STEAM PLAYS for Sunday 010729

N

Never Caught Up

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FTSM PLAYS
3 - 1 +369 Saturday
5 - 4 +289 YTD
3 - 1 +406 YTD Underdogs
2 - 3 -117 YTD Favorites (Lines on 3 losing favorites was -102, -105 & -110)
For explainatiion of FTSM (stands for Follow the Smart Money) plays see this post: http://www.madjacksports.com/ubb/Forum2/HTML/007668.html

Notes: The FTSM PLAYS system called the Kansas City Royals +230 and the Tampa Bay Devil Rays +149 wins Saturday. At this time it appears to be working better on underdogs than on favorites.



STEAM PLAYS
0 - 3 -380 Saturday
1 - 4 -390 YTD
For explaination of STEAM PLAYS system see this post: http://www.madjacksports.com/ubb/Forum2/HTML/007659.html

Note: The STEAM PLAYS were really hot before I started posting them on here. They are cold right now, but one of the plays was the Houston Game #1 with the ninth inning loss yesterday to the Pirates. A win there would have changed the stats a lot. Since the majority of the STEAM PLAYS are currently being triggered on totals I am not breaking them down by favorites and underdogs.

Today's plays if and when they happen will be posted in this thread.

[This message has been edited by Never Caught Up (edited 07-29-2001).]
 
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Billy Barooooooo

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Since I have been watching this steam play. I have noticed that in the beginning of the week they are hot and during the weekend they are not. My guess is the weekend players are in vegas. Just my thoughts. I went against them this weekend and last.
Billy Barooooooo
 
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goldcupsports

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Never Caught up,

Check out Tip-ex Lots of movement on the Dogers game. Looks like they are playing the dog. To be honest I hope the keep taking the price down on Baldwin today I think he will pitch very well versus the rockies.
 
W

woodpony

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goldcupsports, I agree with the Dodgers, the way they have been playing no matter who pitches makes this a great play IMO. But I also think Baldwin will pitch his ass off in debut.

glta
 
N

Never Caught Up

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Interesting line movement as you say, but I can't read anything into it. Offshore they have beat the Dodger line down to as low as -127 at Sports Market. Nevada lines are holding the Dodgers high with Leroy's and Excalibur both at -140 back to +130. Pinnacle is at -132 back to +124 which I call a mugwomp line. They sitting on the fence (right in the middle) with their mug on one side and their womp on the other.

If I had to read something into this I would discount the Nevada lines because of the California action bias in town for the weekend and look at the rest. That would make the smart money appear to be on the Dodgers.
 
N

Never Caught Up

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Another interesting note: Pinnacle is staying below market on Seattle like they did on Texas yesterday. The system has already generated a play on the Twins at +155 and if Pinnacle continues to accumulate Mariner action the rest of the day I may load the boat on Minnesota like we did last night on Tampa Bay, but not quite as heavy as I loaded last night's boat. I nearly had a heart attack last night when Texas tied it in the bottom of the ninth. I don't want to die doing this.
smile.gif
 
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JohnWise

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You don't know how good I feel knowing that Minnesota is getting action. Whether or not they win, I feel like I actually knew something. Feel my chest expanding as I write.
 
G

goldcupsports

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I think the closer to game time you will see more upward movement @ pinnacle and other offshore books. I would keep a close eye on this line the rest of the day.
 
N

Never Caught Up

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Note: If Pinnacle would just lower their line on OAK just one more cent (with all other lines staying the same) it would generate a FTSM play on KAN. While I am not going to cheat the system and make a play out of one that isn't quite there, my wallet is going to put a little on the Royals. They were sweet to us yesterday at +230 and today at +190 they don't look too bad.
 
N

Never Caught Up

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ALERT!!!!

We have already posted MIN +155 as a FTSM PLAY, but it gets even better. Just like they did yesterday on Texas, Pinnacle has lowered the line on SEA another cent after being the cheapest all day long. The best you could get anywhere that takes big action was and still is -159. Pinnacle has been at -158. They just dropped the line to -157. They would only do this if they are taking a position on the game and they haven't accumulated enough SEA action to meet their goal and want some more. In effect Pinnacle is betting on MIN at +158.

I am getting out my little red wagon and filling it with Minnesota Twins green at +155.

[This message has been edited by Never Caught Up (edited 07-29-2001).]
 
N

Never Caught Up

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Pinnacle finally raised their line on SEA to -163, which basically is saying to me, "OK. We have accumulated all the SEA -158 and -159 we want. Let's get back into the mainstream at SEA -163 with everybody else."

That still leaves them at +153 on the backside which won't be that attractive to MIN players who can get +155 elsewhere.

If all my writing is confusing everyone I will stop and just put up the plays. I just thought some of you might find it interesting to know why (as well as what). Let me know.

NCU

[This message has been edited by Never Caught Up (edited 07-29-2001).]
 
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