TCU -1.5 Louisville 50.5
This play becomes an automatic play because of the situation it qualifies in. TCU qualifies in a home momentum situation, which is now 127-50-3 and 9-1 this year, including an easy win with Texas last week. The average cover has been by 6.5 points and by 11.5 points this year. The Louisville offense is better, gaining 6.7 yppl against teams allowing 5.8 yppl versus the TCU offense, which is gaining just 5.6 yppl against 5.5 yppl. The TCU defense is better, allowing 5.1 yppl against 5.0 yppl, while Louisville is allowing 5.0 yppl against 4.7 yppl. Both offenses are above average and both defenses are below average. But Louisville runs the ball 59% of the time and they are averaging 5.4 ypr against 4.5 ypr but the TCU defense is allowing just 2.6 ypr against teams averaging 3.7 ypr. Both teams throw the ball well but Louisville has defended the pass better this year. Final numbers indicate TCU winning by about two points but with the added value of the great situation they are in, that makes their final number closer to about seven points. I also like this game over the total. As I said, both teams have above average offenses and below average defenses and these two have played each other the last two years with TCU dominating on the scoreboard, but both games were very high scoring, 45-31 at Louisville last year and 37-22 at TCU two years ago. TCU 34 LOUISVILLE 24
YTD 25-33-1 -26.70%
2% TCU -1.5
2% TCU/LOUISVILLE OVER 50.5
This play becomes an automatic play because of the situation it qualifies in. TCU qualifies in a home momentum situation, which is now 127-50-3 and 9-1 this year, including an easy win with Texas last week. The average cover has been by 6.5 points and by 11.5 points this year. The Louisville offense is better, gaining 6.7 yppl against teams allowing 5.8 yppl versus the TCU offense, which is gaining just 5.6 yppl against 5.5 yppl. The TCU defense is better, allowing 5.1 yppl against 5.0 yppl, while Louisville is allowing 5.0 yppl against 4.7 yppl. Both offenses are above average and both defenses are below average. But Louisville runs the ball 59% of the time and they are averaging 5.4 ypr against 4.5 ypr but the TCU defense is allowing just 2.6 ypr against teams averaging 3.7 ypr. Both teams throw the ball well but Louisville has defended the pass better this year. Final numbers indicate TCU winning by about two points but with the added value of the great situation they are in, that makes their final number closer to about seven points. I also like this game over the total. As I said, both teams have above average offenses and below average defenses and these two have played each other the last two years with TCU dominating on the scoreboard, but both games were very high scoring, 45-31 at Louisville last year and 37-22 at TCU two years ago. TCU 34 LOUISVILLE 24
YTD 25-33-1 -26.70%
2% TCU -1.5
2% TCU/LOUISVILLE OVER 50.5
