Sunday

Smitty

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Jan 5, 2005
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Upstate NY
Tennessee (+11.5) 2 units
Tennessee (ML) 1 unit to win 5.5. well, mark sanchez finally faced some game pressure last week, and the results were predictable (really, check my write-up for that game. I damn near nailed it!). I expected two TAINTs. instead, it was one TAINT and a fumble returned for a TD, plus two other TOs, I believe. ok, he might not face any real pressure again today, as they are huge favs. but if Tennessee can get something going and stay in this game, they can count on sanchez handing them some points.

new England (-7) 2 units. looking for Stafford to make enough mistakes to hand new England a comfortable win.

det/ne under (47) 2 units. the lions have only put up 54 points in their 4 road games and their defense should slow down the pats.

Minnesota (+7.5) 2 units. sandwich game for the pack, coming off the win over philly and looking ahead to new England. might not be focused on a team they already beat by 32.

Arizona (+7) 2 units.
Arizona (ML) 1 unit to win 2.8. nobody has believed in the cardinals all year, and nobody seems to really realize that the seahawks are not that good this year. let's look at their last 7 games...

win at Washington
home loss to dallas
loss at st. Louis
4-point win at Carolina (needed a td with under a minute in the game)
6-point home win over Oakland
home win over the giants in a game that was tied after 3 quarters
loss at kc

so to recap... the only teams they have beaten in their last 7 games are Washington, Carolina, Oakland, and the new york football (barely) giants. combined record of 10-31-1.

as far as the cardinals, i'll repeat what I said last week... since when is losing carson palmer a bad thing?

Miami (+6.5) 3 units
Miami (ML) 2 units to win 4.6. Miami has the #1 pass defense in the nfl. having the 3 extra days off before playing at Denver is huge. ok, it's hard to trust tannehill to get a big road win, but I think the dolphins will have a shot to win this game.

Washington (+9.5) 2 units. ok, RGIII may try to top what eli did last week and throw 6 picks (or more!). but san fran was absolutely handed a win last week against a very bad team, and now they may just be looking ahead to their thanksgiving day game against seattle. somehow they should find a way to keep Washington in this game.
 
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