01:10 PM [952] TOTAL u7-125 (ATL BRAVES vrs NY METS) ( J TEHERAN -R / J DEGROM -R )
01:10 PM [964] TOTAL u8EV (CHI WHITE SOX vrs CLE INDIANS) ( C RODON -L / C CARRASCO -R )
02:10 PM [969] NY YANKEES -145 ( N EOVALDI -R / E SANTANA -R )
1 unit bet pays 5.08 ....betdsi line
MLB parlays: 9-78, -5.86 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
:0074
Nate Eovaldi is 3-0 day team starts this season, 3.79 ERA vs 5.29 ERA at night - with similar day/night splits in the past: 3.51 day in 2015, 4.59 night and 2014: 3.33 day with at 4.97 night....he developed a very effective splitter last season which has really elevated his play -- but the splitter hasn't been there last few starts, and patient batters can sit on his fastball and hammer him. Perhaps the clear light of day can help him now, as it did in the past.
Teheran under has cashed 8 times in his last 10 starts. DeGrom has 6 unders his last 10, and his team has lost his last 3 starts due to almost no run support....
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
-- The Dodgers are 0-11 O/U since Aug 16, 2015 as a home favorite after they scored 6+ runs last game.
-- The Indians are 10-0 since Aug 09, 2015 as a home favorite off a game as a favorite in which they left 18+ men on base individually.
Braves are 7-26 in their last 33 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
The White Sox have been terrible against their counterparts in the AL Central, losing 13 of 16....Carrasco getting stronger each starts since return, but don't forget Rodon's career day/night split...
From the 2016 Baseball Prospect Book:
Tyler Anderson, LHP, Colorado Rockies
Bats: L Throws: L HT: 6-4 WT: 215 DOB: December 30, 1989
2012: Grade B; 2013: Grade B-; 2014: Grade C+; 2015: Grade B-
Tyler Anderson missed all of 2015 rehabbing a stress fracture in his throwing elbow. When healthy he is a standard finesse lefty with a deceptive delivery, an 87-92 MPH fastball and a solid major league-quality change-up. His breaking stuff is inconsistent; he?s used a curveball, traditional slider, and cutter at various times with various levels of success. The biggest issue really is health: he has a history of both elbow and shoulder glitches, a big problem considering that he needs innings to iron out the breaking stuff. All that said, Anderson has always pitched well when healthy and that will probably continue if he manages to get on the mound. Grade C+.
ADDITIONAL COMMENTARY
Anderson made six starts in the minors this year, posting a combined 2.35 ERA in 31 innings with a 30/13 K/BB between one High-A start, two Double-A starts, and three Triple-A outings.
As noted pre-season, Anderson has always been a successful pitcher and his first game against the Padres showed what he's capable of. His fastball is generally right around 90, bookended by 87s and 93s, but he locates very well. He has a full arsenal with various varieties of breaking balls and change-ups giving him spots to work with along the entire velocity band between 78 and 93. His pitching instincts can't be criticized and he's shown the ability to make needed adjustments. Despite the lost time, his secondary pitches have improved steadily.
Two things work against Anderson: durability and Colorado. Like all Rockies pitchers he'll have to deal with the altitude but even if he does that successfully, his health history is obviously a big factor. He's never gotten past 120 innings and even that was four years ago.
Anderson has the skill set to be a mid-rotation starter but may never have sufficient durability to be a 32-start, 200 inning guy. He'll need to be handled judiciously but on a per-inning basis he should be effective.
--
Drew Pomeranz - 5.0 IP, 5 ER, 5 Hits, 5 BBs, 6 Ks. While I won't sit here and tell you that I expected Pomeranz to allow a grand-slam en route to a crooked 5-ER first inning (because that would be a silly thing to claim when I obviously didn't), I will mention that he got into the mess with a pair of walks and a stroke of bad luck did the rest. Mix that with an inevitable move back to the bullpen around the end of August and you have someone that it's getting harder and harder to sell.
The Padres' best starter this year, Pomeranz is coming off a pair of shaky outings. He had trouble locating his curveball -- which has been devastating at times this season -- his last time out.
Jameson Taillon - the reason I put him so high is because he can go 8.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 Hits, 1 BBs, 5 Ks like it ain't no thang. Yes, this was against a terrible Mets offense, but the kid earned 66.7% first pitch strikes, and cruised so easily that he only 91 pitches come the end of the 8th. He's projected to be shutdown in early September, which could mean a trip to the pen, a skipped start or two, who knows at this point. What I do know is that you want Taillon and you want him yesterday.
Texas at St. Louis
Pick: Texas
On principle alone, we must back surging Texas, on the verge of another sweep on a wildly successful road trip in which the Rangers have won 7 of their first 9, including two straight at Busch Stadium. Where, by the way, the host Cardinals are winless in this homestand against Lone Star State foes Astros and Rangers and now just 15-20 on the season. Texas has won five straight gaems started by Martin Perez, and no way should Mike leake be laying this sort of price.
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Indians
Play: Chicago White Sox +1.5 -125
The Indians are clinging to a half game lead at the top of the AL Central, and they go for the sweep in the series finale versus Chicago this afternoon. We should see a pitcher's duel here in Cleveland Sunday. Carlos Rodon will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's coming off a solid performance. Rodon (2-6, 4.28 ERA) struck out seven, allowing a pair of runs on seven hits over six innings in a 3-1 loss to the Royals his last time out. It was the fourth time in his last five starts that he held the opposition to two or fewer earned runs. The southpaw is 3-0 with a 1.52 ERA in his last four starts versus Cleveland. The Indians hand the ball to Carlos Carrasco, who has looked pretty sharp lately. Carrasco (2-2, 3.40 ERA) struck out eight, surrendering a pair of runs while scattering 10 hits over six innings in a 2-1 loss to the Royals his last time out. He's 3-5 with a 5.52 ERA in his last nine starts versus Chicago. Cleveland has won five straight in this series, but two of the last three were games decided by just one run.
01:10 PM [964] TOTAL u8EV (CHI WHITE SOX vrs CLE INDIANS) ( C RODON -L / C CARRASCO -R )
02:10 PM [969] NY YANKEES -145 ( N EOVALDI -R / E SANTANA -R )
1 unit bet pays 5.08 ....betdsi line
MLB parlays: 9-78, -5.86 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
Nate Eovaldi is 3-0 day team starts this season, 3.79 ERA vs 5.29 ERA at night - with similar day/night splits in the past: 3.51 day in 2015, 4.59 night and 2014: 3.33 day with at 4.97 night....he developed a very effective splitter last season which has really elevated his play -- but the splitter hasn't been there last few starts, and patient batters can sit on his fastball and hammer him. Perhaps the clear light of day can help him now, as it did in the past.
Teheran under has cashed 8 times in his last 10 starts. DeGrom has 6 unders his last 10, and his team has lost his last 3 starts due to almost no run support....
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
-- The Dodgers are 0-11 O/U since Aug 16, 2015 as a home favorite after they scored 6+ runs last game.
-- The Indians are 10-0 since Aug 09, 2015 as a home favorite off a game as a favorite in which they left 18+ men on base individually.
Braves are 7-26 in their last 33 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
The White Sox have been terrible against their counterparts in the AL Central, losing 13 of 16....Carrasco getting stronger each starts since return, but don't forget Rodon's career day/night split...
From the 2016 Baseball Prospect Book:
Tyler Anderson, LHP, Colorado Rockies
Bats: L Throws: L HT: 6-4 WT: 215 DOB: December 30, 1989
2012: Grade B; 2013: Grade B-; 2014: Grade C+; 2015: Grade B-
Tyler Anderson missed all of 2015 rehabbing a stress fracture in his throwing elbow. When healthy he is a standard finesse lefty with a deceptive delivery, an 87-92 MPH fastball and a solid major league-quality change-up. His breaking stuff is inconsistent; he?s used a curveball, traditional slider, and cutter at various times with various levels of success. The biggest issue really is health: he has a history of both elbow and shoulder glitches, a big problem considering that he needs innings to iron out the breaking stuff. All that said, Anderson has always pitched well when healthy and that will probably continue if he manages to get on the mound. Grade C+.
ADDITIONAL COMMENTARY
Anderson made six starts in the minors this year, posting a combined 2.35 ERA in 31 innings with a 30/13 K/BB between one High-A start, two Double-A starts, and three Triple-A outings.
As noted pre-season, Anderson has always been a successful pitcher and his first game against the Padres showed what he's capable of. His fastball is generally right around 90, bookended by 87s and 93s, but he locates very well. He has a full arsenal with various varieties of breaking balls and change-ups giving him spots to work with along the entire velocity band between 78 and 93. His pitching instincts can't be criticized and he's shown the ability to make needed adjustments. Despite the lost time, his secondary pitches have improved steadily.
Two things work against Anderson: durability and Colorado. Like all Rockies pitchers he'll have to deal with the altitude but even if he does that successfully, his health history is obviously a big factor. He's never gotten past 120 innings and even that was four years ago.
Anderson has the skill set to be a mid-rotation starter but may never have sufficient durability to be a 32-start, 200 inning guy. He'll need to be handled judiciously but on a per-inning basis he should be effective.
--
Drew Pomeranz - 5.0 IP, 5 ER, 5 Hits, 5 BBs, 6 Ks. While I won't sit here and tell you that I expected Pomeranz to allow a grand-slam en route to a crooked 5-ER first inning (because that would be a silly thing to claim when I obviously didn't), I will mention that he got into the mess with a pair of walks and a stroke of bad luck did the rest. Mix that with an inevitable move back to the bullpen around the end of August and you have someone that it's getting harder and harder to sell.
The Padres' best starter this year, Pomeranz is coming off a pair of shaky outings. He had trouble locating his curveball -- which has been devastating at times this season -- his last time out.
Jameson Taillon - the reason I put him so high is because he can go 8.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 Hits, 1 BBs, 5 Ks like it ain't no thang. Yes, this was against a terrible Mets offense, but the kid earned 66.7% first pitch strikes, and cruised so easily that he only 91 pitches come the end of the 8th. He's projected to be shutdown in early September, which could mean a trip to the pen, a skipped start or two, who knows at this point. What I do know is that you want Taillon and you want him yesterday.
Texas at St. Louis
Pick: Texas
On principle alone, we must back surging Texas, on the verge of another sweep on a wildly successful road trip in which the Rangers have won 7 of their first 9, including two straight at Busch Stadium. Where, by the way, the host Cardinals are winless in this homestand against Lone Star State foes Astros and Rangers and now just 15-20 on the season. Texas has won five straight gaems started by Martin Perez, and no way should Mike leake be laying this sort of price.
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Indians
Play: Chicago White Sox +1.5 -125
The Indians are clinging to a half game lead at the top of the AL Central, and they go for the sweep in the series finale versus Chicago this afternoon. We should see a pitcher's duel here in Cleveland Sunday. Carlos Rodon will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's coming off a solid performance. Rodon (2-6, 4.28 ERA) struck out seven, allowing a pair of runs on seven hits over six innings in a 3-1 loss to the Royals his last time out. It was the fourth time in his last five starts that he held the opposition to two or fewer earned runs. The southpaw is 3-0 with a 1.52 ERA in his last four starts versus Cleveland. The Indians hand the ball to Carlos Carrasco, who has looked pretty sharp lately. Carrasco (2-2, 3.40 ERA) struck out eight, surrendering a pair of runs while scattering 10 hits over six innings in a 2-1 loss to the Royals his last time out. He's 3-5 with a 5.52 ERA in his last nine starts versus Chicago. Cleveland has won five straight in this series, but two of the last three were games decided by just one run.
