The Limper NFL ? 2018 ? Week 1
- Thread starter WillyBoy
- Start date
Final roster cuts done!
First week projections are based, pretty much totally, on 2017 team and player performance ? so have grains of salt handy. Remember that the focus of The Limper is to project a margin of victory, and NOT a score total, so don?t look here for an over/under prediction (Sometimes its close, but most of the time ? it?s not.) Check back for injury-based corrections prior to the games. I?ll post initial projections on Tuesdays, then FINAL projections on Wednesdays for Thursday?s game, Saturdays for Sunday?s lineup, and Sunday night for MNF.
The new look projection frame is a work in progress. It includes a column that will show how the model performs ? game by game, and remember the ATS win/loss record is based on closing lines (Vegas Insider?s consensus closing lines), so some picks may flip depending where the line ends up. The FINAL projections, however, will obviously stand as posted.
My staff has worked their fingers down to the nubs getting this ready, but they?re not perfect, so, if you see a screw up, or think a projection is way off, let me know.
GLTA
First week projections are based, pretty much totally, on 2017 team and player performance ? so have grains of salt handy. Remember that the focus of The Limper is to project a margin of victory, and NOT a score total, so don?t look here for an over/under prediction (Sometimes its close, but most of the time ? it?s not.) Check back for injury-based corrections prior to the games. I?ll post initial projections on Tuesdays, then FINAL projections on Wednesdays for Thursday?s game, Saturdays for Sunday?s lineup, and Sunday night for MNF.
The new look projection frame is a work in progress. It includes a column that will show how the model performs ? game by game, and remember the ATS win/loss record is based on closing lines (Vegas Insider?s consensus closing lines), so some picks may flip depending where the line ends up. The FINAL projections, however, will obviously stand as posted.
My staff has worked their fingers down to the nubs getting this ready, but they?re not perfect, so, if you see a screw up, or think a projection is way off, let me know.
GLTA
The real tragedy of the Falcons is that Steve Sarkisian is absolutely killing the best years of Matt Ryan and Julio Jones. While the Eagle defense is as solid as it looked, player for player, position for position, Atlanta matches up as the better offense vs Philly?s defense. I don?t know why Sarkisian wasn?t fired last year, but his play design is the drag on this team?s fortunes.
- Mar 19, 2006
- 38,626
- 547
- 113
- 75
has no imagination at all.
no deception....
hell.........Philly ran the flea flicker as if to say...........Duhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh
When you?re mostly relying on year old numbers, expectations have to be low and unfortunately, in that sense, the Limper met expectations today. Hopefully, the model will, at least, end the week on the plus side of the straight-up line.
