- Mar 2, 2006
- 4,794
- 120
- 0
ATS: 160-113-7 (+54.6)
OU: 76-63-2 (+5.4)
ML dogs: 5-12 (-0.4)
Rockets
Recently, the Warriors have struggled against two types of teams - physical, defensive minded teams, and really good shooting teams. The Rockets are in the middle of a long home stand. They play much better at home (+8 ppg, 20-11 ATS) than on the road (-0.1 ppg), and they need to take advantage of all these games. Teams coming off two home wins are 72-19 SU (+10.1 ppg) and 55-36 ATS as a home favorite playing against a team coming off a home loss since the 2005 season. They get to play the Warriors tonight, and then the Jazz in their next game, and these are both winnable games that can help them put some distance between themselves and these opponents in the playoff race. Teams playing as a home favorite between 3 and 10 points are 42-6 SU (+9.1 ppg) and 35-12-1 ATS since the 2000 season when they are coming off two home wins and both they and their opponent have a win percentage between 51-60. Since the 2004 season, teams coming off a win where they were down at least 20 points are 28-12-2 ATS in their next game when their opponent is coming off a home game. Teams that average more than 103 points per game on the season are 62-37-8 ATS since the 2005 season when playing as a home favorite, if they are coming off a game where they outscored their opponent by 15 or more points in the second half.
The Warriors have been a struggle recently. In their last fifteen games against opponents with winning records, they are 2-13 SU and 3-12 ATS. Their two wins were against a Spurs team on a back to back after beating the Clippers, with a hobbled Tony Parker who should not have played (and they still only won in overtime), and a aged Knicks team with a hurting superstar and their own recent struggles. After such an impressive defensive performance against the Knicks, they came out and gave up 113 points to a Bulls team that isn?t exactly known for offensive prowess. But the Bulls were coming off a beat down by the Kings, and after that game, Thibodeau got after his team. He said: "I have to drive them harder. I have to get that intensity up. And I will. Trust me on that." This is exactly what he did, and how coaches should be motivating teams right now - especially teams like the Warriors and Bulls that are still fighting for a playoff berth and position.
So, what does Mark Jackson do after his team gets beat down by the Bulls, in preparation for a big game against a team that has owned them this season, and in recent years (the Warriors are 2-17 SU (-9.6) and 3-14 ATS in their last fifteen meetings with the Rockets)? He give his team a day off.
With a win today, the Rockets can get the sixth seed and demote the Warriors to the seventh. Obviously, there is a lot of basketball left to be played during the regular season, but every game matters, and especially this one.
Rockets -7 x2
Good luck...
OU: 76-63-2 (+5.4)
ML dogs: 5-12 (-0.4)
Rockets
Recently, the Warriors have struggled against two types of teams - physical, defensive minded teams, and really good shooting teams. The Rockets are in the middle of a long home stand. They play much better at home (+8 ppg, 20-11 ATS) than on the road (-0.1 ppg), and they need to take advantage of all these games. Teams coming off two home wins are 72-19 SU (+10.1 ppg) and 55-36 ATS as a home favorite playing against a team coming off a home loss since the 2005 season. They get to play the Warriors tonight, and then the Jazz in their next game, and these are both winnable games that can help them put some distance between themselves and these opponents in the playoff race. Teams playing as a home favorite between 3 and 10 points are 42-6 SU (+9.1 ppg) and 35-12-1 ATS since the 2000 season when they are coming off two home wins and both they and their opponent have a win percentage between 51-60. Since the 2004 season, teams coming off a win where they were down at least 20 points are 28-12-2 ATS in their next game when their opponent is coming off a home game. Teams that average more than 103 points per game on the season are 62-37-8 ATS since the 2005 season when playing as a home favorite, if they are coming off a game where they outscored their opponent by 15 or more points in the second half.
The Warriors have been a struggle recently. In their last fifteen games against opponents with winning records, they are 2-13 SU and 3-12 ATS. Their two wins were against a Spurs team on a back to back after beating the Clippers, with a hobbled Tony Parker who should not have played (and they still only won in overtime), and a aged Knicks team with a hurting superstar and their own recent struggles. After such an impressive defensive performance against the Knicks, they came out and gave up 113 points to a Bulls team that isn?t exactly known for offensive prowess. But the Bulls were coming off a beat down by the Kings, and after that game, Thibodeau got after his team. He said: "I have to drive them harder. I have to get that intensity up. And I will. Trust me on that." This is exactly what he did, and how coaches should be motivating teams right now - especially teams like the Warriors and Bulls that are still fighting for a playoff berth and position.
So, what does Mark Jackson do after his team gets beat down by the Bulls, in preparation for a big game against a team that has owned them this season, and in recent years (the Warriors are 2-17 SU (-9.6) and 3-14 ATS in their last fifteen meetings with the Rockets)? He give his team a day off.
With a win today, the Rockets can get the sixth seed and demote the Warriors to the seventh. Obviously, there is a lot of basketball left to be played during the regular season, but every game matters, and especially this one.
Rockets -7 x2
Good luck...
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