Surgeons Generals warning:
Playing my plays in NFL has been hazardous to your bankroll, and may cause wallet cancer.
KC (ML) over the Fins
Yes the fins looks good against Chicago, but I think an extremely large dose of Larry Johnson will prove to give the fins a headache. Off the emotional win in chicago I do not think Miami has the ability to string another big game together. Larry Johnson has driven the Kansas City Chiefs' high-powered offense during the club's three-game winning streak. Since being blown out 45-7 by Pittsburgh on Oct. 15, the Chiefs are averaging 32 points and 390.3 yards during their three consecutive victories. The streak has them within one game of Denver and San Diego for the division lead. THAT means today is VERY important to the Chiefs. The Dolphins forced six turnovers in the lopsided victory, which snapped their four-game skid. That will not happen again today and Harrington will turn the ball over for Miami. Kansas City has won the last two meetings. The Chiefs have not beaten the Dolphins three consecutive times since winning the first six matchups of the series from 1966-68. BUT considering the Bears got hammered by Miami, KC will not look past them and a focused team that is coming into miami should have enough to beat a miami team off an emotional win. Home field advantage will help Miami but KC is the better team.
Packers (+5.5) over Minny
The Vikes stink and putting up 3 points against a poor SF team shows just how bad the offense has gotten. Minny has slowly declined offensively over the past few games and getting a Packers team that CAN play well will be a bad situation for the Vikes. YES Farve has been the Achilles heel for the Pack but he still can throw the ball and against the minny secondary he should get some big plays. One week after a 31-7 home loss to the New England Patriots, the Vikings had another awful performance on offense last Sunday in a 9-3 defeat to the San Francisco 49ers. Minnesota was held to a season-low 238 yards despite playing a San Francisco team which ranked second-to-last in the NFL in total defense. The Vikings' season low had been 284 yards, set against New England. They've committed seven turnovers - six by Johnson - and given up seven sacks over those two games. It will be tough for the Pack to get things going running because the Vikes have a very good defense. The offensive struggles are even more frustrating for the defense, which is first in the NFL against the run (69.0 yards per game) and second in the NFC behind the Chicago Bears in points allowed (16.9 per game).Green Bay out gained Buffalo 427-184 and had 15 more first downs, but again was undone by costly turnovers. Favre went 28-of-47 for 287 yards and one touchdown, but threw two interceptions and was involved in two fumbles on botched snaps from center Scott Wells. Green Bay is 0-4 this season when Favre throws an interception, 3-1 when he doesn't. That will be the difference today and if Farve plays well the Pack should win this game but even if he struggles I think the pack keep it close. Perhaps leading up to the EX-packer longwell hitting a possible game winner.
Lions (-6) over SF
Kitna is on pace for his best season since 2003, when he threw for 3,591 yards and 26 touchdowns for Cincinnati. He has topped 200 yards in all eight games for Detroit and has thrown for 2,174 yards and 10 touchdowns with 10 interceptions overall. Running back Kevin Jones added 110 yards and two TDs against the Falcons, topping 100 yards for the second time in three games. After injuries limited him to 684 yards in 13 games last season, Jones already has 584 yards and a career-high seven touchdowns - six rushing. While Detroit's offense is flourishing, San Francisco visits Ford Field coming off its best defensive performance of the season in a surprising 9-3 win last Sunday over Minnesota. After a five-week stretch in which they allowed 188 points and an average of 388.4 yards, the 49ers went with a simpler defensive scheme that limited the Vikings to 238 total yards and forced three turnovers. But this is a different drink because SF has not played well on the road while the Lions have played well at home. The 49ers have won their last four meetings with the Lions - all played in San Francisco - and are visiting Detroit for the first time since a 27-24 loss on Sept. 25, 1995. The lions offense has looked sharp, Kitna is hitting Roy Williams and Jones is running well. All point to them starting to adapt to Martz offensive system. They have the advantage in the offensive department and the defense that played Vick very well last weekend should be up to stopping Smith.Don't like the 6 points but I have to give the edge to the lions in almost every department from coaching down to special teams.
Small play
Atlanta (-8) over Cleveland
Off a loss at home the falcons will look to rebound, Cleveland battles but IMO Atlanta has too much to play for in this game.
Cheers
Irish
Playing my plays in NFL has been hazardous to your bankroll, and may cause wallet cancer.
KC (ML) over the Fins
Yes the fins looks good against Chicago, but I think an extremely large dose of Larry Johnson will prove to give the fins a headache. Off the emotional win in chicago I do not think Miami has the ability to string another big game together. Larry Johnson has driven the Kansas City Chiefs' high-powered offense during the club's three-game winning streak. Since being blown out 45-7 by Pittsburgh on Oct. 15, the Chiefs are averaging 32 points and 390.3 yards during their three consecutive victories. The streak has them within one game of Denver and San Diego for the division lead. THAT means today is VERY important to the Chiefs. The Dolphins forced six turnovers in the lopsided victory, which snapped their four-game skid. That will not happen again today and Harrington will turn the ball over for Miami. Kansas City has won the last two meetings. The Chiefs have not beaten the Dolphins three consecutive times since winning the first six matchups of the series from 1966-68. BUT considering the Bears got hammered by Miami, KC will not look past them and a focused team that is coming into miami should have enough to beat a miami team off an emotional win. Home field advantage will help Miami but KC is the better team.
Packers (+5.5) over Minny
The Vikes stink and putting up 3 points against a poor SF team shows just how bad the offense has gotten. Minny has slowly declined offensively over the past few games and getting a Packers team that CAN play well will be a bad situation for the Vikes. YES Farve has been the Achilles heel for the Pack but he still can throw the ball and against the minny secondary he should get some big plays. One week after a 31-7 home loss to the New England Patriots, the Vikings had another awful performance on offense last Sunday in a 9-3 defeat to the San Francisco 49ers. Minnesota was held to a season-low 238 yards despite playing a San Francisco team which ranked second-to-last in the NFL in total defense. The Vikings' season low had been 284 yards, set against New England. They've committed seven turnovers - six by Johnson - and given up seven sacks over those two games. It will be tough for the Pack to get things going running because the Vikes have a very good defense. The offensive struggles are even more frustrating for the defense, which is first in the NFL against the run (69.0 yards per game) and second in the NFC behind the Chicago Bears in points allowed (16.9 per game).Green Bay out gained Buffalo 427-184 and had 15 more first downs, but again was undone by costly turnovers. Favre went 28-of-47 for 287 yards and one touchdown, but threw two interceptions and was involved in two fumbles on botched snaps from center Scott Wells. Green Bay is 0-4 this season when Favre throws an interception, 3-1 when he doesn't. That will be the difference today and if Farve plays well the Pack should win this game but even if he struggles I think the pack keep it close. Perhaps leading up to the EX-packer longwell hitting a possible game winner.
Lions (-6) over SF
Kitna is on pace for his best season since 2003, when he threw for 3,591 yards and 26 touchdowns for Cincinnati. He has topped 200 yards in all eight games for Detroit and has thrown for 2,174 yards and 10 touchdowns with 10 interceptions overall. Running back Kevin Jones added 110 yards and two TDs against the Falcons, topping 100 yards for the second time in three games. After injuries limited him to 684 yards in 13 games last season, Jones already has 584 yards and a career-high seven touchdowns - six rushing. While Detroit's offense is flourishing, San Francisco visits Ford Field coming off its best defensive performance of the season in a surprising 9-3 win last Sunday over Minnesota. After a five-week stretch in which they allowed 188 points and an average of 388.4 yards, the 49ers went with a simpler defensive scheme that limited the Vikings to 238 total yards and forced three turnovers. But this is a different drink because SF has not played well on the road while the Lions have played well at home. The 49ers have won their last four meetings with the Lions - all played in San Francisco - and are visiting Detroit for the first time since a 27-24 loss on Sept. 25, 1995. The lions offense has looked sharp, Kitna is hitting Roy Williams and Jones is running well. All point to them starting to adapt to Martz offensive system. They have the advantage in the offensive department and the defense that played Vick very well last weekend should be up to stopping Smith.Don't like the 6 points but I have to give the edge to the lions in almost every department from coaching down to special teams.
Small play
Atlanta (-8) over Cleveland
Off a loss at home the falcons will look to rebound, Cleveland battles but IMO Atlanta has too much to play for in this game.
Cheers
Irish
