Orioles 58 (Radke@Moss)
--Radke hot been fairly hot (certainly for him this year), while Moss has pitched better lately as well; Radke has done pretty good work in his career vs O's (including 7-4 w/4.10 era; just 2-3 w/5.56 in 5 starts @Camden); Moss has minimal work vs Twins but had a rough go vs them on June 3rd (in SF); I like Moss to perform well in his first O's start aws maybe a change of scenery can bring back his solid game; PV+5 at -110; I'd lean under 9 (58%), but juice is high, and both clubs capable of scoring high numbers
PLAYING:
Orioles -110
2.2/2
blue jays 55 (Lidle@Zambrano)
--Lidle 2-2 vs, but sports a 6.46 era in 30.2 IP vs (1-1 6.28 this year, with both starts at the Skydome; he got the loss in a 5-3 D'Rays win last time out); Zambrano's #'s a little better vs in less appearances, but he's had 4 subpar outtings in a row, raising his era from 3.69 to 4.39 over that time (he still went 3-1 as D'Rays scored 26 runs for him in the 3); if it's an offensive battle than I like the Jays here, one drawback being the much better bullpen of Tampa; over 10 is tempting (PV+5 at 57% and -105), but I don't trust the overachieving D'Rays bats vs the underachieving Lidle; PV+5 on Jays
PLAYING:
blue jays +100
1/1
Chisox 64 (Hernandez@Garland)
--definately trust the semi-hot Garland (club has won his past 4 starts, Garland 2-0) over the inconsistent Hernandez (club 3-1 since his return from DL, but he's allowed 23 hits in 18.1 IP over that time -only 65 in 76.1 on the year- with one of the two good starts being @Tigers -other was vs M's- and the worse one being his last VS chisox (6 er in 2.2 IP)); this % includes the smallest possible batting edge to the White Sox, with a much larger pitching edge; I still think the Royals pen blows; total looks even, slight under leanage (55%); PV+5 at -140, but I think this one looks better than the O's (Chi's trouble with righties should tail off as the season goes on, with the added bats to their lineup, which really seems to be picking up the other on the roster as well)
PLAYING:
Chisox -140
2.8/2
Hope you have fun, and never have to suffer through the movie Instinct (sucks so far)
...alright...coulda been worse
over and out
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
And in the end
The love you take
Is equal to the love you make
(L&M-Beatles-Abbey Road-The End)
--Radke hot been fairly hot (certainly for him this year), while Moss has pitched better lately as well; Radke has done pretty good work in his career vs O's (including 7-4 w/4.10 era; just 2-3 w/5.56 in 5 starts @Camden); Moss has minimal work vs Twins but had a rough go vs them on June 3rd (in SF); I like Moss to perform well in his first O's start aws maybe a change of scenery can bring back his solid game; PV+5 at -110; I'd lean under 9 (58%), but juice is high, and both clubs capable of scoring high numbers
PLAYING:
Orioles -110
2.2/2
blue jays 55 (Lidle@Zambrano)
--Lidle 2-2 vs, but sports a 6.46 era in 30.2 IP vs (1-1 6.28 this year, with both starts at the Skydome; he got the loss in a 5-3 D'Rays win last time out); Zambrano's #'s a little better vs in less appearances, but he's had 4 subpar outtings in a row, raising his era from 3.69 to 4.39 over that time (he still went 3-1 as D'Rays scored 26 runs for him in the 3); if it's an offensive battle than I like the Jays here, one drawback being the much better bullpen of Tampa; over 10 is tempting (PV+5 at 57% and -105), but I don't trust the overachieving D'Rays bats vs the underachieving Lidle; PV+5 on Jays
PLAYING:
blue jays +100
1/1
Chisox 64 (Hernandez@Garland)
--definately trust the semi-hot Garland (club has won his past 4 starts, Garland 2-0) over the inconsistent Hernandez (club 3-1 since his return from DL, but he's allowed 23 hits in 18.1 IP over that time -only 65 in 76.1 on the year- with one of the two good starts being @Tigers -other was vs M's- and the worse one being his last VS chisox (6 er in 2.2 IP)); this % includes the smallest possible batting edge to the White Sox, with a much larger pitching edge; I still think the Royals pen blows; total looks even, slight under leanage (55%); PV+5 at -140, but I think this one looks better than the O's (Chi's trouble with righties should tail off as the season goes on, with the added bats to their lineup, which really seems to be picking up the other on the roster as well)
PLAYING:
Chisox -140
2.8/2
Hope you have fun, and never have to suffer through the movie Instinct (sucks so far)
...alright...coulda been worse
over and out
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
And in the end
The love you take
Is equal to the love you make
(L&M-Beatles-Abbey Road-The End)
Last edited:

