Thursday August 23rd 2007
yesterday: 9-8 +6.55
August: 152-124 +67.31
ml 65-40 +41.33
rl 8-8 -0.36
totals 32-21 +9.83
parlays & IFs 47-55 +16.51
system picks 3-0 yesterday; 39-19 in August (67%) (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)
system totals 1-3 yesterday; 40-29 in August (58%)
system sides
team win% (line)value indicator
lad 53% (Billingsley-Castro)
Col 60 (-131)+3
cubs 55 (-119)even
Mets 63 (-151)+2
Cin 52 (+110)+4
wash 53 (+111)+5
Stl 62 (-169)-1
clev 58 (+101)+8
min 53 (-111)even
oak 59 (-114)+5
bost 70 (-193)+4 RL 56 (-111)+3
seat 60 (-124)+4
Laa 55 (-149)-5 tor 45 (+141)+3
system totals
lad@Phil ov10? 71% (N/A) --Barry is a good OVER-ump (7-0 this season)
atl@Cin ov11.5 65 (-110)+12 --ump Nauert is even (but 16-9 this season)
fla@Stl ov9.5 80 (-120)+25 --Wegner is a decent OVER-ump
oak@Tb ov10 70 (-120)+15 --ump N/A
seat@Tex ov11 65 (-105)+13 --ump N/A
I'll take it but with system picks 5-0 the past 2 days and system sides kicking butt pretty good I feel I should have done better these past 2 days. Still a 2-day winning streak, so whathey. Went 4-0 on the moneyline, 0-1 on the runline, 3-2 on totals (much better than system totals did) and 2-5 on my wasted IFs & parlays?actually the Yanks going over the 4.5 helped an IF play make it to game #5. System sides almost sweeped the NL but missed three 62% calls in the AL (Verlander goes from no-hit stud a couple months ago to major fade material now?...gimme a HUGE break one time; Burnett keeps Jays 1-0 lead into the 7th?the 7TH?c'mon corksvckers, this clown just gets off the DL and you can muster but 1 stinkin' run off him??Jays O is major pathetic vs righties?meaning the majority of Major League pitchers; Dice-K surrenders 2 hits to go along with the 2 runs he allows and the Bosox can't even turn that into a win?gotta figure?Jackson has been looking pretty good for the past month or longer and D'Rays just diced-K recently so it was a stupid play (of the 3 mentioned, anyways?only had 'em on a parlay but all 3 D'Backs+gimme a huge break one-time parlays failed due to the latter. Where was I?...Where am I?...
I looked at the lines, today, before 'capping the games, for a change, as I didn't have time to do it before but I had a chance to peruse the lines. I don't think it affected anything but I sure didn't see anything that I liked on first look at the lines (actually A's and fla-Stl over I grabbed early). Turns out that the Indians are somehow a system pick by today's numbers (WERE a sytem pick?I missed the +109 briefly available?still value on the play, I figure, but NO syspickstoday); both Westbrook and Robertson have poor numbers vs the opponent but Westbrook is the much hotter starter and the Indians bats are in slightly less of a slumber than the Tigers' (not just including yesterday); worth a shot but I won't pound any team visiting Comerica, I don't figure. Nationals, maybe; Mariners, maybe; Bosox, maybe, if I can find a way to bring the price down some (always the runline I guess?sigh?).
Totals is where it looks good to be played todayed. Just yesterday or the day before I was commenting about all the system UNDER calls that were coming up with very little over action?well, today I've got five (four-and-a-half, really) OVERs posted and I think I'll be an overmeister for a change instead of my usual preference?the under plays. Got some umpire help but it may not be needed. I might try the lot, I dunno?gonna look at some team totals and maybe find some goodies there. Gotta do it relatively quickly as I'm running on fumes after, currently, a 27-hour run of consciousness. My pillow misses me.
Will post what's played. Got bugs? Get Raid.
GL
yesterday: 9-8 +6.55
August: 152-124 +67.31
ml 65-40 +41.33
rl 8-8 -0.36
totals 32-21 +9.83
parlays & IFs 47-55 +16.51
system picks 3-0 yesterday; 39-19 in August (67%) (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)
system totals 1-3 yesterday; 40-29 in August (58%)
system sides
team win% (line)value indicator
lad 53% (Billingsley-Castro)
Col 60 (-131)+3
cubs 55 (-119)even
Mets 63 (-151)+2
Cin 52 (+110)+4
wash 53 (+111)+5
Stl 62 (-169)-1
clev 58 (+101)+8
min 53 (-111)even
oak 59 (-114)+5
bost 70 (-193)+4 RL 56 (-111)+3
seat 60 (-124)+4
Laa 55 (-149)-5 tor 45 (+141)+3
system totals
lad@Phil ov10? 71% (N/A) --Barry is a good OVER-ump (7-0 this season)
atl@Cin ov11.5 65 (-110)+12 --ump Nauert is even (but 16-9 this season)
fla@Stl ov9.5 80 (-120)+25 --Wegner is a decent OVER-ump
oak@Tb ov10 70 (-120)+15 --ump N/A
seat@Tex ov11 65 (-105)+13 --ump N/A
I'll take it but with system picks 5-0 the past 2 days and system sides kicking butt pretty good I feel I should have done better these past 2 days. Still a 2-day winning streak, so whathey. Went 4-0 on the moneyline, 0-1 on the runline, 3-2 on totals (much better than system totals did) and 2-5 on my wasted IFs & parlays?actually the Yanks going over the 4.5 helped an IF play make it to game #5. System sides almost sweeped the NL but missed three 62% calls in the AL (Verlander goes from no-hit stud a couple months ago to major fade material now?...gimme a HUGE break one time; Burnett keeps Jays 1-0 lead into the 7th?the 7TH?c'mon corksvckers, this clown just gets off the DL and you can muster but 1 stinkin' run off him??Jays O is major pathetic vs righties?meaning the majority of Major League pitchers; Dice-K surrenders 2 hits to go along with the 2 runs he allows and the Bosox can't even turn that into a win?gotta figure?Jackson has been looking pretty good for the past month or longer and D'Rays just diced-K recently so it was a stupid play (of the 3 mentioned, anyways?only had 'em on a parlay but all 3 D'Backs+gimme a huge break one-time parlays failed due to the latter. Where was I?...Where am I?...
I looked at the lines, today, before 'capping the games, for a change, as I didn't have time to do it before but I had a chance to peruse the lines. I don't think it affected anything but I sure didn't see anything that I liked on first look at the lines (actually A's and fla-Stl over I grabbed early). Turns out that the Indians are somehow a system pick by today's numbers (WERE a sytem pick?I missed the +109 briefly available?still value on the play, I figure, but NO syspickstoday); both Westbrook and Robertson have poor numbers vs the opponent but Westbrook is the much hotter starter and the Indians bats are in slightly less of a slumber than the Tigers' (not just including yesterday); worth a shot but I won't pound any team visiting Comerica, I don't figure. Nationals, maybe; Mariners, maybe; Bosox, maybe, if I can find a way to bring the price down some (always the runline I guess?sigh?).
Totals is where it looks good to be played todayed. Just yesterday or the day before I was commenting about all the system UNDER calls that were coming up with very little over action?well, today I've got five (four-and-a-half, really) OVERs posted and I think I'll be an overmeister for a change instead of my usual preference?the under plays. Got some umpire help but it may not be needed. I might try the lot, I dunno?gonna look at some team totals and maybe find some goodies there. Gotta do it relatively quickly as I'm running on fumes after, currently, a 27-hour run of consciousness. My pillow misses me.
Will post what's played. Got bugs? Get Raid.
GL
