Sun Home Team Totals System

[LordofBalls]

Hi Guys.... If youve been following, then you knowwe've had 10 series winners this week...and were ahead for the week *woohooo!![ the only loser has been playing KC to go Over... if we had played them blindly, following the system we would be down for the week and wouldve lost a $500 bet y-day, and wouldve been chasing a $1000 bet today... no thanks. glad i showed some restraint lol...they were close a few times this week, but no cigar...its cold, and windy again today, and I will play it over to try to get some back... Lucena likes it... and my buddies stats like the over and its a low number at 8... so wish us luck!!


Sunday Plays
KC is a Bet # 5.....

Good Luck To All!! :00hour


** I am reprinting a response I made late last nite... to provide you with my perspective, I hope it is clear and makes sense...


Adjusting Wager Amts on Home Totals System...

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hi Spuds... and first, thanks for your input, and I understand what youre saying...

but I think when you have somewhat limited bankroll, and dont wanna give yourself a heart attack following one large bet, it doesnt hurt to be careful...
I know some people dont even start playing the system until its the 3rd or 4th bet, they miss out on alot of early winners that way, but they wont let themselves get caught chasing a 6th bet...

as you know chasing a 4th or 5th bet can lead to lots of $$$, even betting totals w/low juice, it can all add up to a wager size im uncomfortable with...

If my funds were unlimited, I would just say fuggit and bet KC Over to win $500 today... but I would be risking the amount I am ahead for the week plus more on top of that, and im not ready to do that today... result just in, KC stays under 2-0 final... saved about $450 today... whew...
Maybe it would be simpler if I didnt put the amts I am wagering in the post... to simplify things? I know my amts wagered are pretty small compared to most of you out there....

Main Goals:

1) Make $$$ profit each week...

2) Identify the teams that fit into the Home Totals System, and track their progress thru the week...

3) Once teams are identified, ck stats and see if and how they apply to that days situation... we all know there are times that certain games look way over or way under (even tho they dont always work out that way)

4) See which of the other top 'cappers line up on the same side or are lined up against me... will most likely influence the size of my wager...

5) I will attempt to update the teams and their status in this system for you all...
It is up to each individual to decide what theyre comfortable with regarding the size of their wagers each day

Summary:
While there may be times I reduce the amt of the wager, history shows the system will win the vast majority of the time... the KEY is to not get caught up chasing the huge bet, and losing...that sucks soooooo much

its worse than only winning a little... I know... Ive been there and done both with the home fav system...

I believe that sometimes youve got to be willing to reduce your amt, or even just accept the loss for that team that time... let it go...and make $$ on all the other winners that week.... and be happy with what you get... and not kick myself in the ass for betting so much on one friggin game...

However You Decide to play it... I wish You and all the other cappers Best of Luck, and profits each week

 

[McVegas]

Phl (over), CLE(under) and LAD (under) were plays today...all three hit. KC has been killing me with these plays. Anyway I show Bal starting tomorrow (play on TUES)....Cubs, FLA, and STL starting on Tuesday (play on WED) OAK, TOR starting on Wednesday (play on THURS) and BOS, TB, ATL, CIN starting on Friday (play on SAT)........please correct me if I'm wrong.....just trying to help. Good Luck to all.

 

[LordofBalls]

Mon Home Totals System - teams involved

Mon Home Totals System - teams involved

This is a screwy time of yr schedule-wise, lots of 5 gm homestands, homestands starting mid-wk, or starting on a friday and going into midweek...

As I mentioned last week, I look at teams that start homestands on Mon or Tues and play the rest of the wk cuz the betting wk ends Sunday for me...

I did not include Phillies, Clev, Dodgers in y-days plays (they all won) because their home series had started on Friday, and they continue at home this week, philly all week... you can include them if you want. Schedules do get more 'normal' in a month or so...


Results from Last Week 10 - 1 :00hour
*If you bet Kc the full amt, all 5 bets you lost $$, which is why I was trying to warn people about being careful, and selective...bad weather, bad hitting, shaky this early....
No bet amt has to be set in stone...
lets hope they all hit this week and the sooner the better

(Note: I will bet KC to go over next time theyre at hm, but will mark it as a loss for the system)

This Week:

1st gm Mon (Bet Tues) == Balt

1st gm Tue (Bet Wed) == Fla, Cubs, StL, Phil (Phillies starting fresh even tho been at hm 3 gms, hit y-day, hav 6 more hm gms this week)

1st gm Wed (Bet Thur) == A's, Tor


Run Line System......... can work the same way... home tms, home all week... ck last weeks results... was there one hom team that failed to win on the run line at least once?

Any thoughts on this subject?

You'd have to bet them starting game #1, but again, the advantage is... little or no juice usually, unless huge favs....
*I think these are correct, not certain, but you get the idea*
Rays -- gm 3
Tex--gm 2
RSox-- gm 1
Kc -- gm 1
WSox-- gm 1
Astros -- gm 1
Dbacks -- gm 1
Mets -- gm 2
**Nationals..... maybe wouldnt bet them at all, maybe should have a certain win %?? but they finally won outright on Sunday... i think they were dogs