Sunday Break out of Preakness

[Valuist]

Too bad. I really liked his chances. I think I'm leaning toward Medaglia D'oro right now. Looks like Booklet will give War Emblem some company on the lead; he may even get the lead from WE.

 

[Ndfan]

Also like Booklet's shot at taking the lead early from WE and if he does I don't think WE can handle the challenge. He has beaten the derby favorit Harlan's Holiday twice. I see booklet at 20/1 and 11/1 already. Do you think he will get much action come saturday? Would you bet him now at 20/1? Another longshot I'm looking into is Crimson Hero. Have seen him at 25/1 and 9/1. What are your early thoughts on this race and who do you think will be the public's favorite? Seemed Like Saarland was the sucker bet of the Derby.

 

[Valuist]

As for the two horses you mentioned, I like one and don't like the other. I like Crimson Hero to be a part of the trifecta at a big price. He ran 2nd in a huge key Allw race at GP. The winner came back to win the Withers, and the 3rd place horse just won the Lone Star Derby on Saturday. He ended up running 2nd or 3rd with a rough trip in the Lexington. At 20-1 he's very playable to hit the board. I don't like Booklet. At 20-1 I wouldn't talk you off him but at 10-1 I don't like him at all. He's a nice miler and he beat Harlan's Holiday twice as lone speed at 1 1/16 miles but the 2 times he tried him at 1 1/8 miles, HH kicked his butt. If he does clear War Emblem, he's probably going to be running too fast to last. The one chance he does have to win is if War Emblem has a problem coming out of the gate. If WE gets tangled or checked at the break, then Booklet could relax thru soft fractions; but I see that as about a 20-1 shot.

As for your question about who will be favored, I think Medaglio D'oro and War Emblem will be the top 2 betting choices, in that order.