when capping the nba play-offs to be on the+side one must treat the regular season completly seperate from post season using play-off trends, experience and coaching tendencies. i have noticed people using regular season stats playing a major role on reasoning for plays. using playoff stats even for a few games should weigh much more in capping a play-off game- example the over in the boston game taking regular season this game flys over. using postseason stats everything points to the under. it is a east trap to fall in -i have done it this year and years past and usually bites me in the but.
