Hi guys.... Im seeking feedback for a system I came up with (hard to believe its totally new, but maybe?) while researching daily selections with a buddy.....and we didnt take notice of it until late May last year, and it worked, usually by third game...
Its similar to the Cisco Home Favorite System except when you play totals, the juice is much lower!!
take a look at totals from last week... any teams home all week that were all overs or all unders?
#1) take all teams that will be home for at least 6 games in a row, starting on Monday or Tuesday (* because Sunday is last day of betting wk most cases)
#2) leave em alone the first game... then whatever they do in game 1... for game 2 start betting they'll go opposite.... (*so if they went over in gm 1, bet them to go under in gm 2, and if that fails, chase in game 3, until they hit an under, etc.)
#3) once they achieve their goal of at least one over and one under, thats it for that team for the week...
okay.... obvious drawback... if they go on a streak where it stays over (or under) all week long, you can lose a bunch.... but... last season, we started tracking it and that only happened once, i think it was the Reds on an over streak, but then the streak ended on the next day Monday....
11 Teams this week:
Tby Rays - no gm mon, no bet tue
Tex Rangers - Tue under no bet Wed bet over
Red Sox - Tue under no bet Wed bet over
KC Royals - Tue under no bet Wed bet over
White Sox - Mon over no bet (no gm tue) Wed bet under
Hou Astros - Mon under no bet Tue bet over
Az Dbacks - Mon over no bet Tue bet under
SF Giants - Mon over no bet Tue bet under
NY Mets - Tue under no bet Wed bet over
Wash Nats - Mon over no bet (no gm tue) Wed bet under
Pitt Pirates - Mon over no bet (no gm tue) Wed bet under
If you bet to make $50 per gm, lets say youre laying 10% juice avg...
Tue bet to win 50, but lose -55
Wed bet to win 105, but lose 115, now down -170
Thur bet to win 220, but lose 242, now down -422 :scared
so you see... it can get ugly... but... just for the heck of it...lets keep an eye on it...
Here's another option if you want.. you can wait until wed or thurs and bet only those teams that have played 2 or 3 overs or unders in a row already, and still waiting to hit the opposite way... on a total...BUT... that leads to far fewer opportunities...
Last Week
* some tms only had 5 gms... but just to show you an example....
Yankees Tue-under... then under (L) under (L) OVER (WIN by 3rd bet)
Tigers Wed-under.... then under (L) OVER (WIN by 2nd bet)
Twins Tue-over... then UNDER (WIN by 1st bet)
Braves Tue-over... then UNDER (WIN 1st bet)
Cubs Wed-10 runs over?... then thur 9, fri 7 (so WIN by 2nd bet)
Reds Wed-over....then UNDER (WIN by 1st bet)
StL Tue-under... then OVER (WIN by 1st bet)
Padres Tue-under.... then OVER (WIN by 1st bet)
Questionables....
Marlins === not sure, scored 9, then 13 (def over there), then 9, then 10, then 11... maybe a 9 run gm was an under... help anyone???
A's === also not sure but only played 5 gms... their gms were scored 3, 5, 9 - over?, 7, 3....
So maybe its safer to just look for one under from the A's?? or not play them at all??
I think its safe to look at the A's and SF and LA Dodgers and Padres as usually low scoring teams at nite at home... esp early in yr... cold heavy air
just as the home fav system requires a certain winning % to qualify... maybe you just want to eliminate certain teams... but you can always reduce your amt on those particular teams if you want also... different ways to approach it...
Anyway... Im throwing it out for feedback.... Best of Luck to All whatever you decide to do!!
Let me know what you think!! Thanks for taking the time and Good Luck!
PS...
I know there are times when teams will play 6-9 gms in a row at home w/first gm starting on a thursday or something, but I just state it to you starting on a Monday or Tuesday to keep it simple, you can apply it to these other situations. I dont think theres any home tm last year that had all overs or all unders on a 9 gm homestand...
Its similar to the Cisco Home Favorite System except when you play totals, the juice is much lower!!
take a look at totals from last week... any teams home all week that were all overs or all unders?
#1) take all teams that will be home for at least 6 games in a row, starting on Monday or Tuesday (* because Sunday is last day of betting wk most cases)
#2) leave em alone the first game... then whatever they do in game 1... for game 2 start betting they'll go opposite.... (*so if they went over in gm 1, bet them to go under in gm 2, and if that fails, chase in game 3, until they hit an under, etc.)
#3) once they achieve their goal of at least one over and one under, thats it for that team for the week...
okay.... obvious drawback... if they go on a streak where it stays over (or under) all week long, you can lose a bunch.... but... last season, we started tracking it and that only happened once, i think it was the Reds on an over streak, but then the streak ended on the next day Monday....
11 Teams this week:
Tby Rays - no gm mon, no bet tue
Tex Rangers - Tue under no bet Wed bet over
Red Sox - Tue under no bet Wed bet over
KC Royals - Tue under no bet Wed bet over
White Sox - Mon over no bet (no gm tue) Wed bet under
Hou Astros - Mon under no bet Tue bet over
Az Dbacks - Mon over no bet Tue bet under
SF Giants - Mon over no bet Tue bet under
NY Mets - Tue under no bet Wed bet over
Wash Nats - Mon over no bet (no gm tue) Wed bet under
Pitt Pirates - Mon over no bet (no gm tue) Wed bet under
If you bet to make $50 per gm, lets say youre laying 10% juice avg...
Tue bet to win 50, but lose -55
Wed bet to win 105, but lose 115, now down -170
Thur bet to win 220, but lose 242, now down -422 :scared
so you see... it can get ugly... but... just for the heck of it...lets keep an eye on it...
Here's another option if you want.. you can wait until wed or thurs and bet only those teams that have played 2 or 3 overs or unders in a row already, and still waiting to hit the opposite way... on a total...BUT... that leads to far fewer opportunities...
Last Week
* some tms only had 5 gms... but just to show you an example....
Yankees Tue-under... then under (L) under (L) OVER (WIN by 3rd bet)
Tigers Wed-under.... then under (L) OVER (WIN by 2nd bet)
Twins Tue-over... then UNDER (WIN by 1st bet)
Braves Tue-over... then UNDER (WIN 1st bet)
Cubs Wed-10 runs over?... then thur 9, fri 7 (so WIN by 2nd bet)
Reds Wed-over....then UNDER (WIN by 1st bet)
StL Tue-under... then OVER (WIN by 1st bet)
Padres Tue-under.... then OVER (WIN by 1st bet)
Questionables....
Marlins === not sure, scored 9, then 13 (def over there), then 9, then 10, then 11... maybe a 9 run gm was an under... help anyone???
A's === also not sure but only played 5 gms... their gms were scored 3, 5, 9 - over?, 7, 3....
So maybe its safer to just look for one under from the A's?? or not play them at all??
I think its safe to look at the A's and SF and LA Dodgers and Padres as usually low scoring teams at nite at home... esp early in yr... cold heavy air
just as the home fav system requires a certain winning % to qualify... maybe you just want to eliminate certain teams... but you can always reduce your amt on those particular teams if you want also... different ways to approach it...
Anyway... Im throwing it out for feedback.... Best of Luck to All whatever you decide to do!!
Let me know what you think!! Thanks for taking the time and Good Luck!
PS...
I know there are times when teams will play 6-9 gms in a row at home w/first gm starting on a thursday or something, but I just state it to you starting on a Monday or Tuesday to keep it simple, you can apply it to these other situations. I dont think theres any home tm last year that had all overs or all unders on a 9 gm homestand...
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