1st round: 10-6 +4.4
2nd round: 2-2 +0.19
3rd round: 8-0 +7.59
overall: x-y +12.something:mj06:
As I said previously, I think that this will be a great series to watch but perhaps not a very profitable one. I've been considering the lines since they've opened and I'm remaining pretty clueless as to how to play it. Will put in my two cents regardless as my record this postseason, I believe, earns me that right.
The best play that I see, right now, appears to be the over 4.5 games, but -745 presents little value
. I was tempted by the Penguins series early line at +150 but it's dropped quite a bit. Had a chance to snag Detroit at -150 for the series and that's gone now, too. Think I prefer the former but I'd say that a 60-40 call, Wings, looks reasonable so really no value either way, by that assessment.
I'm thinking that home teams are looking quite good for most games, depending on how things develop. Can't touch the Wings in game #1, though, at the price and without seeing them square off at least once. They never met regular season so not much to go on there, though at this point in time we're probably better to go by recent performances anyway.
Over 6.5 games for +170? I could see it happening, unless the Penguins grab one of 1,2 or 5 in which case they might close it in 6...passing on the super-series play, though that would be the most entertaining (to watch, not to bet).
I don't make much of the Wings dropping those two to Dallas as, after dropping game #4 I think that they were just a little too complacent for game #5 at home, and then they showed what they were made of in game #6. Penguins dropping the game #4 doesn't say much either; perhaps that they are pretty much unbeatable at home, perhaps.
Just rambling on, I suppose, but it might help me if no one else. As mentioned, I say that there's no way we see a sweep here.
Player props don't appeal, either. Crosby and Zetterberg are too expensive for who their paired up with and Malkin vs Zetterberg seems to favour the Wing. Penguins may scheme to shut down Zetterberg (if they're smart) but I still wouldn't fade him on a prop. Nothing for me here.
Right now my only real temptation, for game #1, is the under. I think that both teams play exceptional defense and have great puck control skills, not to mention that for the opener both may play it cool and try to feel the opponent out. Fleury may be the slightly better goalie while the Wings have the better defense. I'd like to see a shots on goal prop as I'd be tempted by an under 50 for game #1. The 5.5 I'm considering, but I'd like to see it come down in price some--at even money I'd give it a shot but it won't drop that much. Both teams have players who can score but I think that defense will dominate game #1. Franzen, for the Wings, should miss game #1, at least. Players will have been off for a while as well, which could make for a slow start; slow being at least a period, perhaps two, but I don't like playing under 1.5's for the first period--way too risky in my opinion.
I, for one, see no value...yet. Might try that under or, better yet, wait to see what happens.
Should be fun.
Was the matchup I was hoping for.
Home teams looks good, in my opinion.
Maybe the Penguins in game #2 if they lose a close one, but we won't likely see +150 for that.
Can't touch the Penguins until I see them compete--yes, I think that Philly was that bad (Stars, too, relative to their opponent(s)()).
Let's see some glory for Cole Harbour, Nova Scotia.
Penguins in 7.
(in double overtime)
:0corn
2nd round: 2-2 +0.19
3rd round: 8-0 +7.59
overall: x-y +12.something:mj06:
As I said previously, I think that this will be a great series to watch but perhaps not a very profitable one. I've been considering the lines since they've opened and I'm remaining pretty clueless as to how to play it. Will put in my two cents regardless as my record this postseason, I believe, earns me that right.
The best play that I see, right now, appears to be the over 4.5 games, but -745 presents little value
. I was tempted by the Penguins series early line at +150 but it's dropped quite a bit. Had a chance to snag Detroit at -150 for the series and that's gone now, too. Think I prefer the former but I'd say that a 60-40 call, Wings, looks reasonable so really no value either way, by that assessment.I'm thinking that home teams are looking quite good for most games, depending on how things develop. Can't touch the Wings in game #1, though, at the price and without seeing them square off at least once. They never met regular season so not much to go on there, though at this point in time we're probably better to go by recent performances anyway.
Over 6.5 games for +170? I could see it happening, unless the Penguins grab one of 1,2 or 5 in which case they might close it in 6...passing on the super-series play, though that would be the most entertaining (to watch, not to bet).
I don't make much of the Wings dropping those two to Dallas as, after dropping game #4 I think that they were just a little too complacent for game #5 at home, and then they showed what they were made of in game #6. Penguins dropping the game #4 doesn't say much either; perhaps that they are pretty much unbeatable at home, perhaps.
Just rambling on, I suppose, but it might help me if no one else. As mentioned, I say that there's no way we see a sweep here.
Player props don't appeal, either. Crosby and Zetterberg are too expensive for who their paired up with and Malkin vs Zetterberg seems to favour the Wing. Penguins may scheme to shut down Zetterberg (if they're smart) but I still wouldn't fade him on a prop. Nothing for me here.
Right now my only real temptation, for game #1, is the under. I think that both teams play exceptional defense and have great puck control skills, not to mention that for the opener both may play it cool and try to feel the opponent out. Fleury may be the slightly better goalie while the Wings have the better defense. I'd like to see a shots on goal prop as I'd be tempted by an under 50 for game #1. The 5.5 I'm considering, but I'd like to see it come down in price some--at even money I'd give it a shot but it won't drop that much. Both teams have players who can score but I think that defense will dominate game #1. Franzen, for the Wings, should miss game #1, at least. Players will have been off for a while as well, which could make for a slow start; slow being at least a period, perhaps two, but I don't like playing under 1.5's for the first period--way too risky in my opinion.
I, for one, see no value...yet. Might try that under or, better yet, wait to see what happens.
Should be fun.
Was the matchup I was hoping for.
Home teams looks good, in my opinion.
Maybe the Penguins in game #2 if they lose a close one, but we won't likely see +150 for that.
Can't touch the Penguins until I see them compete--yes, I think that Philly was that bad (Stars, too, relative to their opponent(s)()).
Let's see some glory for Cole Harbour, Nova Scotia.
Penguins in 7.
(in double overtime)
:0corn
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