Sunday Brunch

[Nolan Dalla]

No time for write-ups today. Here are Sunday's plays....

FIRST HALF: Dallas -3.5 vs. Denver
Mavericks roll over a team that's struggling. Nuggets play with nowhere near the instensity of the Heat (last nights loss).

FIRST HALF: Orlando -3 vs. Washington
Wizards can't rebound, and have no fast-break offense. That's bad news against a team like Orlando. Wizards are capable of a backdoor cover, but are clearly the dog here in the 1H versus a more talented lineup.

NY Knicks +6.5 vs. San Antonio
I simply don't trust the Spurs as a road favorite. They rarely put good road back-to-back games together. Tim Duncan is "on" one night, and "off" the next. Knicks getting lots of points at home is a nice value.

Charlotte -3.5 vs. Detroit
Hornets playing better recently, Pistons should be getting at least 5.5 here in my view.

Orlando/Washington UNDER 194
This total ranges from 193.5 (Stardust) to 196 at two offshore books. I got this at 194, and like the UNDER. I don't think either team reaches 97 here, which is what it takes to go OVER 194.

-- Nolan Dalla

 

[In2Sports]

Play Dal as a road fav of 4 or more points
9-2-1 ATS, Dal ?6 ?

Dal: rd fav: 13-6 ATS this yr, 30-10 ATS last 3 yrs, 34-16 ATS since 1996

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Play any team that played their LAST game AWAY & scored 100+ vs OPP that scored 85 or less. 28-10 ATS, Orl ?5 ?


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Liking Det here;

***********Det After 5-9 Point Win 6-3 SU overall & 5-2 SU away
***********Det After 5-9 Point Win 6-3 ATS overall & 5-2 ATS away (6-3 ATS < 2 days rest)

***********Char After 10-19 Point Loss 2-6 SU overall, 1-4 SU home
***********Char After 10-19 Point Loss 2-6 ATS overall, 1-4 ATS home (1-4 ATS < 2 days rest)


******Det 1 days rest 14-8 SU & 14-8 ATS, pts for 95.1 pts against 91.4, TTL = 186.6
Char 1 days rest 16-16 SU & 15-17 ATS, pts for 94.4 pts against 92.1, TTL = 186.5


Det on 1 days rest vs teams on 1 days rest 9-7 SU & 10-6 ATS
Char on 1 days rest vs teams on 1 days rest 6-11 SU & 6-11 ATS


Det is 1-1 O/U as a Dog +3 to +3 ?
Char is 3-1 O/U as a Fav -3 to -3 ?


Det w/ a TTL 185-189.5: 9-7 O/U
Char w/ a TTL 185-189.5: 12-13 O/U


***************Det 11-5 ATS vs 500+ teams away
***************Char 5-14 ATS vs 500+ teams home

*****Det day games: 0-3 ATS
*****Char day games: 3-1 ATS

Det is ****7-1 SU last 8 games, but they have faced 3 teams w/ winning records, 5 w/ losing records
Char is 4-4 SU last 8 games, but they have faced ****6 teams w/ winning records, 2 w/ losing records

Road team has covered 8 out of the last 9.

Char has won 3 SU consecutive games ONLY twice this yr:

01/07 NUGGETS 94-80 W
01/09 HAWKS 111-87 W
01/11 CLIPPERS 92-91* W

01/29 @SPURS 78-73 W
02/01 @ROCKETS 73-72 W
02/03 @GRIZZLIES 82.5 97-79 W (5 of the 6 wins were vs sub 500 teams) (Char is on a run of winning 2 SU consecutive games vs 500+ teams, beating Det would make it 3 in a row ? tough task at hand)


GL

 

[Spock]

ND

I agree .. have most of same picks .. I have the Orlando total coming in at around 192.

Washington did not play a great game last game and I am thinking Hamilton will score more this game. Also Orlando does not have the best of defences.

Mcgrady must be mad after losing the first half lead to Detroit.
Have the Over first half and Over for the game in a Parlay.

Good luck

I think the best play I thought was Dallas -3 first half .. Orlando -3 first half and Charolette -3.5 against Detroit ..

Cheers !!!
Spock