playing Oklahoma and I am buying a point in what should be a nail biter. I am predicting the point buy to three in this game will be a wise one. I like this game a lot and am playing it to the max allowed by my local.
thursday friday ncaa plays
- Thread starter edludes
- Start date
playing Wisconsin minus five minus 130. Show wisc winning 73-68. however, one must factor in the ats record of both teams tournament to date: wisc has not covered either of their first two games, meaning they have played below expectations in both games so far. N Carolina failed to cover in their first game vs Harvard but went shithouse ( this means good) vs Ark on sunday. they are coming off a game in which they played better than expectations. this means to me that Wisconsin has a better chance of playing better than my scoring prediction thing indicates. I think it will be more difficult for Carolina to duplicate their sunday performance than it will be for wisc to be the team that plays better than expected . I think wisky is ready to explode and am taking them to cover the opener of five. ps- the Michigan state oklahoma game penciled out to 57-56 msu on top. msu is perfect against the number tourney to date while Oklahoma failed to cover vs Albany. I interpret this to mean that msu has a greater chance of dropping off in performance in this game than Oklahoma does. msu shot a major emotional load beating Virginia and Oklahoma probably expected in their hearts to beat Dayton. I think okla has a shot at winning, but feel very good at plus three since the opener was 2-.
I am playing notre dame +3 and buying a point for minus 130. I show them winning the game by 3 , 66-63. wsu shot the emotional load of the century on sunday vs their most important rival. they are 1-1 ats tourney to date. I will guarantee u they spent all day Monday and most of Tuesday savoring that victory and not fully concentrating on nd. both their games have gone over, which indicates to me that the points might not come so easily for them in this game. nd feels lucky to have beat that infernal , fundamentally impeccable butler squad and are , at 0-2 ats tourney to date, going to be primed to play at a better than expectations level in this game ( meaning beat the spread) and the spread for this game happened open at a pick. I think I have the winning side plus a full three. as is always the case w gamblers, everybody wants a certain team the game AFTER a huge victory so there will be a lot of public support for the shockers in this game. as I like to say we shall see soon.wisky and nd r for three units or a fairly large play fwiw
I show Utah Duke as a 5- point duke mov. my guy had it t 6 and yup I bought up to seven for minus 130.both r 2-0 ats tournament to date. I look for this game to play out close to form and am taking the runnin utes plus seven. warning: I may try to middle this game later should it get down to 5-
buying a half point w Evansville up to + 4-120. they are 1-1 tourney to date in the cit and llaf is 2-0. I show this as a 1 point game, and the tourney to date record leads me to believe eville has a better chance of playing better than expectations than louie laf. regular one unit playfor me. went 4-4 yesterday,but hitting the Monroe ml and the under 2 h of temple game for a much larger than normal play got me in the black. 9-6-1 this week.20-21-1 including last weeks 100$ action plays( except for shockers which I drilled for the max.) my record from this week to the end will be a winning one I can gtee u that. my predicted score method will get more reliable w every ensuing round .I buy the points as insurance, to heighten what I perceive to be my advantage and because its not an exact science. I know i will b close and that point might make the difference. Utah getting seven looks pretty good now that the number is back to five .Oklahoma plus the 3 and nd plus the 3 are looking at least favorable as my guy has both games at 1- now. wisky will possibly go to seven when Jackson is announced as playing tonight.
my guy had the duke game at five. I took them minus 4 -130 for a middle opportunity of 4, 5 , 6, 7, the first and last numbers winning only once and the middle two twice. I think this is good value because I show this game coming in right at 5 or 6, duke coming out to 58- and Utah 53. the nd score came out to nd 66 wsu 63-.
going to add Kentucky wvu over 135- and Arizona xmen under 137 show Arizona winning 70-61, but favorites are to be looked at first this round and that is very close to the number. both Arizona and xavier are 1-1 vs the total tourney to date.. don't think Xavier wants to run w Arizona. though the Kentucky game pencils out to 75 to 58 I think w all the wvu mouthing off the cats of Kentucky may put some extra hot sauce on the neers tonight.it will also be a foul filled contest,called close because of the aforementioned trash talking by wvu. I have not played Kentucky yet for a reason. they are eating so many points and their totals are shaded low for obvious reasons. wvu may well have gotten their attention tonight, but im waiting one more round to start playing them. love the fact that they are 0-2 ats so far. soon they will prove their pedigree.
yeah wisky. now I am absolutely overjoyed Kentucky game started. just couldn't imagine both 0-2 ats teams not covering as favorites and thought the one least likely to do so was the Kentucky team. only was tempted because it looked like wisky wouldn't cover. may still play the Kentucky game in the second h. got a five team parlay ending w the Oklahoma game plus 2 tomorrow.
the wsu kids were unable to stop enjoying that game . they were still getting high fived on Tuesday all around campus . during that time they are definitely not getting psyched for nd. nd on the other hand felt lucky to beat butler. the game scared them into focusing on wsu from Monday morning on. the prep for a game in film and getting psyched for it is key. wish all games were this clear to me.
