After going 4 and 4 last week we stand at 8 and 8 after the first three weeks. This week we finally have some stats to cap by. My plays for this week
Patriots -3 over SD. On paper this is a closer game than I thought it would be. Pats hold an edge in TD's, 3rd down efficiency, and a huge edge in Passing Offense. SD has a big edge in overall team D. I am throwing out the KC game as it seemed like the Pats said "If your going to beat us you're going to do it with the run." KC responded well to the challange and almost did. I think you also have to factor in The Belichek Factor and give the edge to the Patriots.
Miami -3.5 over KC. KC does not top Miami in any of my criteria with Miami holding an edge in takeaways, Pass Defense, #3rd down %. Add to the fact that KC played the Patriots last week and so far this year teams that played the Pats the week before are 0 and 2. May not mean anything but worth watching/
My other plays are Tampa Bay -7 over Cincinnati and New Orleans -7.5 over Detriot. TB and NO on upswing Cin and Det not looking too good.
My last play is Denver -7.5 over Baltimore. Thru two games Baltimores offense is only a rumor.
Good luck in all your plays this week.
Patriots -3 over SD. On paper this is a closer game than I thought it would be. Pats hold an edge in TD's, 3rd down efficiency, and a huge edge in Passing Offense. SD has a big edge in overall team D. I am throwing out the KC game as it seemed like the Pats said "If your going to beat us you're going to do it with the run." KC responded well to the challange and almost did. I think you also have to factor in The Belichek Factor and give the edge to the Patriots.
Miami -3.5 over KC. KC does not top Miami in any of my criteria with Miami holding an edge in takeaways, Pass Defense, #3rd down %. Add to the fact that KC played the Patriots last week and so far this year teams that played the Pats the week before are 0 and 2. May not mean anything but worth watching/
My other plays are Tampa Bay -7 over Cincinnati and New Orleans -7.5 over Detriot. TB and NO on upswing Cin and Det not looking too good.
My last play is Denver -7.5 over Baltimore. Thru two games Baltimores offense is only a rumor.
Good luck in all your plays this week.
