Houston (-3) 3 units. last week we saw how bad the bills really are. they couldn't even beat a team travelling from the west coast and coming off a huge win. sure, there's always the chance that Fitzpatrick throws 6 INTs to keep the bills in the game, but having foster back should take a little pressure off him.
tampa (+7.5) 2 units. this would be a bigger play if not for the lovie smith factor. of course, if not for lovie smith, this line would probably be about 4 points. but at least he's going into a game where he won't be outcoached. obviously this line is inflated based on last week. as much as they suck, tampa is a good value today.
Detroit/ny under (44) 2 units. the jets need to be able to run the ball to have any success offensively. Detroit is very good at stopping the run. and I'm counting on the jets defense to play as well as they did last week. and I'm counting on geno to not throw 3 TAINTs.
Tennessee (+7.5) 1 unit. Charlie Whitehurst? I'm in.
Chicago (ML) 2 units to win 2.1. wow. not that Chicago is anything great, but the packers continue to get overvalued. they got beat down at seattle, barely beat the jets at home, and only put up 7 points against Detroit.
Minnesota (+4) 3 units.
Minnesota (ML) 2 units to win 3.6. so... Atlanta's incredibly overvalued after smoking a terrible tampa team, they're an indoor team playing outdoors, and.... teddy bridgewater. I hope the Vikings' staff doesn't try to get really conservative with him and they let him play. he's got a shot to have himself a nice day against a poor pass defense.
san francisco (-4) 2 units. so.... philly has trailed in every game by at least 10. SF has been outscored 52-3 in the second half this year. so here's how this game is going to play out... philly is going to be up at halftime and the niners are going to storm back to win by 10. you're welcome.
tampa (+7.5) 2 units. this would be a bigger play if not for the lovie smith factor. of course, if not for lovie smith, this line would probably be about 4 points. but at least he's going into a game where he won't be outcoached. obviously this line is inflated based on last week. as much as they suck, tampa is a good value today.
Detroit/ny under (44) 2 units. the jets need to be able to run the ball to have any success offensively. Detroit is very good at stopping the run. and I'm counting on the jets defense to play as well as they did last week. and I'm counting on geno to not throw 3 TAINTs.
Tennessee (+7.5) 1 unit. Charlie Whitehurst? I'm in.
Chicago (ML) 2 units to win 2.1. wow. not that Chicago is anything great, but the packers continue to get overvalued. they got beat down at seattle, barely beat the jets at home, and only put up 7 points against Detroit.
Minnesota (+4) 3 units.
Minnesota (ML) 2 units to win 3.6. so... Atlanta's incredibly overvalued after smoking a terrible tampa team, they're an indoor team playing outdoors, and.... teddy bridgewater. I hope the Vikings' staff doesn't try to get really conservative with him and they let him play. he's got a shot to have himself a nice day against a poor pass defense.
san francisco (-4) 2 units. so.... philly has trailed in every game by at least 10. SF has been outscored 52-3 in the second half this year. so here's how this game is going to play out... philly is going to be up at halftime and the niners are going to storm back to win by 10. you're welcome.
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