Sweet 16

cooz3

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whats up jedi...take a look at the ball state under...especially the last ten games home games for S.C. and last 10 away games for Ball ...eliminate highest/lowest totals by each ( comes to a median)... if you average it by year the number is much closer...but by last ten we may have something...keep an eye on that game tonight.....then again i've been wrong before..good luck with you're picks
 

Jedi

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"I've been wrong before" - crap, Red Code and I were wrong last night :eek:! Thought the over in the Cuse game looked strong. How wrong can you get? Thanks for the heads up on the Ball State game - I'll take a look at it.

Good Luck
 

cooz3

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sorry just got back ......capping the total between ball st and s.carolina ..i came up with 139 capping the last 10 games i came up with a total around 119.... last 10 games for ball on the road ..take away the highest and lowest totals..and then divide by 10 (119) do the same for south car. at home last 10...(115.2) total comes to 234.2 then divided by 2...117.1...but as you can see huge discrepancy between season and last 10...so i laid off...but if you applied youre theory of the last 10 games showing a trend then we may have had something...lets see..

i applied the same theory last night to the 2 nit games and hit both totals...but i used the whole season number...lets see if the last 10 games apply tonight or if the season total does...

this is just a theory...win some lose some

but i think if you apply the same theory to the ucla game you may see some numbers that are ...lets say ....not very popular..lol

P.s. don't include O.T. games in youre analysis they completely skew the numbers...

again this is just one method .... but i think it's worth looking into ...i have been winning my share lately with totals...good luck cooz
 

Jedi

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Nice call on the Ball State under; however, I'm a little confused about your method. If you eliminate the high and the low from the last 10 total shouldn't you divide by 8 not 10? Just wondering.

I did put a little on the under and it helped make up for my picks - they sucked (1-2). Think I would learn:

Think I would learn not to take the favorites during the tourney. Got my ass handed to me last year and I made the same mistake yesterday.

I guess I still haven't learned. I took 2 favorites and one dog last night. Any guess on which game I won . . . . the dog!

Think my tourney record looks ok at 21-18-2 but I lost two BIG plays against Kent (Bama and Pitt).

I'll be back in a bit with my picks (looking at Texas).

Good Luck
 
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