detroit (+6) 2 units
detroit (ML) 1 unit to win 2.1. sam bradford is finally looking like... sam bradford. and the vikings o-line isn't opening any holes. minnesota has scored 2 tds the last 2 weeks, and both were in the 4th quarter when the game was out of reach. i have to take nearly a td from an offense that's struggling this badly.
philadelphia (ML) 4 units to win 5.4. is this one just too easy? i mean, the eagles have dropped 3 straight road games. and their run defense hasn't been very good, allowing 4.7 yards/att. but fortunately for them, the giants have the fewest rushing yards in the nfl. the giants also have the 2nd-fewest sacks in the nfl, 9 through 7 games. so don't expect wentz to be under much pressure. i don't think the eagles are exactly going to light up the scoreboard, but it shouldn't take a lot of points for them to win this game. (side note, for those who like "advanced metrics"... while both teams are 4-3, philly has outscored their opponents by 62 points. the giants have been outscored by 8.)
phil/nyg under (43) 2 units. another one that feels almost too easy. despite not pressuring the qb, the giants are 10th in the league, allowing 20.1 points/game. and philly has been even better, giving up 16.7/game. it will take 3 non-offensive tds for this game to go over.
pittsburgh (-3) 2 units. maybe a dumb play. 11 of the last 14 games between these teams have been decided by 3 or less. i had to go back to 2008 to find the last time pitt won by more than 3 at baltimore (they won by 4!). but baltimore is just so bad that i have to take a shot.
tennessee (+3.5) 2 units
tennessee (ML) 1 unit to win 1.7. san diego is coming off a tough stretch and i expect a bit of a let-up today. they played divisional games against oakland and denver, won an OT game at atlanta, then came home and played denver again. the titans are 2-1 on the road and i think they'll find a way to hang around in this one.
detroit (ML) 1 unit to win 2.1. sam bradford is finally looking like... sam bradford. and the vikings o-line isn't opening any holes. minnesota has scored 2 tds the last 2 weeks, and both were in the 4th quarter when the game was out of reach. i have to take nearly a td from an offense that's struggling this badly.
philadelphia (ML) 4 units to win 5.4. is this one just too easy? i mean, the eagles have dropped 3 straight road games. and their run defense hasn't been very good, allowing 4.7 yards/att. but fortunately for them, the giants have the fewest rushing yards in the nfl. the giants also have the 2nd-fewest sacks in the nfl, 9 through 7 games. so don't expect wentz to be under much pressure. i don't think the eagles are exactly going to light up the scoreboard, but it shouldn't take a lot of points for them to win this game. (side note, for those who like "advanced metrics"... while both teams are 4-3, philly has outscored their opponents by 62 points. the giants have been outscored by 8.)
phil/nyg under (43) 2 units. another one that feels almost too easy. despite not pressuring the qb, the giants are 10th in the league, allowing 20.1 points/game. and philly has been even better, giving up 16.7/game. it will take 3 non-offensive tds for this game to go over.
pittsburgh (-3) 2 units. maybe a dumb play. 11 of the last 14 games between these teams have been decided by 3 or less. i had to go back to 2008 to find the last time pitt won by more than 3 at baltimore (they won by 4!). but baltimore is just so bad that i have to take a shot.
tennessee (+3.5) 2 units
tennessee (ML) 1 unit to win 1.7. san diego is coming off a tough stretch and i expect a bit of a let-up today. they played divisional games against oakland and denver, won an OT game at atlanta, then came home and played denver again. the titans are 2-1 on the road and i think they'll find a way to hang around in this one.
