CHI ?0.5 ?115
TB 5.0u ?115
Have to like the way this CHI team is playing right now. CHI (Overall SD +0.26gpg) is 8-2-0 ATS last 10 games with a SD of +0.80gpg and 3-0 ATS vs. the SE Div. this year with a SD of +2.33gpg including 2 SO. CHI is 18-6-5 on 1 DR with a SD of +0.73gpg. I don?t take too much from the TB win at NJ since it?s only 1 of 2 wins in their last 10 games, both vs. underachieving teams the other being PHX. TB (Overall SD ?0.22gpg) is 2-3-1 ATS on 2 DR with a SD of ?1.67gpg and an offensive SA of only 1.66gpg in that situation. The factor that seals the deal here is that CHI is 6-0 ATS the last 6 meetings with TB, and that tells me CHI has the personnel and/or coaching matchup advantage here besides just being the better team.
PLAY: CHI ?0.5 -115 (3 Units)
ANA 4.5o ?125
EDM ?0.5 ?175
Both teams coming off losses here, but one team seems to respond much better than the other. EDM (Overall SD +0.21gpg) at home is 14-9-1 ATS with a SD of +0.59gpg and at home off a loss is 6-1 ATS. That?s where the key to this matchup is, EDM at home. EDM is 4-0-1 ATS vs. ANA in the last 5 meetings and 5-0 ATS last 5 at home vs. ANA with a SD of +1.60gpg. EDM is also 6-2 ATS on 2 DR with a SD of +1.33gpg and a very good defensive SA of just 1.44gpg. ANA (Overall SD of ?0.41gpg) is 0-4-1 ATS their last 5 road games with a SD of ?1.70gpg. ANA on 1 DR is 10-11-2 ATS with a SD of +0.39gpg, BUT (and it?s a big but), ANA is 4-11 away following a loss. Wish the EDM special teams were a little better, (PK 66.7% last 5 games), but ANA just doesn?t score enough to make it an issue. It is enough however, to keep this from being a 5 unit play.
PLAY: EDM ?0.5 ?175 (4 Units)
FYI:
SD: Scoring Differential
SA: Scoring Average(s)
DR: Days Rest
SO: Shutout(s)
Just some shortcuts I use to cut down on the typing
TB 5.0u ?115
Have to like the way this CHI team is playing right now. CHI (Overall SD +0.26gpg) is 8-2-0 ATS last 10 games with a SD of +0.80gpg and 3-0 ATS vs. the SE Div. this year with a SD of +2.33gpg including 2 SO. CHI is 18-6-5 on 1 DR with a SD of +0.73gpg. I don?t take too much from the TB win at NJ since it?s only 1 of 2 wins in their last 10 games, both vs. underachieving teams the other being PHX. TB (Overall SD ?0.22gpg) is 2-3-1 ATS on 2 DR with a SD of ?1.67gpg and an offensive SA of only 1.66gpg in that situation. The factor that seals the deal here is that CHI is 6-0 ATS the last 6 meetings with TB, and that tells me CHI has the personnel and/or coaching matchup advantage here besides just being the better team.
PLAY: CHI ?0.5 -115 (3 Units)
ANA 4.5o ?125
EDM ?0.5 ?175
Both teams coming off losses here, but one team seems to respond much better than the other. EDM (Overall SD +0.21gpg) at home is 14-9-1 ATS with a SD of +0.59gpg and at home off a loss is 6-1 ATS. That?s where the key to this matchup is, EDM at home. EDM is 4-0-1 ATS vs. ANA in the last 5 meetings and 5-0 ATS last 5 at home vs. ANA with a SD of +1.60gpg. EDM is also 6-2 ATS on 2 DR with a SD of +1.33gpg and a very good defensive SA of just 1.44gpg. ANA (Overall SD of ?0.41gpg) is 0-4-1 ATS their last 5 road games with a SD of ?1.70gpg. ANA on 1 DR is 10-11-2 ATS with a SD of +0.39gpg, BUT (and it?s a big but), ANA is 4-11 away following a loss. Wish the EDM special teams were a little better, (PK 66.7% last 5 games), but ANA just doesn?t score enough to make it an issue. It is enough however, to keep this from being a 5 unit play.
PLAY: EDM ?0.5 ?175 (4 Units)
FYI:
SD: Scoring Differential
SA: Scoring Average(s)
DR: Days Rest
SO: Shutout(s)
Just some shortcuts I use to cut down on the typing
