ATL preseason 85.5 lookin :0074
adding...
ATL ov92 -105 -- think they get to 95, 99 if they can get some sweeps against the nats, cubs, astros, pirates
PHI ov87 -- not sure how the 4-game sweep of cincy affected this line, don't think it raised it much, but it helps the play. 40-35 gets them there, think they get to 89 or 90, pushing ATL all the way to the last weekend. NL East definitely gets the wild card. but it won't be the mets.
NYM under86 --- thank you mets for overperforming in the first half. capping this using the way the mets pitching performed in the 1h, this line's DEAD on. but it won't. pelfrey's regressing as expected. niese will falter once or twice and johan's just declining with age. they fall out of the race about sept 2nd with a 4-game set at the bravos. if they still have nope, the next two wknds v PHI and ATL will make it clear. they don't play .500 ball from here on out.
cards under88 +110 -- value here in the +110, think this line's right on, and think carpenter's declining and will go on the DL at some point. cards only hittin .260 as a team through the first half, so if they don't pick it up, they don't keep up with the reds who get volquez back and should add chapman to the pen. hopefully the reds can stay healthy, they have some age in the infield.
CINCY over89 even -- need 40-32, they have the easiest schedule of any team. they get to beat up on the nats and stros and bucs and cubs with the rockies, braves, cards, dodgers, padres spread out pretty well across the last 11 weeks.
padres over 89.5 -- their bats are suspect but they've done the job so far behind that fantastic pitching. they should prey on the cubs and pirates and dbacks in the second half and get over 90, maybe push 95 if they can avoid gettin swept during their PHI-@ARZ-COL-LAD-SF-@COL-@STL@-@LAD stretch that is weeks 21-24.
have the Braves, Reds, Padres, Phillies in the playoffs.
added to CIN +210 for the NLCent and took some Rockies +210 in the NLWest, as well, they're lookin good at the break, could overtake the pads if de la rosa fills in well.
adding on to texas for the AL pennant at +600.
i see the bosox pullin past the rays and giving the yanks something to look in the rearview at the whole second half, but the yanks are gonna get over that 100 win #. still think the sox get over the 94.5 preseason number, but don't know if TB can hang the whole way. they should get to 89-92 but it won't be enough.
we may see a chisox/tigers one-game playoff this year. tigers and twins' schedules are tougher than the sox, like the sox to hold on to first for a while, but don't see em pullin away from the tigers, but minny could slowly lose ground and be all but eliminated in their september series at the cell. hope the sox can pull it out.
texas will pull away in the west. like bernie mac said "'nuff said!" they played some weak ball last two weeks before the break and blew a few games. they could easily have 54-55 Ws right now.
so i have it... NYY, CWS/DET, TEX, BOS. 6 to 1 on the rangers to win two series? yes please. hittin .278 with a .343 OBP and sub-4 team ERA which can only go down with the addition of cliff lee.
phils +125 $1
phiRL +188 $.50
over9 +120 $1 w+$1.20
PHI/LAD +360 $.60
dodgers +117 $1
over7 -108 $2.70 :firing:w+$2.50
braves -170 $1.70 w+$1.00
atl RL +126 $.50
jj 5 -.5 -125 $1.00 w+$.80
SF/LAA/ATL +310 $.50 w+$1.55
5inn SF/LAA/ATL +312 $.50 w+$1.56
angels -146 $1.46 w+$1
laa RL +142 $1 w+$1.42
m's u3.5 -110 $1.1 (like this better than the 5inn -153) w+$1
chisox +111 $1 w+$1.11
danks/slow un8.5 +104 $1.25
5inning under5.0 -135 $1.35
thought it'd be u4 -105, got 4.5 -105, bought the hook
WOW NEITHER SHOWED UP!
every game
ATL/PHI/LAD/SF/TEX/CWS/LAA +7652 $.10
18.26 / 18
srs
und 0-1
fav 2-0
5inn 1-1
dog 1-2 -$.89
RLs 1-2
ovr 2-0
par 2-2 +$2.41
prp 1-0
atl 2-1 +1.30
cws 1-2 -1.49
series:
rangers +105 $2.00 1-0
s siders +120 $2.00 1-0
dodgers+145 $1.00 0-1
today... :clap: 10-8-0 +$6.84
this wk... 14-11-0 +$10.33
last wk... 60-34-3 +$53.33
wk13... 28-34-1 +$0.33
wk12... 33-34-0 +$11.37
wk11... 38-49-3 +$2.19
wk10.. 26-55-2 -$32.66
wk9.... 64-68-3 +$9.39
wk8.... 49-49-2 +$6.57
wk7.... 44-36-4 +$10.85
wk6.... 59-28-2 +$55.63
wk5.... 58-47-5 +$18.68
wk4.... 42-40-1 +$12.01
wk3.... 61-69-7 -$18.99
wk2.... 60-63-5 -$4.31
wk1.... 72-56-3 +$24.58
010mlb...715-683-42 +$159.30
avg play (1927.67/1440)=$1.34
ROI $8.26
apr 235-228-16 +$13.30
may 227-189-14 +$87.02
jun 163-205-8 -$19.23
srs 71-48-0 (59.66%) +$47.95
fav 123-72
5in 106-69-16
und 176-162-18 52.07%
dog 63-78 +$8.54
par 47-113 +$34.50
rLs 73-75
ovr 34-29-3 53.97%
prp 25-33-4
atl 48-51-3 -$5.70
cws 60-49-2 +$18.29
...
10spg 79-83-13 (48.77%) -$5.25
09mlb 496-454-31 (52.16%)
08mlb 574-385-11 (59.85%)
07mlb 586-392-16 (59.92%)
matchbook|bodog|5dimes
go braves!
go white sox! :box2:
adding...
ATL ov92 -105 -- think they get to 95, 99 if they can get some sweeps against the nats, cubs, astros, pirates
PHI ov87 -- not sure how the 4-game sweep of cincy affected this line, don't think it raised it much, but it helps the play. 40-35 gets them there, think they get to 89 or 90, pushing ATL all the way to the last weekend. NL East definitely gets the wild card. but it won't be the mets.
NYM under86 --- thank you mets for overperforming in the first half. capping this using the way the mets pitching performed in the 1h, this line's DEAD on. but it won't. pelfrey's regressing as expected. niese will falter once or twice and johan's just declining with age. they fall out of the race about sept 2nd with a 4-game set at the bravos. if they still have nope, the next two wknds v PHI and ATL will make it clear. they don't play .500 ball from here on out.
cards under88 +110 -- value here in the +110, think this line's right on, and think carpenter's declining and will go on the DL at some point. cards only hittin .260 as a team through the first half, so if they don't pick it up, they don't keep up with the reds who get volquez back and should add chapman to the pen. hopefully the reds can stay healthy, they have some age in the infield.
CINCY over89 even -- need 40-32, they have the easiest schedule of any team. they get to beat up on the nats and stros and bucs and cubs with the rockies, braves, cards, dodgers, padres spread out pretty well across the last 11 weeks.
padres over 89.5 -- their bats are suspect but they've done the job so far behind that fantastic pitching. they should prey on the cubs and pirates and dbacks in the second half and get over 90, maybe push 95 if they can avoid gettin swept during their PHI-@ARZ-COL-LAD-SF-@COL-@STL@-@LAD stretch that is weeks 21-24.
have the Braves, Reds, Padres, Phillies in the playoffs.
added to CIN +210 for the NLCent and took some Rockies +210 in the NLWest, as well, they're lookin good at the break, could overtake the pads if de la rosa fills in well.
adding on to texas for the AL pennant at +600.
i see the bosox pullin past the rays and giving the yanks something to look in the rearview at the whole second half, but the yanks are gonna get over that 100 win #. still think the sox get over the 94.5 preseason number, but don't know if TB can hang the whole way. they should get to 89-92 but it won't be enough.
we may see a chisox/tigers one-game playoff this year. tigers and twins' schedules are tougher than the sox, like the sox to hold on to first for a while, but don't see em pullin away from the tigers, but minny could slowly lose ground and be all but eliminated in their september series at the cell. hope the sox can pull it out.
texas will pull away in the west. like bernie mac said "'nuff said!" they played some weak ball last two weeks before the break and blew a few games. they could easily have 54-55 Ws right now.
so i have it... NYY, CWS/DET, TEX, BOS. 6 to 1 on the rangers to win two series? yes please. hittin .278 with a .343 OBP and sub-4 team ERA which can only go down with the addition of cliff lee.
phils +125 $1
phiRL +188 $.50
over9 +120 $1 w+$1.20
PHI/LAD +360 $.60
dodgers +117 $1
over7 -108 $2.70 :firing:w+$2.50
braves -170 $1.70 w+$1.00
atl RL +126 $.50
jj 5 -.5 -125 $1.00 w+$.80
SF/LAA/ATL +310 $.50 w+$1.55
5inn SF/LAA/ATL +312 $.50 w+$1.56
angels -146 $1.46 w+$1
laa RL +142 $1 w+$1.42
m's u3.5 -110 $1.1 (like this better than the 5inn -153) w+$1
chisox +111 $1 w+$1.11
danks/slow un8.5 +104 $1.25
5inning under5.0 -135 $1.35
thought it'd be u4 -105, got 4.5 -105, bought the hook
WOW NEITHER SHOWED UP!
every game
ATL/PHI/LAD/SF/TEX/CWS/LAA +7652 $.10
18.26 / 18
srs
und 0-1
fav 2-0
5inn 1-1
dog 1-2 -$.89
RLs 1-2
ovr 2-0
par 2-2 +$2.41
prp 1-0
atl 2-1 +1.30
cws 1-2 -1.49
series:
rangers +105 $2.00 1-0
s siders +120 $2.00 1-0
dodgers+145 $1.00 0-1
today... :clap: 10-8-0 +$6.84
this wk... 14-11-0 +$10.33
last wk... 60-34-3 +$53.33
wk13... 28-34-1 +$0.33
wk12... 33-34-0 +$11.37
wk11... 38-49-3 +$2.19
wk10.. 26-55-2 -$32.66
wk9.... 64-68-3 +$9.39
wk8.... 49-49-2 +$6.57
wk7.... 44-36-4 +$10.85
wk6.... 59-28-2 +$55.63
wk5.... 58-47-5 +$18.68
wk4.... 42-40-1 +$12.01
wk3.... 61-69-7 -$18.99
wk2.... 60-63-5 -$4.31
wk1.... 72-56-3 +$24.58
010mlb...715-683-42 +$159.30
avg play (1927.67/1440)=$1.34
ROI $8.26
apr 235-228-16 +$13.30
may 227-189-14 +$87.02
jun 163-205-8 -$19.23
srs 71-48-0 (59.66%) +$47.95
fav 123-72
5in 106-69-16
und 176-162-18 52.07%
dog 63-78 +$8.54
par 47-113 +$34.50
rLs 73-75
ovr 34-29-3 53.97%
prp 25-33-4
atl 48-51-3 -$5.70
cws 60-49-2 +$18.29
...
10spg 79-83-13 (48.77%) -$5.25
09mlb 496-454-31 (52.16%)
08mlb 574-385-11 (59.85%)
07mlb 586-392-16 (59.92%)
matchbook|bodog|5dimes
go braves!
go white sox! :box2:
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