At the beginning of the year I posted in a thread that TCU and Boise St have played close games in three bowl games and I didn't see any reason this year would be different. Well, that was before TCU's secondary was torched by Baylor and SMU. They've come around since then, but will have to play mistake free if they plan on stopping Kellen Moore and company. Doug Martin was injured during the UNLV game, but is expected to return.
However, TCU's offense has been a pleasant surprise. They can score and will need to if Boise St goes on a tear. TCU may not win SU, but they have the weapons to cover 15 pts. Pachall is on pace to set school records as is WR Joyce Boyce. Ed Wesley has been playing well since returning from his early injury. Waylon James is running wild as well. The offense just has to limit turnovers. Too many fumbles last week.
Boise St will be without star DT Billy Winn. TCU should run, run and run some more. AF was able to stay close for awhile doing that. I realize AF is a different type of running team, but Boise St showed they can be run on. They also have a CB out and that should help with some nice long pass plays.
Boise St is not the same team as last year. I don't know if they were just going through the motiions until the TCU game or what. But, they look beatable this year. And just like last year's Nevada game, they don't have multiple weeks to prepare for an emotional game. This seems to be when Boise St is most vunerable.
Now, the most interesting stat in this series is Moore has never thrown a TD against the TCU. I doubt that continues in this game. There will be at least one play where a safety gets beat for a TD pass.
In 2003, I thought TCU would win easily. Boise St won in a very entertaining game 34-31. In 2008, I thought TCU would lose, but TCU was able to come from behind and win 17-16. In 2009, I thought TCU would blow Boise St out, but Boise St got a pick 6, executed a fake punt, and a TCU receiver dropped the game-tying TD pass in the endzone. Boise St won 17-10.
My head says TCU loses this one due to defense giving up big plays like they have all year. My heart says TCU keeps it close all the way with a chance to win by a FG.
Based on the past three games and recent year results, 15 points is a lot for Boise St to be giving out in this game. I know it's based on them playing on the Blue Turf and TCU's defense being down. Patterson loves to be seen as the underdog and Vegas did him a favor by putting out this line. Also the MWC moving the game to Boise St really pissed him off as well.
TCU's fast starts have come on the road this year. I see that trend continuing Saturday. The early start time also helps TCU stay within 15. I see this being like that first game back in 2003. Both teams hit at least 30 points for the Over.
Good luck in whatever you decide to do. :toast:
However, TCU's offense has been a pleasant surprise. They can score and will need to if Boise St goes on a tear. TCU may not win SU, but they have the weapons to cover 15 pts. Pachall is on pace to set school records as is WR Joyce Boyce. Ed Wesley has been playing well since returning from his early injury. Waylon James is running wild as well. The offense just has to limit turnovers. Too many fumbles last week.
Boise St will be without star DT Billy Winn. TCU should run, run and run some more. AF was able to stay close for awhile doing that. I realize AF is a different type of running team, but Boise St showed they can be run on. They also have a CB out and that should help with some nice long pass plays.
Boise St is not the same team as last year. I don't know if they were just going through the motiions until the TCU game or what. But, they look beatable this year. And just like last year's Nevada game, they don't have multiple weeks to prepare for an emotional game. This seems to be when Boise St is most vunerable.
Now, the most interesting stat in this series is Moore has never thrown a TD against the TCU. I doubt that continues in this game. There will be at least one play where a safety gets beat for a TD pass.
In 2003, I thought TCU would win easily. Boise St won in a very entertaining game 34-31. In 2008, I thought TCU would lose, but TCU was able to come from behind and win 17-16. In 2009, I thought TCU would blow Boise St out, but Boise St got a pick 6, executed a fake punt, and a TCU receiver dropped the game-tying TD pass in the endzone. Boise St won 17-10.
My head says TCU loses this one due to defense giving up big plays like they have all year. My heart says TCU keeps it close all the way with a chance to win by a FG.
Based on the past three games and recent year results, 15 points is a lot for Boise St to be giving out in this game. I know it's based on them playing on the Blue Turf and TCU's defense being down. Patterson loves to be seen as the underdog and Vegas did him a favor by putting out this line. Also the MWC moving the game to Boise St really pissed him off as well.
TCU's fast starts have come on the road this year. I see that trend continuing Saturday. The early start time also helps TCU stay within 15. I see this being like that first game back in 2003. Both teams hit at least 30 points for the Over.
Good luck in whatever you decide to do. :toast:
