12:10 PM [959] MIN TWINS +147 ( H SANTIAGO -L / M CLEVINGER -R )
10:10 PM [971] BOS RED SOX -140 ( D POMERANZ -L / A MIRANDA -L )
01:05 PM [1954] TOTAL u4-105 (1H SFO GIANTS vrs 1H PHI PHILLIES) ( M MOORE -L / V VELASQUEZ -R )
01:10 PM [1964] TOTAL u4.5 -120 (1H CHI WHITE SOX vrs 1H DET TIGERS) (QUINTANA/ZIMMERMANN)
1 unit bet pays 14 ....betdsi line
MLB parlays: 11-125, -30.24 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9....after long dry spell, hit four teamer on July 4th.....and another long dry spell, hit five teamer on July 23rd...
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
:0074
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
Ian Kennedy, RHP - under is 7-3 his last 10 starts..Royals lost his last seven road starts
Royals lost 19 of last 27 games- they?re 3-19 in last 22 games not started by Duffy; eight of last 11 KC road games stayed under. Tampa Bay won five of last seven home games; under is 15-5 in Rays? last 20 games.
The only damage the Yankees offense could inflict on Smyly was a two-run home run in the third inning. With his efforts on Saturday night, Smyly now has back-to-back quality starts for the first time since late April. Smyly has 118 strikeouts in 117 1/3 innings this season, but he has also surrendered 22 home runs in that span. The impressive strikeout totals are always welcome, but the home run struggles should give fantasy GMs something to think about when considering Smyly's upcoming matchups.
Kansas City struggles against left handed pitching, scoring only 95 runs off lefties this season, ranking them 27th in the Majors, so I am confident Smyly can hold them down
Moore makes his SF debut; he was 2-1, 2.57 in his last three starts for Tampa Bay. Eight of his last ten stayed under.
Velasquez is 3-1, 2.75 in his last six starts; three of his last four stayed under. Phillies are 5-3 in his home starts.
Giants lost nine of last ten road games; eight of their last 12 games stayed under. Phillies are 7-9 in last 16 games. Eight of last 11 Philly home games stayed under.
Jordan Zimmermann is set to rejoin Detroit's starting rotation after being sidelined since early July with a neck strain. He threw just 78 pitches in his second rehab outing, so he figures to be capped at 90-100 in this one. That said, he gets mentioned here because he's squaring off against a White Sox offense that's worst in the AL against right-handed pitching (85 wRC+). Keep in mind, though, that Zimmerman owns a 5.6 K/9 on the year and whiffed more than three batters just once in his seven starts before going on the DL, so nearly all of his value comes from run prevention, not strikeouts.
White Sox vs. Tigers
Play: Under 8?
While the Detroit Tigers have won their last eight games, I have won my last eight Games of the Week/Month in baseball so we both have something in common and that is WE are on FIRE!....I have a lean on the Tigers Moneyline here as they are 16-3 this season as a home favorite of -125 to -150 and the White Sox are 0-7 their L7 games as a road underdog of +125 to +150. But looking at this game closer, I am going to recommend a Free 1* Play on the UNDER of 8 .5 runs.
Jose Quintana is on the mound today and the UNDER is 17-3 in his 20 starts this season. Quintana is the best UNDER pitcher in the Majors this season and I think this spot fits him today. It?s an afternoon game which means a few starters might be sitting. Quintana has already made 11 day starts this season which is more than is 10 night starts, so this is a familiar role for him. In his 2 starts vs the Tigers this season, Quintana has a 2.38 FIP and a 3.35 FIP. His last two road starts (@ Minnesota and @ Seattle) have been excellent to the tune of 16 strikeouts in 12.2 IP and only 2 ER given up.
Jordan Zimmerman makes his first start since coming off the DL and sources say Zimmerman has fixed his mechanics that were hurting him before landing on the DL. Zimmerman opened the season only giving up 2 ER in his first five starts in April and I expect him to regain the form
Brian O?Nora will be behind home plate and he has historically been a good under umpire with a big strike zone. The Under is 3-1 this season when the total is 8.5 or less. He was the umpire on 4/09 when Kershaw and Bumgarner dueled to a 3-2 game. There were 20 strikeouts and only 5 walks called in that game. Point being it looks like O?Nora likes to call the game in favor of the pitchers, especially when there are two quality guys on the mound. He just called the Blue Jays/Orioles game last Sunday with Sanchez and Tillman on the mound. That score was tied 2-2 going into extras. Dating back to last season, the Under is 8-3 in O'Nora L11 games behind home plate. The UNDER is also 6-2 in his L8 Thursday games vs Detroit and 7-2 to the UNDER in his L9 Thursday games overall. I think we see a close game here with a final score in the 3-2 range.
Mike Leake - 5.0 IP, 6 ER, 7 Hits, 0 BBs, 3 Ks. Well this is awkward. The week I'm promoting Leake and calling him a good buy, he has his two worst starts of the year back-to-back. Baseball is a evil game. To be fair, both starts had some bad lucky involved - about 3.20 xFIP for both - and his groundball rates were well north of 60% with a walk...I know I sound nuts, but I'm buying Leake for his next two starts against Cincy.
Moore hasn?t faced the Phillies this season and no Philadelphia batter has more than three regular-season at-bats against him.
Under is 9-2 in Giants last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 8-2 in Phillies last 10 home games.
since we like the under, how about the "no run 1st inning" prop bet at Phillies too?
Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:
SF-Phil? Moore 3-21; Velasquez 3-17
and I read on the HP umps:
Chi-Det? Under is 11-4-1 in last sixteen O?Nora games.
NY-NY? Over is 11-1-2 in last 14 Wolcott games.
tho I do read:
Happ - over is 6-3-1 in his last ten. Blue Jays are 6-4 in his road starts.
Fiers - over is 10-5-1 in his last 16.
(thier 5 inning O/U record about the same--either they blow up or the opposing pitcher does)
Griffin is 1-0 with a 3.96 ERA in eight starts on the road this season.
Jenkins picked up his first major league win in his last start against the Phillies, going six innings and allowed only an unearned run. Jenkins has allowed two runs or fewer in three of his four starts. Jenkins, the 2015 Minor League Pitcher of the Year for the Atlanta organization, has never faced Pittsburgh.
In four rehab starts since he was struck in the left eye, Vogelsong was 1-2 with a 2.86 ERA. He will be making his third start of the season and first against Atlanta.
Happ has won eight consecutive decisions, which is a new career high. He struck out 44 of the 121 batters he faced in July (36.3 percent), which was the highest strikeout rate per batter in all of baseball....Providing impressive strikeout totals, limiting walks, and delivering quality ratios, Happ has emerged as one of the most pleasant surprises of the 2016 season.
Ariel Miranda will make his second career appearance and first career Major League start, as he wears the Mariners uniform for the first time. The Mariners acquired Miranda in the Wade Miley deal and have wasted no time giving him a chance. Miranda has only pitched two innings of relief at the Major League level, allowing three runs. He did not put up outstanding numbers at Triple-A this season, posting a 3.95 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP in 100.2 innings pitched.
Hottest team: Rockies (11-2 last 13)
Even though Detroit currently owns the longest winning streak in baseball at eight, Colorado is showcased here for its tear since the All-Star break. Yes, the Rockies captured six of seven games from the last-place Braves in this stretch, but road series victories over the Orioles and Mets, while trying to finish off a home sweep of the Dodgers isn?t too shabby. In its first two wins over Los Angeles, Colorado has scored 19 runs, while the Rockies are riding a six-game winning streak at Coors Field. Tyler Chatwood seeks his 11th victory of the season for Colorado tonight, as the right-hander has allowed a total of one earned run in his past two wins.
Coldest team: Mets (3-7 last 10)
The Subway Series concludes tonight in the Bronx as the Mets go for the series split with the Yankees. The Mets have allowed 15 runs in two losses to the Yankees, including nine in Wednesday?s defeat. Top hitter Yoenis Cespedes was placed on the 15-day disabled list on Wednesday, another blow for this Mets? offense that has scored two runs or less four times in the past 10 games. Bartolo Colon takes the mound for the Mets this evening, as the veteran has given up at least five earned runs in three of his last five outings, while facing the Yankees for the first time since 2014.
Hottest pitcher: J.A. Happ, Blue Jays (14-3, 3.16 ERA)
Toronto has won nine consecutive starts made by the southpaw, while Happ yielded only five earned runs in five July starts. Happ is fresh off a pair of home victories over the Mariners and Orioles in which he gave up only four hits and one earned run in 13 innings of work to improve to 9-1 at the Rogers Center this season. Toronto has won 10 straight outings from Happ in the favorite role, as he is short chalk tonight in the finale at Houston. The Blue Jays have two of the first three games from the Astros, while Houston has scored only six runs in the last five contests.
Yankees, during trade deadline week, went from one of the worst farm systems to one of the best. And in 2018, after some fat contracts expire, Yankees will have the money to go after free agents Bryce Harper, Josh Donaldson, Jose Fernandez and Clayton Kershaw!
10:10 PM [971] BOS RED SOX -140 ( D POMERANZ -L / A MIRANDA -L )
01:05 PM [1954] TOTAL u4-105 (1H SFO GIANTS vrs 1H PHI PHILLIES) ( M MOORE -L / V VELASQUEZ -R )
01:10 PM [1964] TOTAL u4.5 -120 (1H CHI WHITE SOX vrs 1H DET TIGERS) (QUINTANA/ZIMMERMANN)
1 unit bet pays 14 ....betdsi line
MLB parlays: 11-125, -30.24 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9....after long dry spell, hit four teamer on July 4th.....and another long dry spell, hit five teamer on July 23rd...
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
Ian Kennedy, RHP - under is 7-3 his last 10 starts..Royals lost his last seven road starts
Royals lost 19 of last 27 games- they?re 3-19 in last 22 games not started by Duffy; eight of last 11 KC road games stayed under. Tampa Bay won five of last seven home games; under is 15-5 in Rays? last 20 games.
The only damage the Yankees offense could inflict on Smyly was a two-run home run in the third inning. With his efforts on Saturday night, Smyly now has back-to-back quality starts for the first time since late April. Smyly has 118 strikeouts in 117 1/3 innings this season, but he has also surrendered 22 home runs in that span. The impressive strikeout totals are always welcome, but the home run struggles should give fantasy GMs something to think about when considering Smyly's upcoming matchups.
Kansas City struggles against left handed pitching, scoring only 95 runs off lefties this season, ranking them 27th in the Majors, so I am confident Smyly can hold them down
Moore makes his SF debut; he was 2-1, 2.57 in his last three starts for Tampa Bay. Eight of his last ten stayed under.
Velasquez is 3-1, 2.75 in his last six starts; three of his last four stayed under. Phillies are 5-3 in his home starts.
Giants lost nine of last ten road games; eight of their last 12 games stayed under. Phillies are 7-9 in last 16 games. Eight of last 11 Philly home games stayed under.
Jordan Zimmermann is set to rejoin Detroit's starting rotation after being sidelined since early July with a neck strain. He threw just 78 pitches in his second rehab outing, so he figures to be capped at 90-100 in this one. That said, he gets mentioned here because he's squaring off against a White Sox offense that's worst in the AL against right-handed pitching (85 wRC+). Keep in mind, though, that Zimmerman owns a 5.6 K/9 on the year and whiffed more than three batters just once in his seven starts before going on the DL, so nearly all of his value comes from run prevention, not strikeouts.
White Sox vs. Tigers
Play: Under 8?
While the Detroit Tigers have won their last eight games, I have won my last eight Games of the Week/Month in baseball so we both have something in common and that is WE are on FIRE!....I have a lean on the Tigers Moneyline here as they are 16-3 this season as a home favorite of -125 to -150 and the White Sox are 0-7 their L7 games as a road underdog of +125 to +150. But looking at this game closer, I am going to recommend a Free 1* Play on the UNDER of 8 .5 runs.
Jose Quintana is on the mound today and the UNDER is 17-3 in his 20 starts this season. Quintana is the best UNDER pitcher in the Majors this season and I think this spot fits him today. It?s an afternoon game which means a few starters might be sitting. Quintana has already made 11 day starts this season which is more than is 10 night starts, so this is a familiar role for him. In his 2 starts vs the Tigers this season, Quintana has a 2.38 FIP and a 3.35 FIP. His last two road starts (@ Minnesota and @ Seattle) have been excellent to the tune of 16 strikeouts in 12.2 IP and only 2 ER given up.
Jordan Zimmerman makes his first start since coming off the DL and sources say Zimmerman has fixed his mechanics that were hurting him before landing on the DL. Zimmerman opened the season only giving up 2 ER in his first five starts in April and I expect him to regain the form
Brian O?Nora will be behind home plate and he has historically been a good under umpire with a big strike zone. The Under is 3-1 this season when the total is 8.5 or less. He was the umpire on 4/09 when Kershaw and Bumgarner dueled to a 3-2 game. There were 20 strikeouts and only 5 walks called in that game. Point being it looks like O?Nora likes to call the game in favor of the pitchers, especially when there are two quality guys on the mound. He just called the Blue Jays/Orioles game last Sunday with Sanchez and Tillman on the mound. That score was tied 2-2 going into extras. Dating back to last season, the Under is 8-3 in O'Nora L11 games behind home plate. The UNDER is also 6-2 in his L8 Thursday games vs Detroit and 7-2 to the UNDER in his L9 Thursday games overall. I think we see a close game here with a final score in the 3-2 range.
Mike Leake - 5.0 IP, 6 ER, 7 Hits, 0 BBs, 3 Ks. Well this is awkward. The week I'm promoting Leake and calling him a good buy, he has his two worst starts of the year back-to-back. Baseball is a evil game. To be fair, both starts had some bad lucky involved - about 3.20 xFIP for both - and his groundball rates were well north of 60% with a walk...I know I sound nuts, but I'm buying Leake for his next two starts against Cincy.
Moore hasn?t faced the Phillies this season and no Philadelphia batter has more than three regular-season at-bats against him.
Under is 9-2 in Giants last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 8-2 in Phillies last 10 home games.
since we like the under, how about the "no run 1st inning" prop bet at Phillies too?
Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:
SF-Phil? Moore 3-21; Velasquez 3-17
and I read on the HP umps:
Chi-Det? Under is 11-4-1 in last sixteen O?Nora games.
NY-NY? Over is 11-1-2 in last 14 Wolcott games.
tho I do read:
Happ - over is 6-3-1 in his last ten. Blue Jays are 6-4 in his road starts.
Fiers - over is 10-5-1 in his last 16.
(thier 5 inning O/U record about the same--either they blow up or the opposing pitcher does)
Griffin is 1-0 with a 3.96 ERA in eight starts on the road this season.
Jenkins picked up his first major league win in his last start against the Phillies, going six innings and allowed only an unearned run. Jenkins has allowed two runs or fewer in three of his four starts. Jenkins, the 2015 Minor League Pitcher of the Year for the Atlanta organization, has never faced Pittsburgh.
In four rehab starts since he was struck in the left eye, Vogelsong was 1-2 with a 2.86 ERA. He will be making his third start of the season and first against Atlanta.
Happ has won eight consecutive decisions, which is a new career high. He struck out 44 of the 121 batters he faced in July (36.3 percent), which was the highest strikeout rate per batter in all of baseball....Providing impressive strikeout totals, limiting walks, and delivering quality ratios, Happ has emerged as one of the most pleasant surprises of the 2016 season.
Ariel Miranda will make his second career appearance and first career Major League start, as he wears the Mariners uniform for the first time. The Mariners acquired Miranda in the Wade Miley deal and have wasted no time giving him a chance. Miranda has only pitched two innings of relief at the Major League level, allowing three runs. He did not put up outstanding numbers at Triple-A this season, posting a 3.95 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP in 100.2 innings pitched.
Hottest team: Rockies (11-2 last 13)
Even though Detroit currently owns the longest winning streak in baseball at eight, Colorado is showcased here for its tear since the All-Star break. Yes, the Rockies captured six of seven games from the last-place Braves in this stretch, but road series victories over the Orioles and Mets, while trying to finish off a home sweep of the Dodgers isn?t too shabby. In its first two wins over Los Angeles, Colorado has scored 19 runs, while the Rockies are riding a six-game winning streak at Coors Field. Tyler Chatwood seeks his 11th victory of the season for Colorado tonight, as the right-hander has allowed a total of one earned run in his past two wins.
Coldest team: Mets (3-7 last 10)
The Subway Series concludes tonight in the Bronx as the Mets go for the series split with the Yankees. The Mets have allowed 15 runs in two losses to the Yankees, including nine in Wednesday?s defeat. Top hitter Yoenis Cespedes was placed on the 15-day disabled list on Wednesday, another blow for this Mets? offense that has scored two runs or less four times in the past 10 games. Bartolo Colon takes the mound for the Mets this evening, as the veteran has given up at least five earned runs in three of his last five outings, while facing the Yankees for the first time since 2014.
Hottest pitcher: J.A. Happ, Blue Jays (14-3, 3.16 ERA)
Toronto has won nine consecutive starts made by the southpaw, while Happ yielded only five earned runs in five July starts. Happ is fresh off a pair of home victories over the Mariners and Orioles in which he gave up only four hits and one earned run in 13 innings of work to improve to 9-1 at the Rogers Center this season. Toronto has won 10 straight outings from Happ in the favorite role, as he is short chalk tonight in the finale at Houston. The Blue Jays have two of the first three games from the Astros, while Houston has scored only six runs in the last five contests.
Yankees, during trade deadline week, went from one of the worst farm systems to one of the best. And in 2018, after some fat contracts expire, Yankees will have the money to go after free agents Bryce Harper, Josh Donaldson, Jose Fernandez and Clayton Kershaw!
