thursday horizon league basketball .......

gman2

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detroit titans (+4)
detroit titans (+160)

*both teams come in to this one streaking. illinois-chicago has won their last four; detroit has won 5 of their last 6.

*detroit won at home vs. uic 67-57 on december 30th.

before the season started, i thought illinois-chicago might have a shot to compete with milwaukee for the league title. after watching the conference start to play out, its becoming more apparant that uic is a good -- but not great -- team. they are relying on cedrick banks way too much. he's a big-time player but he's taken 220 shots this year. his next closest teammate (justin bowen) has taken 107 shots. suffice to say, their offense is banks and more banks. the problem is that for as good as he's been over his career, he's only shooting 36% from the floor this season.

uic is getting no production from their bench right now. against cleveland state last saturday, the starters scored every single one of their 74 points. the bench did not contribute a point. in the first meeting between these two teams, their bench scored a grand total of 3 points.

perry watson is not afraid to go deep into his bench for detroit. in the first meeting, ten players saw double-figure minutes, and thats pretty common for them. 9 or 10 guys see good minutes.

illinois-chicago has won four straight, but they are averaging just 25 pts in the 1st half of their last four games. theyre not starting well. thats not a good sign vs a detroit team that is physical and aggressive on defense. titans led 30-24 at halftime of the first meeting.

detroit held uic to 35% shooting from the floor in the first meeting. detroit also held uic to 39% and 37% from the floor in the two meetings last year.

these teams are almost dead even statistically. but detroit holds a commanding edge in this series and they have proven that they can win on the road in chicago. detroit is 17-6 vs. illinois-chicago and not only took the earlier meeting this year, but also swept the season series last year from an illinois-chicago team that was 24-7 and went to the ncaa tournament.

bottom line:
both teams are upper-tier horizon teams. both are playing good basketball. but detroit's winning streak has come vs much better teams, theyre deeper than uic, they get production from their bench, and they do not fear playing at the UIC Pavilion. i expect this to be a low scoring game that detroit will ultimately win. im not down on uic -- im sure i will be playing 'on' them in the coming weeks. but right now, detroit is doing everything better and the titans are surging. it should continue tonight.
 

gman2

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other matchups:

cleveland state is tempting, as theyre playing pretty well of late. they played a solid 1st half against uic (tied at the break) but let the game get away from them in the 2nd half. problem is that milwaukee beat the piss outta csu twice last year in games that were never even close (won by 14 in cleveland and by 25 in milwaukee). so im not sure this is a good matchup for the vikings. uwm had an expected letdown vs wright state the other night, so i dont think theyll be going through the motions. csu is capable of covering this number, but ive been very selective with them and the two times ive played them this year theyve cashed so im not gonna fu.ck with a good thing. im already eyeing january 27th at the convocation center to be playing 'on' csu against butler. until then, ill pass. uwm is capable of smashing the vikes tonight.

green bay and loyola is a spread tossup. loyola is pretty damn bad, but uwgb isnt good enough to be laying almost double digits. green bay has been off since last saturday when the got smoked by milwaukee in a battle for 1st place. loyola played on monday, but its probably better to say that they, too, have been off since last weekend because they mailed it in against detroit. a definite pass.
 

gman2

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goat:

have a feeling akron wont be cheap on saturday. theyre playing great basketball right now and cmu is starting to slide toward the mac cellar. think we might be looking at akron -8.5 or -9. spang knows his akron basketball so look for his opinion on this one if he posts it on the weekend. best of luck goat
 
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