TGIF... St. Patty's 1st Round Action...

Jayhawk_Thor

Rock Chalk
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Dec 26, 2004
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Lawrence, KS
FINAL REGULAR SEASON RECORD: (1 unit= $100)

Big 12: 31-17-2 (+$1,889)
Other conferences: 12-7 (-$34)
Total: 43-24-2 (+$1,855)

Updated Postseason record:

8-5 ($518)

Yesterday recap: No complaints. Had my two largest plays on Texas A&M and UW-Mil., and those two dogs both won outright, comforatably... leading to a big winning day. Unfortunately, Big 12 teams are drying up. :com:

Returned yesterday from Mexico to discover I was scheduled to work the overnight Thursday shift at the hotel. By the time 7 a.m. rolls around, it will have been a long day. :scared

YTD Total: 51-29-2 ($2,373)

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Wisconsin -1 (Arz), +111, 100/111
--- Love this one. Will sell back the point and take it -1.
To put it simply, this Arizona team has no heart. :sadwave:
And Wisconsin basketball is the opposite of that, hard nosed, scrappy.
I think the 'Cats will fold like a tent in the 2nd half after Wisconsin continues to hit them in the mouth.

Michigan St. -4 (GM), -104, 52/50
--- I think MSU will make a run this year. They really havent played great basketball, but I will trust my money with Izzo, who always seems to get his guys going in the tournament, even when their regular season is sub par.

Kent St. +6.5 (Pit), -103, 51.50/50
---- Am I missing something here? :shrug:
There are a lot of guys on this board that really like Pitt, and I guess I just dont see it.
They have a solid veteran point guard and are well coached, but their talent isnt great and they let teams hang around.
A KSU upset would not surprise me in the least (although Pitt is the only 5 seed that I had advancing in my bracket...)

NC St. -2 (Cal), -106, 53/50
--- Powe is going to have to play incredible to stave off the Wolfpack.

Penn +15 (UT), -105, 52.50/50
---- I think Penn can keep this one fairly close.
They will be content to slow the game down, and keep possesions at a premium.
Texas wont mind playing that style either, and Aldridge and Tucker should have good games as the Horns pound Penn inside.

Davidson +11 (OSU), -108, 54/50
--- Much more a play against Ohio St. than for Davidson.
Could the Buckeyes have possibly received a better draw? Tennessee and Ohio St. couldnt have been luckier.
Anyway, I figure this wager as a win-win. If Davidson covers, I win this bet. If they get killed, I get an added bonus in line value to fade OSU in the 2nd round for at least double this wager... I'm sitting pretty :142smilie


I am not going to play the KU game, but here is my opinion for those who are capping the game:

I would lean towards KU. For those of you that didnt read my last two threads, I am very weary to play favorites in the NCAA Tournament, especially early on, and especially when laying a larger number.
KU is playing incredible however. They are a big favorite that could actually justify playing because they have a deep team. If they jump on Bradley early, you wont have to worry about a backdoor, because the second wave of Hawks will come in and play just as hard and almost as effectively as the first.
I might, however, bite on the total. I think this one goes over (136.5).
I believe Bill Self learned a valuable lesson in the first round of last season. When your team clearly has the superior talent/athletes, it makes no sense to walk the ball up the court everytime and milk 25 seconds off the shot clock each time down. They played right into Bucknells hands (although last years team was structured much differantly than this one).
So I think Self will let the young guys run, allowing for more possesions, and making for a high scoring contest. From what I hear, Bradley also has some athletes, and if this is Selfs gameplan, they will be happy to turn this into a shoot-out, hoping to pull the upset playing that style.

Hope that helps a little... I will have that total play up tomorrow afternoon if I decide (which will probably have to do with two things: if I am turning a profit, and how much I am celebrating St. Patty's Day... :mj07: )

Have a good one, guys.
 

gman2

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Nov 12, 2002
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really like your card. i dont think youre giving davidson nearly enough credit. its not a good draw for ohio state by any stretch. they got the 2 seed in dayton but it wouldnt be a huge shock if davidson was close in the final minutes of this game. if this game wasnt in dayton id go so far as to say osu could lose outright. we can revisit this tomorrow night but i really think one of the dogs in the palace is winning outright tomorrow -- either bradley or kent state. like the philosophy on wisconsin regardless of outcome. and agree with the ncsu play as well
 

Jayhawk_Thor

Rock Chalk
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Dec 26, 2004
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Glad to see we have similar thoughts on these games Gman...

Will be interesting to see the OSU-Dayton game... Looking forward to seeing the Buckeyes exposed.
 

lowell

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Jul 6, 2003
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nc state has played big power forwards all year in craig smith, sheldon williams and t hanesbrough. powe will get his points but simmons should have good game for the pack. i think they find their 3 pt shot today and win this game to set up showdown with the underachieving longhorns and rick barnes
 

kcwolf

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Aug 1, 2000
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Like your card also, Davidson my big play. I have to play Kansas also, after seeing both teams all year long.

gl!
 
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