the cbs "experts" have only one unanimous pick this week. the denver broncos. their record this season on unanimous picks now stands at a robust 4-19.
buffalo (+1) 3 units. time to start playing one of my favorite angles... betting against teams that "need" to win. easily the most overrated factor in betting on football. the bills are 5-1 ATS at home this year, with the only loss being the jeff tuel special. y'all remember... the bills were on the verge of going up 17-3 early in the 3rd quarter with an undrafted rookie making his first start against the undefeated chiefs. a 100-yard TAINT later and the game was tied. even after that, the chiefs needed another defensive td to cover the spread. so the bills were that close to being 6-0 ATS at home. and is there really any dropoff from ej manuel to thad lewis? well, the linesmakers don't seem to think so, with everyone on Miami and the line is dropping.
Washington (ML) 3 units to win 3.9. damn near got the 'skins on the ML last week, and it's certainly worth taking another shot. again, the cowboys "need" this game. well, since when can you trust this cowboys team to get a win when they need it? the 'skins may have suffered a letdown after coming so close at Atlanta last week, but they shouldn't have any problem getting back up for the cowboys. and kirk cousins again gets to work against a very, very bad pass defense. Washington has an excellent chance to win this game.
tampa bay (+3.5) 3 units. the rams probably wish the season was over now. that way, they could have ended on a high note. I'm expecting a letdown after the big win over new orleans. oh, and next week they play at seattle. great spot for tampa to come in here and steal a win.
Houston (+10) 3 units. ugh. but who am I to go against a "trend" that's 19-4 this season? the whole world is on denver, and I'm starting to see some 9.5's. doesn't make an ounce of sense. this line could be 14 and getting a ton of denver money. I can make no viable argument for why Houston can keep this game close. maybe the pressure is completely off schaub and he's going to throw 4 TDs to andre Johnson for old time's sake. also, I just found this...
"Let's see. The Broncos are in the middle of a heated playoff run, are coming off a loss and will be heading to a city where the weather will be more forgiving than the chilliness they've seen lately both at home and on the road.
And they'll be facing an injury riddled team that's not won since September. No need for deep thought, this is as big a lock as there's been in 2013.
Sports Network predicted outcome: Broncos 31, Texans 14"
if that doesn't make you want to play Houston, nothing will.
Tennessee (-4.5) 2 units. I think the titans get revenge for the home loss to Jacksonville. and then Jacksonville goes into indy next week and wins.
buffalo (+1) 3 units. time to start playing one of my favorite angles... betting against teams that "need" to win. easily the most overrated factor in betting on football. the bills are 5-1 ATS at home this year, with the only loss being the jeff tuel special. y'all remember... the bills were on the verge of going up 17-3 early in the 3rd quarter with an undrafted rookie making his first start against the undefeated chiefs. a 100-yard TAINT later and the game was tied. even after that, the chiefs needed another defensive td to cover the spread. so the bills were that close to being 6-0 ATS at home. and is there really any dropoff from ej manuel to thad lewis? well, the linesmakers don't seem to think so, with everyone on Miami and the line is dropping.
Washington (ML) 3 units to win 3.9. damn near got the 'skins on the ML last week, and it's certainly worth taking another shot. again, the cowboys "need" this game. well, since when can you trust this cowboys team to get a win when they need it? the 'skins may have suffered a letdown after coming so close at Atlanta last week, but they shouldn't have any problem getting back up for the cowboys. and kirk cousins again gets to work against a very, very bad pass defense. Washington has an excellent chance to win this game.
tampa bay (+3.5) 3 units. the rams probably wish the season was over now. that way, they could have ended on a high note. I'm expecting a letdown after the big win over new orleans. oh, and next week they play at seattle. great spot for tampa to come in here and steal a win.
Houston (+10) 3 units. ugh. but who am I to go against a "trend" that's 19-4 this season? the whole world is on denver, and I'm starting to see some 9.5's. doesn't make an ounce of sense. this line could be 14 and getting a ton of denver money. I can make no viable argument for why Houston can keep this game close. maybe the pressure is completely off schaub and he's going to throw 4 TDs to andre Johnson for old time's sake. also, I just found this...
"Let's see. The Broncos are in the middle of a heated playoff run, are coming off a loss and will be heading to a city where the weather will be more forgiving than the chilliness they've seen lately both at home and on the road.
And they'll be facing an injury riddled team that's not won since September. No need for deep thought, this is as big a lock as there's been in 2013.
Sports Network predicted outcome: Broncos 31, Texans 14"
if that doesn't make you want to play Houston, nothing will.
Tennessee (-4.5) 2 units. I think the titans get revenge for the home loss to Jacksonville. and then Jacksonville goes into indy next week and wins.
