looked at all the top dogs and could not get excited with any, so i will have to lower my sights for this sunday:
anaheim/tampa
valdes' era in his last 3 starts has jumped to a whopping 7.5. his hits/bb allowed per inning has increased from a 1.1 something to close to 2 per inning, and has allowed 2.5 homers per game as opposed to none in his first four starts. he has been averaging 6 innings per start.
rekar, is slightly better in the era trend, although a fairly steady 5 era thru the season. he averages about 6 innings, although has been bombed earlier a couple of times.
two plays come out of this game:
since i rate radke about a run better per 6 innings, and given that tampa is getting +120, i will take the advantage both ways and go for tampa to win. i also expect the over to be reached by the 6-7th inning.
toronto at boston
parris looks like a streaky pitcher, although his 5 era is very steady. he should go about 6 innings and allow 3-4 runs on average.
wakefield has been an good reliever for boston this year, started a game two rotations ago, went 6 innings and allowed 3 runs. then they brought him back for relief where he was tagged for a homer in 2 innings. it is debatable what the outcome of wakefield's effort will be. if he matches his previous start, he will allow 3 runs in 6 innings, but then will he relieve himself?
i like toronto to pull the squeaker here at +125, and the totals at 10.5 seem a bit high, so again two plays.
4 plays
tampa and the over
toronto and the under
pep
pep
anaheim/tampa
valdes' era in his last 3 starts has jumped to a whopping 7.5. his hits/bb allowed per inning has increased from a 1.1 something to close to 2 per inning, and has allowed 2.5 homers per game as opposed to none in his first four starts. he has been averaging 6 innings per start.
rekar, is slightly better in the era trend, although a fairly steady 5 era thru the season. he averages about 6 innings, although has been bombed earlier a couple of times.
two plays come out of this game:
since i rate radke about a run better per 6 innings, and given that tampa is getting +120, i will take the advantage both ways and go for tampa to win. i also expect the over to be reached by the 6-7th inning.
toronto at boston
parris looks like a streaky pitcher, although his 5 era is very steady. he should go about 6 innings and allow 3-4 runs on average.
wakefield has been an good reliever for boston this year, started a game two rotations ago, went 6 innings and allowed 3 runs. then they brought him back for relief where he was tagged for a homer in 2 innings. it is debatable what the outcome of wakefield's effort will be. if he matches his previous start, he will allow 3 runs in 6 innings, but then will he relieve himself?
i like toronto to pull the squeaker here at +125, and the totals at 10.5 seem a bit high, so again two plays.
4 plays
tampa and the over
toronto and the under
pep
pep
