The (2 X 4) Chase

[The Grinder]

Over the last few weeks, ive ran a couple of chase systems in here.. First one profited about $500, next one lost about $400..

Im going to try a third one, hopefully 3rd time will be a charm...

It will be a 4 game chase, with only 2 chases open at a time... Thus the title (2 X 4) chase..

Once again i am going to start with a $1000 Bankroll, so i wont be risking much on this experiment. And i will be playing in this format..

Set 1
(a) $20
(b) $50
(c) $100
(d) $200


I will be using a little of everything for the chase:
computer program
trends
totals
etc

Im not going to limit myself in the possibilities.. The goal will be to not lose 4 plays in a single set..


Starting Bankroll: $1000

Mondays plays

Set 1
(a) Dodgers (+1.15) $20 to win $23

Set 2
(a) Whitesox (-1.20) $24 to win $20

Both of these are 4 game series... I will be chasing the selected team to win a game...

If this thread is a success, i am going to keep it running..

 

[The Grinder]

I am exploring the concept of "probability" as it relates to sports wagering... So what better way than to risk a small amount of real money...

 

[The Grinder]

Looks like 1-1 on monday

Bankroll: $1023
Record: 1-0 (+$23)
(only closed sets count in record)

plays for tuesday

Set 2
(b) Whitesox (-1.30) $65 to win $50

Set 3
(a) Braves -1 (-1.20) $24 to win $20


Whitesox are the 2nd play in a 4 game set against Tor, playing the wsox to get a win in that series.

Braves are a standard 4 game chase, they have 3 more against SD and then the dodgers.. Playing the braves to get a win in their next 4 games.. If braves win by 1 tonight, the set will be dropped from record with a push..

 

[The Grinder]

2-0 tuesday


Bankroll: $1069
Record: 3-0 (+$69)
(only closed sets count in record)


2 plays for wednesday


Set 4
(a) Cardinals (-1.75) $35 to win $20

this is simply playing the cards to get 1 win in their next 4 games.. 2 left with ariz (with wainwright and lohse) and then 2 with pitt (missing burnett) all at home.. little bit of juice but we are playing with a little extra profit..

Set 5
(a) Oakland (-1.20) $24 to win $20
Fading KC

this is a 4 game Fade of KC... they have 2 left with oakland and then 2 with Wsox, in which they would get Sale and Peavy..

 

[The Grinder]

1-1 wednesday


Bankroll: $1089
Record: 4-0 (+$89)
(only closed sets count in record)

2 plays for thurs

Set 5
(b) Oakland (+1.05) $50 to win $53

Still fading KC to lose a game, got 3 chances left.. today against oak or fri-sat against sale and peavy of the wsox..

Set 6
(a) Cardinals -1 (+1.00) $20 to win $20

playing the Cards to win one of next 4... today against ariz or one of the 3 against pitt this weekend, all in stl..

 

[The Grinder]

1-1 thursday, winning the bigger play

Bankroll: $1118
Record: 5-0 (+$118)
(only closed sets count in record)

plays for friday

Set 6
(b) Cardinals (-1.50) $75 to win $50

Set 7
(a) Whitesox (-1.50) $30 to win $20

 

[The Grinder]

0-2 friday

now the real "chase" sets in..

Set 6
(c) Cardinals (-1.60) $160 to win $100

Set 7
(b) whitesox (-1.45) $73 to win $50

 

[The Grinder]

1-1 saturday, winning the bigger play

Bankroll: $1123
Record: 6-0 (+$123)
(only closed sets count in record)

sundays plays

Set 7
(c) Whitesox (-1.15) $150 to win $130
had to up the play slightly, to account for juice lost

Set 8
(a) Milwaukee (-1.20) $24 to win $20