Sunday May 6th

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Sunday May 6th 2007

yesterday: 9-9 -2.39
May: 31-24 +8.6
ml 18-6 +9.47
rl 2-3 -0.85
totals 7-9 -1.54
parlays 4-6 +1.52
system sides now 42-25 (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)

system sides

team win% (line)value indicator

lad 54% (+110)+6
sd 66 (-150)+6 RL 52 (+111)+4
Mil 74 (-225)+4 RL 61 (-101)+10
Stl 54 (-138)-4
Cubs 57 (-145)-3
Cin 67 (-165)+4 RL 53 (+127)+8
Ariz 51 (+106)+2
phil 53 (-127)-3
Nyy 53 (-142)-6
clev 57 (-155)-4
oak 61 (-127)+5
bost 64 (-159)+2 RL 50 (+100)even
Kc 57 (-104)+6
tor 56 (-117)+2
Laa 59 (-130)+2

system totals

pitt@Mil ov8 69% (-120)+14
phil@Sf un8.5 65 (-115)+11
seat@Nyy un11 67 (-115)+13


Should be a very interesting night game, with Lincecum making his debut; he's supposed to be phenomenal. Game is impossible to call; Hamels has been a little shaky past couple, and word is that Bonds WILL NOT PLAY. Under is tempting; ump Reynolds is EVEN.

I may try one or two, but I could sorta use a break today?got plans, and I've also gotten away with murder the past couple of days (too much action).

Too tired to do real ump research, tonight; going by memory, I didn't see any umps that will really affect totals.

Be back to post if I take any chances.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

couple of clubs vs lefties

couple of clubs vs lefties

Giants a healthy OPS of .780 vs lefties, but without Bonds this number drops.

Padres OPS .810 vs lefties! And Olsen has had struggles despite 3-1 record (5.63 era and opponents hitting .301 vs him).
Olsen's last 2 have been decent, mind you, and vs hot-hitting Mets & Braves.

Peavy has a record of 0-2 in 2 starts at Dolphins Stadium, but with a 2.84 era and 17 K in 12.2 IP.

Padres bats scored yesterday, and should be able to do some damage here.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

small expectations

small expectations

PLAYS

Padres -150 1.5/1
Brewers -1.5 -101 0.76/0.75
Reds -1.5 +127 0.5/0.64

phil@Sf un8.5 -115 1.15/1
m's@Nyy un11 -115 0.57/0.5

2-teamer
--indians ml
--bosox ml
+167
0.6/1


About as much action as I want, today.
Maybe I can improve the runline and total stats today, and my bankroll in the process.

Here's To Hope

GL

:SIB

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

system statistics

system statistics

Here's a look at how system numbers are doing in 2007.

RESULTS (W-L)

???.?full?..April??..May??.June??July???August?..Sept?..October
Total?..203-165..203-165...44-25
51??...17-15?.17-15??1-0
52??...13-13?.13-13??2-2
53??...16-16?.16-16??2-2
54??...14-8?...14-8??..2-1
55??...9-12??9-12??.2-3
56??...17-4??17-4??.1-3
57??...8-6??...8-6??..2-2
58??...8-11??.8-11??2-1
59??...11-11?..11-11?...3-2
60??...12-9??12-9??.2-2
61??...10-8??10-8??.5-0
62??...10-8??10-8??.2-0
63??...13-9??13-9??.3-1
64??...7-10??7-10??.3-2
65??...10-4??10-4??.2-1
66??...9-5??...9-5??..2-0
67??...6-2??...6-2??..1-1
68??...5-4??...5-4??..1-0
69??...1-2??...1-2??..1-1
70??...2-2??...2-2??..1-0
71??...1-2??...1-2??..
72??...1-1??...1-1??..1-0
73??...1-1??...1-1??..2-0
74??...2-1??...2-1??..1-0
75??...0-1??...0-1??..0-1
76
77
78
79
80
totals?..45-53?..45-53??9-5
(posted system totals)

(You probably noticed that I'm waiting to add May's stats to "full" stats until the end of May; full stats just show April's results)

System picked only 55.2% winners for April, but has picked it up for May, hitting 63.8% winners so far (this is even after a rough 6-9 day Saturday).

70's are doing better, this month, despite losing a key 75%'er yesterday (Braves).

System totals are better in May--9-5 is much more palatable than 45-53.
I'm hoping these keep up--maybe I'll start to risk more on totals if that's the case.

That's the current report.
I need some sleep.

GL

:SIB