Stole this from ddubs post

[Penguinfan]

But it is definatly worth mentioning in a thread of it's own.

And you absolutely NEED to find books that offer ML, especially on the doggies. There's no reason to bet on a dog if you don't think it's gonna win out right. Plus if the game ends in a tie, you don't lose any money. The extra 50 cents is not worth it, and will cost you more winnings over the long run.

Other than picking the winners for you, this is the absolute best possible advice you can get for betting hockey. In all seriousness the books would certainly rather you did not ever realize this!

ddubs, I really thought twice before hi-jacking ya there, but that was worth mentioning for sure, hope you don't mind.

Penguinfan

 

[ddubs]

No probs, penguinfan. I don't know if that's the best advice, but IMHO, if you're gonna be betting dogs and small favs exclusively like I am, then ML is an absolute must.

On the other hand, if you're a big fav player, then playing ML is a sure and quickest way to the poor house.

Good luck this season!

 

[Penguinfan]

ddubs, I guess I quoted too much their, I was referring to the part about not betting on a team unless you think they will win. The money you throw away by taking the +.5 goals is not not fair value just because you win in a tie situation, especially if you have to cross the line into a negative juice area. It has never made sense to me that people will take a half goal and lay 20 cents instead of getting money on the plus side taking the ML. Something people forget to factor in is what happens when your team loses outright, now you have lost 120 instead of 100 and that really adds up and people just don't realize it. I usually play small dogs and small favorites and I think laying a half goal on a favorite is just as evil with the possible exception of crossing the line the other way from negative to positive juice, sometimes.

Hope that all makes sense, it's just that I have seen many cappers hit close to 60% or better in hockey and lose their entire bankroll because of bad wagering.

Good luck this puck season, I look to be around this forum with some plays this year as often as possible.

Penguinfan

 

[Gorki]

I dont like to generalize that. Whether I'll take ML or +1/2 depends on line and game itself. I'll take +1/2 dog if I expect tight defensive game and I don't want to waste my +200 dog because of a tie.

When I'm taking dogs I don't think they'll win. I just think they have better chance to win then my book think and the play is value.