Sunday NBA

Dragon

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Saturday: 3-0-1

Overall: 43-26-2

Busy schedule on Sunday. I have a some thoughts on a few games that I'll post now.


Clips/Celtics -6

Like Boston -6 against the Clips. Clips playing back to back on the road. Clippers are not a good road team despite a couple of wins these past few days. I think Boston puts up a double digit win here. Clips are 3-7 ATS after loss when on the road. Boston 6-4 ATS at home after a loss. Basically playing the percentages. I'll take 60% over 30% all of the time.

Sac/Minny -2

The Kings getting points against the T'Wolves? Kings are not a superior road team, but the T'Wolves have been playing really poor ball of late. They squeaked by the Celtics on the road in an OT game. It's as if they linemakers want people on Sacramento. The stat that immediately jumps out at me on this one is that the home team has won 9 of the last 10 meetings. I think Minny is worth taking a look at here. It hurts me to say that since the Kings are my favorite team. Kings getting points against a struggling team looks like a gimme. There aren't any gimmes in life.

Lakers -3.5/Mavs

I haven't done a lot of work on this game yet, but I'm leaning Lakers. The Lakers want to prove they are the superior team in this league. They have absolutely demolished their last 3 opponents on the road. Those teams were not the Mavs, but I think the Mavs are in trouble in this one. Since Michael Finley's return, the Mavs offense is out of sync. It should take them a while to get him more into the flow and that could still hurt them against the Lakers. Phil Jackson will have his team prepared for this one. In one of my recent posts, I said I'm going to take a serious look at the Lakers the 2nd half of the season. It starts right here.

Plays so far: Celtics -6

Strong Lean: Lakers -3.5 (will be a play)

Lean: Minny -2 (if the line doesn't move towards the Kings, I'd be surprised.)

I will post all of my plays tomorrow morning.
 

TBoyrent

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Dragon, on the Minn game of the last 6 matchups the home team has won and covered all 6 plus Minn has not allowed Sac to score over 100 at home so the under might be considered here also. I am definitely on Minn tomorrow.GL
 

Dragon

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Sunday Plays

Sunday Plays

Celtics -6
Minny -2
Lakers -3.5

Pacers/Wiz 1st half OVER 92.5

Both teams have been playing a lot of unders, but they seem to come out firing in the first half of games.

Average points per quarter over the last 5 games:

Pacers Wizards
1st Q 24 25.8

2nd Q 24.4 25


I don't necessarily think we'll see a 100 point 1st half, but I see one in the mid to high 90s with the pace slowing down in the 2nd half. I'll look at the 2nd half under in this one as well.

Adding Spurs/Magic 1st half UNDER 96

12 of the last 15 home games have gone under for the Magic. The Spurs have been in a funk and are not the same offensive team they were earlier this year. I think we'll see a lower scoring game again here.



TB-Thanks for the feedback. I like Minny to win a close one, but cover. Sticking with the play. Good luck.
 
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Spock

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way 2 go dragon .. nailed the first half on the spurs game..

Cheers !!!
Spock
 
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Spock

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dragon ..

what u feel about the under on the lakers game ?

under 208

thanx

Spock
 

Dragon

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Spock, I see that a lot of people are on the under in the Lakers/Mavs game. I personally liked the over at first glance. I hate to go against some of the best cappers on the site, so I might not make a play on the total until the half. My thinking is that the Lakers are basically going to score at will with Shaq having a monster game. I think he torched the Mavs fo 46 the last time these 2 teams met. Mavs play an up tempo game and will probably press the issue here as always. It wouldn't surprise me if the Lakers put up 120 in this game. Just my thoughts, but like I said. A lot of very good cappers on the under.

If you want to play the total on this one, I'd recommend playing it small. Factor in late free throws as well and the fact that the Lakers are not a very good free throw shooting team. If they are ahead late, it could come down to that. Do you really want to bank on Shaq hitting 4 or 5 free throws down the stretch? My initial feelings were over the 208.

Good luck.

Played OVER 208.5 for 1/2 UNIT. Tread lightly.
 
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Dragon

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Sunday Recap

Sunday Recap

Celtics -6 W
T'Wolves -2 L
Lakers -3.5 W
Pacers 1st half 92.5 OVER L
Spurs/Magic 1st half UNDER 96 W
Spurs/Magic 2nd half UNDER 95 L
Lakers OVER 208.5 L
Lakers 2nd half OVER 104.5 L (what was I thinking?!?!)
Washington 2nd half pick W
Kings 2nd half OVER 102.4 W
Suns 2nd half -4.5 W
Bulls/Blazers 2nd half OVER 91 W

7-5 overall. Profitable night in the NBA again. Unfortunately I'm down on the day because of the superbowl. Will be back to get em' again tomorrow.
 
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