STRONG Mich/Minn Prop

Prop Master

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Oct 3, 2003
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YTD 4-1 +8 units

This is easily my strongest prop play of the college football season to date...

John Navarre - Total Completions - Must Play
10-10-03 315 Completions off off o19.5(-115)
8:00 PM Completions off off u19.5(-115)

5.75 units to win 5 UNDER

In Michigan's 6 games this year, only twice has Navarre cracked 20 completions. Those two times, he attemped 55 and 49 passes, which is well above his season average.

Minnesota has only allowed one team to complete 20 passes (Northwestern 21/34 split between 2 QBs), though every team but Ohio has attempted at least 31 passes.

In the last two seasons, Navarre's average comp/att was 17/32 (2001), and 21/39 (2002). HOWEVER, in those two seasons, his numbers vs Minnesota were 12/22 and 15/26...significantly less than his season average. This season, he comes in averaging 19/35 per game. Based on the numbers, he should finish somewhere around 14/24, if the trend continues. With Chris Perry playing a larger role in the offense this season, expect that to happen.

GL

-PM
 

Prop Master

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Oct 3, 2003
8
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Oh well...things looked great at the half. Minny started giving up those short routes and it helped Navarre get in a groove. His 2nd half was one of the best halves of football I've seen a QB play this year. Great game anyway.

-PM

YTD 4-2 +2.25 units
 
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