Someone help me understand these Week 6 Lines

[UGA12]

I am admittedly not very good at capping football, but a few of these I just dont get. Someone help me understand.

clem -10 vs GT------This is the same GT that just lost by 20+ to Middle Tennessee State, no?

Penn St -4 vs Northwestern-------Northwestern is off to one of the best starts in school history and penn st is well, going through what they are going through.

FSU -13.5 vs NC st.-----------They were giving that up to Clemson, dont give a shit that its at state, this makes no sense.

Mich -3 vs Purdue---------I would imagine this will be the squarest play of the weekend.

Virginia Tech +4 vs NC--------:facepalm:



A couple that I would just like others opinions on are also below. I dont necessarily think the lines are off in these, just like to hear what others think as I have some pretty strong leans on these early:toast:

LSU -3.5 vs Fla

South Carolina -2.5 vs UGA

 

[azbob]

Clemson has failed to get any respect from the linesmaker or the betting public to date as last week they opened at -9.5 and went down to -7 albeit with reports of illness affecting the team.

GT failed to show up against MTS and paid for it in a game, in which, they were dominated physically. Clemson is not as physical but, makes up for that with speed.

Give them a competent kicker and PS could be undefeated. They manhadled Illinois but, so has everyone else so probably too much emphasis in their performance in that game. Lack of depth should catch up to them at some point and I'll be checking their injury report.

I liked how NCSt held it together versus Miami and actually came back late to tie. Hopefully this line crosses 14.

I like Florida and S Carolina. Florida had a wee to prepare and, unless LSU is hiding their A game on both offense and defense, they are very over-rated.

S Carolina is the best team I have seen other than Alabama. I think they got a wake-up call at Kentucky and they have a great defense to counter GA...somethng the Bulldogs have not encoutered yet this year.

FYI...in early looks I like Syracuse, Air Force, Tulsa and Miami, FLA.

Good luck.

 

[capping-guru]

Completely agree on the Purdue game.......line looks FAR too good to be true!!

PSU falls into the unranked home fav over a ranked opponent. I still like NW though.

 

[Mr. Poon]

agree with you on the FSU and Michigan games.

Northwestern is slowly gaining momentum/pub, but look at their schedule. Their FBS opponents have a total of 1 victory over another FBS school, and that is Idiana over UMass (1st year in FBS).

I have seen Northwestern in person and while their offense is humming and they have multiple weapons and are successfully rotating QB's, their Defense is really slow and will give up a ton of yards and points in conference play.

 

[TLankford]

Corley

Corley

MISSISSIPPI STATE +14.5 AT KENTUCKY

Corley. Did half of your team die in a plane crash over the weekend?

 

[the addict]

MISSISSIPPI STATE +14.5 AT KENTUCKY

Corley. Did half of your team die in a plane crash over the weekend?

Haha this line confused me...


Along with all of ugas...



Psu will win

Ncst will..........win.....yup pull off upset.....

Georgia will win

Unc will win

Purdue will win

 

[UGA12]

MISSISSIPPI STATE +14.5 AT KENTUCKY

Corley. Did half of your team die in a plane crash over the weekend?

Yeah I didnt put that one on my above list because it was an obvious mistake. State -14.5 still seems a little low if I had to play it.

 

[Master Capper]

If you have not noticed, Clemson has a absolutely brutal defense. I'm not saying take NCST. Clemson was only a 7 point favorite on the road against a very weak BC, so the line seems high to me.

 

[TLankford]

After watching NCST/UM game last week, I can't bet on NCST against any team with a semblance of a passing game. Worst secondary I've ever seen in my life and that's saying a lot considering I've been forced to watch Auburn games the last 3 years

 

[Pete Rose]

After watching NCST/UM game last week, I can't bet on NCST against any team with a semblance of a passing game. Worst secondary I've ever seen in my life and that's saying a lot considering I've been forced to watch Auburn games the last 3 years

Hmm, did you see the Baylor-West Virginia game?

 

[the addict]

Hmm, did you see the Baylor-West Virginia game?

No zecondary could've slowed thme down last week....literally that is what they mean when they say a perfect storm.....everything went perfect....

 

[birdieman]

SC - GA South Carolina has won the last two meetings. Connor Shaw is a better QB than Garcia was (12-1) as a starter. Shaw is completing 78% of his passes this year. The Georgia defense couldn't stop Lattimore the last two years and now you add a running QB to the mix?

The SC defense is nasty. Murray has been turnover prone against good defenses. Clowney and Taylor may be the best DE combo in the country. On third down plays SC has 4 DE in the game. They are #2 in the country in sacks with 22. Ga has 8.

Ga is also 1 of the most penalized teams in the NCAA this year(90th). SC is 20th.

If Ga can't disrupt Shaw it will be a long day for Ga.

 

[TLankford]

Hmm, did you see the Baylor-West Virginia game?

Yes I watched that game.

Baylor offense and WV offense are lightyears ahead of Miami. They were working the ball down the field all game. Both QBs were on the money. Both defenses tried to play bend don't break D.

Miami got lucky against NCST. Call it that or call it NCST having the worst secondary in the country. I'm okay with either of them. UM QB completed a hair over 50% of his passes. Had several plays where they were obvious passing downs and no trickeration at all and the UM WR was just wide the hell open.

This includes the hail mary, yes hail mary where a WR was 5 yards behind 3 different defenders, who HAD to be playing prevent and were just terrible at it.

I think ND is about to send UM back down to the panhandle with a D in their ass this weekend