hey everyone,
I'm not overthinking myself on this one tonight - i took West Virginia -7 and West Virgina over 55 for tonight - to win $1K on each. This one is a tough game to figure out who the majority is backing - i see some of the consensus sites have WV but everyone and their brother seem to be on South Florida so honestly i think this is close to a 50/50 backing tonight.
Here is the deal - West Virginia is just one of those teams that you always feel can score on ANY given play. I keep reading about all this South Florida speed - and i did watch them tear up a pathetic North Carolina team (that QB for NC is useless) last week - but this game I think will be total opposite. Every team always talks about how they will contain Slaton and White - now I think you should throw Devine in there as well (love this kid) - sure the stadium will be sold out and that first series should be crazy - but once that wears off ask yourself this question - over 60 minutes who do you have more confidence in scoring every time they have the ball? For me it's an easy answer - West Virginia. There are very few teams i have confidence in laying points on the road - and this is one of them.
I laid the -16 when they played at Maryland on a Thurs a few weeks back - they won by 17 - not pretty -but honestly you never really felt good about Marylands chances to win the game. People refer to that Marshall game and how they trailed but they did come back and won by like 25 - to me that says something. This team seems to score when they want to. I think both teams will score. If this game goes under, so be it - but wow if you take a look all month - a very high % of these Thurs & Fri college games go over - i made the mistake yesterday of taking both unders - in CFB honestly i'm having a hard time taking unders - w/ all the turnovers, clock stoppages, big plays - no under ever seems safe.
West Virginia is a team capable of putting 30-40 up on anyone. This should be a great game, but my money says WV wins, covers, and there are enough points to push this game over the total...2 TD's a quarter are really what is needed to get there...West Virginia seems to be able to score in bunches.
If South Florida was catching 14 points, that might tempt me. But West Virginia is one of the best road bets out there - i think people are forgetting this is the #5 ranked team, and they want a shot at a National Title - they don't want their hopes to end tonight. They will give 100%.
As always this is just 2 plays in the whole "long run" - i could go 2-0, could go 0-2 - it won't change my life - I just see alot of people chalking up South Florida as winning this game outright - maybe they do, maybe they don't - i'll back what i think is the better team over 60 minutes of football. Truth is i can see South Florida getting out to a 7, 10, or 14 point lead, and West Virginia still coming back for a win and cover.
The 24-19 score from last year in my opinion is deceiving. Remember West Virginia last year - was a 21 POINT FAVORITE! Yes they were at home, but everyone knew they had injuries. I played South Florida last year because of those injuries and getting the genrous 21 points - i was still shocked they won the game. I remember thinking immediately that next year West Virginia would have the calendar marked when they played again because WV played handicapped that night. Now fast forward to this year - South Florida has been hot, everyone is talking about them - i think that WV favored by 7 is lower than i originally anticipated it might be - after all WV rarely wins a game by less than 7 points - this is one team that if i think they will win i will lay the points with - so if you like WV to win the game, lay the points.
So 43 points scored last year - the total last year was o/u 54 - it went under by 11 points...of course year to year things change - the o/u is 55 to 56 depending where you get it - i locked in on 55 earlier - now this year don't you think a healthy WV team, adding in a weapon like Devine, and also a South Florida team who probably has potential to put up 21-24 points as well - well i think this goes over the total - add to it the "week night" factor - i truely believe these college primetime week night games tend to bring out the best in both offenses - so i went over here
West Virginia, West Virginia over - 2 plays i believe will be the right side tonight. Those who know me know me as mainly an underdog player - WV is one of those teams i'll lay points with. After the game settles in and the hype is over, i think West Virginia wins by 10-17 points. I see potential scores in the 35-24, 37-20, 39-21, 40-24 range...
Good luck - should be an enjoyable game to watch, win or lose!
--SAVE IT
I'm not overthinking myself on this one tonight - i took West Virginia -7 and West Virgina over 55 for tonight - to win $1K on each. This one is a tough game to figure out who the majority is backing - i see some of the consensus sites have WV but everyone and their brother seem to be on South Florida so honestly i think this is close to a 50/50 backing tonight.
Here is the deal - West Virginia is just one of those teams that you always feel can score on ANY given play. I keep reading about all this South Florida speed - and i did watch them tear up a pathetic North Carolina team (that QB for NC is useless) last week - but this game I think will be total opposite. Every team always talks about how they will contain Slaton and White - now I think you should throw Devine in there as well (love this kid) - sure the stadium will be sold out and that first series should be crazy - but once that wears off ask yourself this question - over 60 minutes who do you have more confidence in scoring every time they have the ball? For me it's an easy answer - West Virginia. There are very few teams i have confidence in laying points on the road - and this is one of them.
I laid the -16 when they played at Maryland on a Thurs a few weeks back - they won by 17 - not pretty -but honestly you never really felt good about Marylands chances to win the game. People refer to that Marshall game and how they trailed but they did come back and won by like 25 - to me that says something. This team seems to score when they want to. I think both teams will score. If this game goes under, so be it - but wow if you take a look all month - a very high % of these Thurs & Fri college games go over - i made the mistake yesterday of taking both unders - in CFB honestly i'm having a hard time taking unders - w/ all the turnovers, clock stoppages, big plays - no under ever seems safe.
West Virginia is a team capable of putting 30-40 up on anyone. This should be a great game, but my money says WV wins, covers, and there are enough points to push this game over the total...2 TD's a quarter are really what is needed to get there...West Virginia seems to be able to score in bunches.
If South Florida was catching 14 points, that might tempt me. But West Virginia is one of the best road bets out there - i think people are forgetting this is the #5 ranked team, and they want a shot at a National Title - they don't want their hopes to end tonight. They will give 100%.
As always this is just 2 plays in the whole "long run" - i could go 2-0, could go 0-2 - it won't change my life - I just see alot of people chalking up South Florida as winning this game outright - maybe they do, maybe they don't - i'll back what i think is the better team over 60 minutes of football. Truth is i can see South Florida getting out to a 7, 10, or 14 point lead, and West Virginia still coming back for a win and cover.
The 24-19 score from last year in my opinion is deceiving. Remember West Virginia last year - was a 21 POINT FAVORITE! Yes they were at home, but everyone knew they had injuries. I played South Florida last year because of those injuries and getting the genrous 21 points - i was still shocked they won the game. I remember thinking immediately that next year West Virginia would have the calendar marked when they played again because WV played handicapped that night. Now fast forward to this year - South Florida has been hot, everyone is talking about them - i think that WV favored by 7 is lower than i originally anticipated it might be - after all WV rarely wins a game by less than 7 points - this is one team that if i think they will win i will lay the points with - so if you like WV to win the game, lay the points.
So 43 points scored last year - the total last year was o/u 54 - it went under by 11 points...of course year to year things change - the o/u is 55 to 56 depending where you get it - i locked in on 55 earlier - now this year don't you think a healthy WV team, adding in a weapon like Devine, and also a South Florida team who probably has potential to put up 21-24 points as well - well i think this goes over the total - add to it the "week night" factor - i truely believe these college primetime week night games tend to bring out the best in both offenses - so i went over here
West Virginia, West Virginia over - 2 plays i believe will be the right side tonight. Those who know me know me as mainly an underdog player - WV is one of those teams i'll lay points with. After the game settles in and the hype is over, i think West Virginia wins by 10-17 points. I see potential scores in the 35-24, 37-20, 39-21, 40-24 range...
Good luck - should be an enjoyable game to watch, win or lose!
--SAVE IT
