3* - Louisville Cardinals (-27?)
Petrino?s team playing at Papa John?s Stadium is 20-2 ATS since his arrival and the Cardinals have won 17 straight home games. They boast the #2 offense in the country and while the defensive squad has not gotten much recognition, they are ranked #20. The Louisville players realize that they have to take care of business and then wait for West Virginia to do the same tonight in Morgantown in order for the Cardinals to win the Big East title and earn themselves an automatic BCS bowl berth. Not a good time to be UConn.
3* - Navy Midshipmen (-19?)
The #1 rushing offense in the nation should absolutely walk all over the Cadets who have allowed an average of 446 yards and 42 points over their last three games and are ranked 115th in rushing defense. In contrast, the Middies are on a roll having won their last three games by an average of 29 points. Army has not rushed for 100 yards all season, have averaged only 13 points per game and have turned over the football 20 times in the last five games going 0-5 ATS during that stretch. The sailors win this one in a blowout.
3* - TCU Horned Frogs (-17)
The Frogs are on a six game winning streak since dropping back to back games against BYU and Utah. During the current streak, this team is averaging over 24 points per game and their last two contests against San Diego State and Colorado State resulted in a combined score of 97-14. TCU?s defense is ranked 7th in the nation and held both Texas Tech and Wyoming to three points. Air Force on the other hand, is nearing the end of their death spiral of a season and it is being rumored that longtime coach Fischer DeBerry might announce his retirement after this game which regardless of the outcome, will cap off his third consecutive losing season. Last week the Flyboys lost to a pitiful UNLV squad as double digit favorites despite a +3 turnover ratio and in doing so, looked very much like a team that has given up.
3* - Arkansas Razorbacks (+3)
I just can not get behind the Gators who have now won four Div IA games in a row by a touchdown or less and their offensive output will certainly not be helped if RB Wynn can?t go this evening. The Hogs have put up ridiculous running numbers against some of the best rushing defenses in the SEC and it is not likely that Florida will be able to slow down McFadden and Jones. In games against common opponents, both teams have one loss but Florida has been outgained in those six contests while Arkansas has a 74 yards per game advantage. I like the Razorbacks to pull an upset on the neutral field at the Georgia Dome.
3* - Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-8?)
Hawaii QB Brennan needs just four touchdown passes in this game to break David Klingler?s 16 year old NCAA season record of 54 and I see no reason that he will not reach that historic milestone. While Brennan has been getting all of the attention this year, believe it or not, Warrior RB Ilaoa leads the nation in yards per carry at just over 8 per. Despite failing to cover against Purdue last week, The Warriors playing on the island have been one of the best bets this season and with the Beavers traveling to paradise following a draining win over their archrivals last week, I will gladly lay the smallest number we have seen in a Hawaii home game all year.
Petrino?s team playing at Papa John?s Stadium is 20-2 ATS since his arrival and the Cardinals have won 17 straight home games. They boast the #2 offense in the country and while the defensive squad has not gotten much recognition, they are ranked #20. The Louisville players realize that they have to take care of business and then wait for West Virginia to do the same tonight in Morgantown in order for the Cardinals to win the Big East title and earn themselves an automatic BCS bowl berth. Not a good time to be UConn.
3* - Navy Midshipmen (-19?)
The #1 rushing offense in the nation should absolutely walk all over the Cadets who have allowed an average of 446 yards and 42 points over their last three games and are ranked 115th in rushing defense. In contrast, the Middies are on a roll having won their last three games by an average of 29 points. Army has not rushed for 100 yards all season, have averaged only 13 points per game and have turned over the football 20 times in the last five games going 0-5 ATS during that stretch. The sailors win this one in a blowout.
3* - TCU Horned Frogs (-17)
The Frogs are on a six game winning streak since dropping back to back games against BYU and Utah. During the current streak, this team is averaging over 24 points per game and their last two contests against San Diego State and Colorado State resulted in a combined score of 97-14. TCU?s defense is ranked 7th in the nation and held both Texas Tech and Wyoming to three points. Air Force on the other hand, is nearing the end of their death spiral of a season and it is being rumored that longtime coach Fischer DeBerry might announce his retirement after this game which regardless of the outcome, will cap off his third consecutive losing season. Last week the Flyboys lost to a pitiful UNLV squad as double digit favorites despite a +3 turnover ratio and in doing so, looked very much like a team that has given up.
3* - Arkansas Razorbacks (+3)
I just can not get behind the Gators who have now won four Div IA games in a row by a touchdown or less and their offensive output will certainly not be helped if RB Wynn can?t go this evening. The Hogs have put up ridiculous running numbers against some of the best rushing defenses in the SEC and it is not likely that Florida will be able to slow down McFadden and Jones. In games against common opponents, both teams have one loss but Florida has been outgained in those six contests while Arkansas has a 74 yards per game advantage. I like the Razorbacks to pull an upset on the neutral field at the Georgia Dome.
3* - Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-8?)
Hawaii QB Brennan needs just four touchdown passes in this game to break David Klingler?s 16 year old NCAA season record of 54 and I see no reason that he will not reach that historic milestone. While Brennan has been getting all of the attention this year, believe it or not, Warrior RB Ilaoa leads the nation in yards per carry at just over 8 per. Despite failing to cover against Purdue last week, The Warriors playing on the island have been one of the best bets this season and with the Beavers traveling to paradise following a draining win over their archrivals last week, I will gladly lay the smallest number we have seen in a Hawaii home game all year.
