much better team. Chad Pennington is a very accurate QB but will have some serious troubles with Oaklands tough secondary and their newly found pass rush. I love Oakland on Monday nites they are a very seasoned team that knows how to perform well under the spotlight, ask NE and Pittsburg both Sunday nite games and ask Denver (Monday nite). I look for Oakland to win this game 35-17.
 
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Fabulous

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3-1 so far, Denver bit me pretty good, Elam would be the last person I would expect to shank a game winning field goal. I seem to be the only one in this forum on Oakland tonite. I also like the over.
 

c20916

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I am with you on Oakland, i saw some people on Oakland earlier, but your right now it seems the JET backers are coming out.

I see Radiers winning 35-20:clap: :Yep: :spotting: :toast:
 

Fabulous

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Streamwood, IL? Im in Woodridge, IL. Lets hope Illinois represents tonite with a big Oakland win.
 
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