Pats @ Colts.
Ok been looking at this for a couple of hours now and here is what I crunched down on this game.
NE are 56-23-3 ATS in their last 82 games overall.
Indianapolis: IND are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in November.
Head to Head: Underdog is 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
NE are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings
All very tight stats.
I have New England winning by 20.3 ppg on the road and indy winningy by 22.66 ppg at home.
New England has destroyed their last 5 opponets by 25 ppg compared to indy winning by 19.8 ppg.
I know Harrison is questionable for the colts, but they still have alot of weapons in their group.
New England has no. 3 defense to Colts no. 4 defense.
I am looking at the lines at the greek and pinny both have weak moneylines for the game. Greek has -230 for a line of -5.5 it should actually be -275 to -280. Pinny has -5 for the game and -215 ml that should equate to -250. So to me neither book has faith in NE covering.
As tight as the stats are I have to favor Indy with at least a 3point advantage because of home field.
My Play:
INDY +5.5 330/300
Back at half
GL ALL this will be a great game, either way
Countinguy
Ok been looking at this for a couple of hours now and here is what I crunched down on this game.
NE are 56-23-3 ATS in their last 82 games overall.
Indianapolis: IND are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in November.
Head to Head: Underdog is 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
NE are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings
All very tight stats.
I have New England winning by 20.3 ppg on the road and indy winningy by 22.66 ppg at home.
New England has destroyed their last 5 opponets by 25 ppg compared to indy winning by 19.8 ppg.
I know Harrison is questionable for the colts, but they still have alot of weapons in their group.
New England has no. 3 defense to Colts no. 4 defense.
I am looking at the lines at the greek and pinny both have weak moneylines for the game. Greek has -230 for a line of -5.5 it should actually be -275 to -280. Pinny has -5 for the game and -215 ml that should equate to -250. So to me neither book has faith in NE covering.
As tight as the stats are I have to favor Indy with at least a 3point advantage because of home field.
My Play:
INDY +5.5 330/300
Back at half
GL ALL this will be a great game, either way
Countinguy

