The Bear ML +400 dog Handout of the year

[MR. LOCK]

Sure the easy pick would be take the +10.5 but I'm not a grinder . On other words laying juice every game and trying to go over 60% . You need some doggies along the way.

Bears have had two weeks to prepare . Huge advantage . Rivalry game .
Lets look at The Bear

Last week Mc Cowen passer rating of 119.6 in just a little more than a half of action with a touchdown and no turnovers.

With a bye week and extra prep time for Monday night's matchup against the Green Bay Packers, McCown has exhibited confidence in the locker room and on the practice field, and expects to fill in for Cutler with little to no drop-off in production. McCown is a little more willing than Cutler to take off and scramble for yardage when things break down, and his athleticism is very similar to that of the starter. Count on McCown scrambling some against the Packers

The extra preparation should make for an eye-opening performance from McCown. Having been a part of the offense from the time Marc Trestman laid the foundation, McCown is just as much of a master of the offense as Cutler.

Strengths: Has plenty of game experience, which eliminates a common variable among backup quarterbacks. ? has a nice run of opponents ahead, including games at Green Bay and against Detroit, who have given up 25 combined passing touchdowns in 15 games, in the next two weeks. ? Jim Trestman's aggressive offense can maximize his abilities, which was seen when McCown came off the bench in Week 7. ? has plenty of offensive weapons in RB Matt Forte, TE Martellus Bennett and WRs Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery.

The Packers have a ton of injuries:


GREEN BAY
[WR] 11/03/2013 - James Jones probable Monday vs. Chicago ( Knee )
[LB] 10/27/2013 - Nick Perry "?" Monday vs. Chicago ( Foot )
[TE] 10/27/2013 - Ryan Taylor "?" Monday vs. Chicago ( Knee )
[TE] 10/21/2013 - Jermichael Finley IR ( Neck )
[WR] 10/14/2013 - Randall Cobb IR (eligable to return week 15) ( Fibula )
[LB] 10/08/2013 - Clay Matthews expected to miss 4-6 weeks ( Thumb )
[LB] 10/07/2013 - Rob Francois out for season ( Achilles )
[DE] 09/02/2013 - Jerel Worthy PUP ( Knee )
[T] 09/02/2013 - Derek Sherrod PUP ( Leg )
[RB] 09/02/2013 - DuJuan Harris IR ( Knee )
[T] 09/02/2013 - J.C. Tretter PUP ( Ankle )
[WR] 09/02/2013 - Kevin Dorsey IR ( Knee )
[T] 08/05/2013 - Bryan Bulaga IR ( Knee )

I'm not saying go crazy on this pick but I am saying if you're smart, you'll play these games yourself

Handouts

:0071

 

[bleedingpurple]

I hope you are right, Rodgers has owned Chico though.

 

[MR. LOCK]

I hope you are right, Rodgers has owned Chico though.

First and foremost Mc Cowen is NOT a tomato can like everyone thinks.


Second No James Jones, Randall Cobb, Jermichael Finley or Bryan Bulaga on offense

Third The Packers have been gashed on special teams in recent weeks, allowing at least a 40-yard return on either a kick or punt in three straight games. The Bears still have that Devin Hester guy, who the record books show is a pretty good returner.

Bet small win big. We lose we lose chump change but if we win :0071 . I'll take the risk/reward.

300/1200 chump change:0003

PS. Normally I hate hate the Bear:scared

 

[bleedingpurple]

Yeah I definitely can see it. Surprised the Packer fans haven't come into the thread yet. Chicago has the defensive backs to lock down Jordy Nelson and play up and put pressure on Rodgers. Vikings played waaaaay to soft last week. IMO Brian Bulaga sucked anyway and the guy who replaced him is playing much better,

I'm taking the points

 

[Jord20]

I will definitely dabble with you on this one. I don't see why Bears don't have a decent shot. +400 is a ridiculous line, IMO!!

Bears aren't that bad, even with the injuries... and Pack aren't that good. Riding this 4 week win streak a little too high... Minny, Balt, Cleveland, and even the Lions aren't exactly Murderer's Row.

 

[The Joker]

Mr. Lock - your prediction would be dead fucking wrong if this guy was playing today.



But since he isn't, your wager is, well, a lock.

Good luck!:0074

 

[The Joker]

Mr. Lock - your prediction would be dead fucking wrong if this guy was playing today.

View attachment 1259

But since he isn't, your wager is, well, a lock.

Good luck!:0074

Shit! Cobb and Hayward are out too. Looking good for you......

 

[bleedingpurple]

I will definitely dabble with you on this one. I don't see why Bears don't have a decent shot. +400 is a ridiculous line, IMO!!

Bears aren't that bad, even with the injuries... and Pack aren't that good. Riding this 4 week win streak a little too high... Minny, Balt, Cleveland, and even the Lions aren't exactly Murderer's Row.

Green Bay has played 3 teams with a winning record and they are 1-2 and their win was a close one where Detroit was without Megtron

 

[bleedingpurple]

Shit! Cobb and Hayward are out too. Looking good for you......

Well those guys have been out a while, Hayward hasn't played this season has he.

 

[MR. LOCK]

This all could be a mute point if the Bears get blown out. We will state all the facts

RB Matt Forte, TE Martellus Bennett and WRs Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery are better offensive weapons then what GB has to offer. Obviously GB has the better QB.

Defense: injuries on both sides but with TWO weeks to prepare , I give the Bear the advantage,

Intangibles Special Teams the Bear Packers have been gashed on special teams in recent weeks, allowing at least a 40-yard return on either a kick or punt in three straight games.

Hester?s 81-yard punt return score tied Sunday?s Chicago-Washington at 17 in the second quarter. The return touchdown was the 19th of Hester?s NFL career, which equals Deion Sanders? league-record mark.

MNF : Chicanery is always unfolding before your eyes :scared

Lets see what happens:0corn

 

[The Joker]

Well those guys have been out a while, Hayward hasn't played this season has he.

Yeah but - here we are in week 9 and they should be back by now or at least I would have thought they would have been. I haven't kept up with the Pack this year anyway.........

 

[Shleprock]

No lance briggs, Tillman? Major Wright exposed since bears are #31 in sacks their dl gets no pressure Wright lack of coverage is exposed.Ppeppers is a shell of himself. Packers average 30 ppg Bears defense gives up 400 yards per game. Their offense is not better off without Cutler that's fools gold talk. The rivalry angle will keep game close a while and Bears will play very hard. Fact is bears can't stop the run will wear down second half. McCarthy has made it very clear to the team and I quote "this is not another game it is the most important of the year." Packers 42- 20.

 

[Full court press]

Shit! Cobb and Hayward are out too. Looking good for you......

Word is that Bart Starr is not suiting up as well. Go Bears!

 

[bleedingpurple]

No lance briggs, Tillman? Major Wright exposed since bears are #31 in sacks their dl gets no pressure Wright lack of coverage is exposed.Ppeppers is a shell of himself. Packers average 30 ppg Bears defense gives up 400 yards per game. Their offense is not better off without Cutler that's fools gold talk. The rivalry angle will keep game close a while and Bears will play very hard. Fact is bears can't stop the run will wear down second half. McCarthy has made it very clear to the team and I quote "this is not another game it is the most important of the year." Packers 42- 20.

I don't think the Pack have the weapons to hang 42. Don't be fooled by the output against the Vikes D. I still see Pack wining but if Chico gets to 20, I think they cover

 

[gjn23]

i'd love for you to be right (but you have no chance if bdp is on the bears +11) and I agree with everything you say about the game.....but.......you've only mentioned one side of the ball (bears offense vs pakers defense)

imho....the other side of the ball is a bigger mismatch.......the bears defense is boom (turnovers ) or bust (every possession that doesn't end in a turnover).....special teams only matters if you can force punts.......i'd be shocked if most fans can name half the bears defense right now, heck i'm a bears fan and I barely know the d-line and linebacking crew.

I don't see the bears slowing Rodgers down OR the running game at ALL

 

[Hashish]

No lance briggs, Tillman? Major Wright exposed since bears are #31 in sacks their dl gets no pressure Wright lack of coverage is exposed.Ppeppers is a shell of himself. Packers average 30 ppg Bears defense gives up 400 yards per game. Their offense is not better off without Cutler that's fools gold talk. The rivalry angle will keep game close a while and Bears will play very hard. Fact is bears can't stop the run will wear down second half. McCarthy has made it very clear to the team and I quote "this is not another game it is the most important of the year." Packers 42- 20.

That's pretty much exactly how I see the game. The only reason I'm not playing Packers is because I find it damn near impossible to bet on a heavy public fave in a primetime game. The over seems like free money.

 

[Shleprock]

I don't think the Pack have the weapons to hang 42. Don't be fooled by the output against the Vikes D. I still see Pack wining but if Chico gets to 20, I think they cover

Rogers throws 3 tds, Lacey runs for 2, starks runs for 1.

 

[MR. LOCK]

Should GB be the fav? Yes Are they a -500 no

The Bear can score and will score on GB. The only reason I give the Bear a punchers chance is TWO weeks prep time. They will study GB tendencies and might be able to slow them down just enough to sneak a huge upset. I give the Bear a 50/50 chance. Now LETS GET IT ON:box2:

 

[Shleprock]

Should GB be the fav? Yes Are they a -500 no

The Bear can score and will score on GB. The only reason I give the Bear a punchers chance is TWO weeks prep time. They will study GB tendencies and might be able to slow them down just enough to sneak a huge upset. I give the Bear a 50/50 chance. Now LETS GET IT ON:box2:

Last 6 games packers won by an average of 9.8 points. Packers now have a running game, Bears can't stop the run. Bears had a much better defense now its flip flopped packer have a much better defense strength being the dline. I am the biggest anti aj hawk guy but he's played very well thanks to the dline.Packers. oline is now jelling took a while due to switching josh sitton to the left side. Packers also had time to prepare for mccowan. Nobody has run on the packers why will it be different tonite on prime time? McCowan smart guy but has a weak arm has been a journyman for a reason. Mccarthy if you read between the lines will not let his foot off the gas.Bears secondary especially safeties are terrible Rogers knows this and he has a big ego wants to pad his stats.I respectfully disagree with you and say packers can name the score.

 

[BigFatLooza]

Looks like another screw up by the bookmaker. Just like last Monday when they made St. Louis 11 point dogs and yesterday when they made Minny 10 point dogs. Just like Dallas, GB is nowhere good enough to be laying 10 points, especially against a division rival. Not sure if I have the guts to pull the trigger on the ML yet, but it looks like Chicago is another easy cover ATS.