terps game was kinda weird. 99% of the game was played within the moneyline-to-spread-chalk range. so i never really felt like my +6 bet would do anything but cash, but at the same time, never felt like my terps moneyline had any shot to cash either. linesmaker was pretty damn sharp on that game. but glad terps covered. for thursday, a strong card:
3.5 units.....charlotte (+12) over marquette
2.0 units.....wake forest moneyline (+105) over tech
2.0 units....akron (-1) over miami
briefly:
on charlotte
*niners coming off a convincing, confidence building win
*also, charlotte outplayed marquette in the 1st meeting and just couldnt finish the job at the end. at very worst, theyve got the confidence that they can compete with this team
*significant line swing from 1st meeting. charlotte goes from a -1.5 favorite to a +12 point dog. im a little surprised this line is double digits. i think charlotte plays within the number the entire game- not really threatening marquette for the outright, but just hanging around. they shoot the 3 well enough to always be knocking on the backdoor if need be as well
on wake
*went against em vs maryland, but jumping back on em here.
*even though i dont like going against the unranked favorite system, which is as good a system as there is- i gotta do it here. i DONT buy that wake will be a public choice here, especially with them getting waxed a few days ago vs maryland, and everybody knows tech is nails at home. theres no "public choice" in this game imo. tech has already proven they have one of the strongest home courts in the nation
*having said that, tech didnt have an answer for howard in the 1st meeting and i dont think theyre gonna be able to stop him here either. deacons have been pretty decent on the road as well. they havent really "slipped up" vs the lower tier teams.
on akron
*not really thrilled about the line being -1 here, but ill lay it. just feel like whoever establishes their tempo wins. akron wants the game in the 80's. miami wants the game in the 60's. two completely different teams. zips just with more firepower, and i just dont feel miami will be able to keep up on the road.
3.5 units.....charlotte (+12) over marquette
2.0 units.....wake forest moneyline (+105) over tech
2.0 units....akron (-1) over miami
briefly:
on charlotte
*niners coming off a convincing, confidence building win
*also, charlotte outplayed marquette in the 1st meeting and just couldnt finish the job at the end. at very worst, theyve got the confidence that they can compete with this team
*significant line swing from 1st meeting. charlotte goes from a -1.5 favorite to a +12 point dog. im a little surprised this line is double digits. i think charlotte plays within the number the entire game- not really threatening marquette for the outright, but just hanging around. they shoot the 3 well enough to always be knocking on the backdoor if need be as well
on wake
*went against em vs maryland, but jumping back on em here.
*even though i dont like going against the unranked favorite system, which is as good a system as there is- i gotta do it here. i DONT buy that wake will be a public choice here, especially with them getting waxed a few days ago vs maryland, and everybody knows tech is nails at home. theres no "public choice" in this game imo. tech has already proven they have one of the strongest home courts in the nation
*having said that, tech didnt have an answer for howard in the 1st meeting and i dont think theyre gonna be able to stop him here either. deacons have been pretty decent on the road as well. they havent really "slipped up" vs the lower tier teams.
on akron
*not really thrilled about the line being -1 here, but ill lay it. just feel like whoever establishes their tempo wins. akron wants the game in the 80's. miami wants the game in the 60's. two completely different teams. zips just with more firepower, and i just dont feel miami will be able to keep up on the road.
