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Smitty

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Jan 5, 2005
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oakland (ML) 2 units to win 2. i think the raiders catch the lions in a bit of a letdown spot, after the big win over the pack. plus, the lions may be looking ahead to back-to-back thursday games, against philly and gb. detroit is 0-4 ATS at home this year.

oak/det over (49) 3 units. even a stronger play. the last 3 detroit home games have gone over. 3 of the raiders' 4 road games have gone over, with the one missing by 2 points. maybe not quite baylor/ok st, but there should be a lot of points in this one.

dallas (-2) 2 units. i hate betting on a qb in his first game back, because the timing is often off. but romo means so much to this team, his return to the lineup should give them a big boost. and the dolphins are terrible. so there's that.

indy (+4) 3 units.
indy (ML) 2 units to win 3.5. maybe the bye week really helped atlanta. because they were terrible the last 5 games. after needing OT to beat washington, they lost 3 of their next 4 games. and the only win was at tennessee, which hasn't won a home game since the truman administration. oh, and tennessee was playing without mariota. and 2 starters in their defensive secondary. and they lost another starting corner during the game. and their 2nd starting center in 2 weeks. what i'm saying is the falcons beat the titans' jv team. anyway, the point is the falcons have been really bad their last 5 games. indy on the other hand, did just about everything they could to blow a big lead against the broncos, but they managed to hold on. and they're still in first, because they are in a horrible division. so they probably felt a hell of a lot better going into the bye week than the falcons did. this is mostly a play against atlanta. i see no reason indy won't have a chance to win this game late.

minnesota (ML) 3 units to win 3. i've been riding the vikes most of the season, and i see no reason to stop now. 2 teams heading in opposite directions. strong lean to the under, too.

chicago (ML) 2 units to win 2. probably closer to a 1-unit play. i promised myself a few weeks ago i was going to start betting against denver every week. it's worked so far. but it's so tough to trust the bears to win a game. i can absolutely see denver's defense chasing cutler around all day, which leads to that bitch yelling at his linemen, which leads to more chasing, because who wants to block for a little bitch? but i still think chicago is the right play here.

san diego (ML) 2 units to win 3.1. following a 4-game losing streak, the chiefs appear to have turned things around with a 3-game win streak. but they beat the steelers with landry jones, a lions team that was so happy to be so far from detroit that i don't think they showed up for the game, and a denver team that we all now realize is on a big, sudden slide into mediocrity. i simply don't think this team should be a 3-point road fav here. i mean, alex smith still can't complete a pass more than 4 yards downfield.
 
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