Thursday Luck ????

[Spock]

Hopefully Thursday will be better than sad Wed.

Toronto scored in bottom of 8 to push the bet.

NYY scored twice bottom 9 to win against Detroit (big dog)

Cards could not score a run with bases loaded and one out

Cleveland/Minny game scored 8 runs in 2 innings and that was end of the Under.

TB got hammered. Should have gone with San Diego.

Oakland/Anaheim : Hudson just horrible. Walked a lot and wonderin why manager let him pitch even after he was giving up so many hits in sixth innin or seventh not sure .. gave up 3 runs ..
If i get a push with todays luck I will consider it as a monumental achievement. 8 runs scored already bottom six .. aah there it is .. with 2 outs now runner on second and third .. double given up right now just after single given up .. . damn replace the pitcher coach ... get the third out ..

Damn .. now Oak bull pen gives up 3 more runs .. . .. . There goes the Under. If they keep this up tomorrow's Over in this series would be good.


Playing the following tomorrow :

1. Baltimore @ Toronto Under 9 = Push
(Best play )

2. Houston ML

3. White Sox @ KC Under 9

Good luck to all
Cheers !!!
Spock

 

[Spock]

Just spent 10 mins on a write up and deleted it by mistake :nono:

To put in short what I wanted to say :

1. Baltimore @ Toronto Under 9

The key here is that Carpenter has been pitchin well in last few starts. He has had only one start at Skydome where he went 7 innings w/o giving up a run.

Driskill has an ERA of 2.90 on the road which is significantly lower than his ERA @ home.

Toronto has never faced Driskill and may find it hard to score runs off him. Baltimore bats are not as hot as Toronto and Carpenter should have another good outing going at least 7 innings.

Both teams are averaging around 0.248% against RHP.

The Ump Dana Demuth is 7 - 13 Over / Under and has a good strike zone which should help the pitchers.

Get the total at 9. Takes 10 runs to lose and I see the final score with around 6-7 runs scored.



2. Houston

The key here is that Houston offence has been hot. Milwaukee on the other hand has been on a massive skid. Houston has won in all 2 of Munro's start.

Milwaukee is 3-8 in Wright's starts.

Out of 4 games this year I think Milwaukee has won 3 but I am paying more attention as to how the teams are playing recently.

Wright is 0-7 when starting against Houston with an ERA of 8.14
and a whip of 1.962
His team record is 1-9 in his starts against Houston.

Houston have had a lot of looks at Wright. Milwaukee on the other hand has not seen Munro. The Ump does favor the home team but I think Houston is the much better team here.

I think this is a good price and I think Houston wins this one by the score of : Houston 7 Milwaukee 3


3. White Sox @ Kansas City Under 9

The only thing which worries me here is the bad shape of the bull pens here. But hopefully they will manage to stink less.

Buehrle in 7 games against Kansas has an ERA of 2.44 and a whip of 1.250 .. The over is 5-2 .. The key here is that Byrd has been pitching very well. He is 0-3 Over / Under against White Sox with an ERA of 3.10 and a whip of 1.131

The Ump has a record of 8-10 Over / Under.

Today the game was high scoring. I think tomorrow will be a low scoring game. Takes 10 runs to take our money away from us.

Final Score : White Sox 3 Kansas City 4

Cheers !!!
Spock

 

[TIME TO MAKE $$$]

call my cell now please

 

[ndnfan]

Good luck today Mayur!

Congrats on winning the Carib contest

WTG....Very impressive.

 

[slvrblet]

GOOD LUCK MAYUR, AND THANKS FOR YOUR HELP...

 

[Spock]

Thanx pete .. mark ..

Anthony .. sorry did not see your post. Called u right now at 7:41 am on Thursday and left a msg on ur cell.

Hey not bad eh .. won the Carib contest

Good luck to all.

Cheers !!!
Spock

 

[Spock]

Adding

Atlanta ML

Atlanta has started to get back to winnin ways again after a slight hiccup. Glavine has lost his last 2 starts and must wanna win @ home today. Hopefully he will pitch better than his last time out. Florida not playin good ball .. Also they are on the road.
Tavarez not pitchin well and has high ERA.

Not laying a lot of wood to win one unit .. playing one unit ..

Cheers and good luck
Spock

 

[Spock]

***********************************************
UPDATE : After takin into account some of the views of the good
handicappers here i have to look at the Oak game more closely.
Will be back with update before game begins

***********************************************



Adding Anaheim @ Oakland Under 8

Zito pitchin really well. Sele's last 4 starts have gone over but dont think there will be a lot of scoring in this one.

Also the Ump is one of the best for Unders. I think he is something like 13 - 4 or so towards the Under.

Think this game will end in a score like 3 - 2 Oakland

Good luck
Cheers !!!
Spock

 

[Spock]

Adding :

Seattle @ Texas Under 10.5

Someone in the forum mentioned that the line changed from 10 to 10.5 .. a half point jump is a lot ..

Points to note :

1. Seattle has been hitting the ball well.
2. Texas manages to hit sometimes
3. Texas bull pen sux bigtime.

But I still like the Under @ -107

Baldwin has an ERA of 3.50 in his last 3 games.
Rogers has ERA of 4.58 in last 3 games.

After Rogers got hammered by Baltimore for 7 runs he came right back and gave up only 1 run against Minny in 7 innings. I think he will continue his good pitching tonight against Seattle.

Both pitchers are 1-2 Over/Under in last 3 games.

Seattle is batting at a hight % of 0.286 against left handed pitchers in last 3 games. Texas meanwhile is batting 0.229 against RHP.

The last 4 meetings have played Under.

The Ump is 6 - 11 Over / Under

Couple of other angles but no time to write.

I thing this game does not score more than 8 runs.

Good luck
Cheers !!!
Spock

 

[Spock]

I am buying back a bit of the Under play on Oakland ..

but sticking with the Under for a small play.

Good luck and Cheers !!!
Spock

 

[slvrblet]

something tells me that thats a good move

 

[Spock]

actually mark the line has moved on the Under from -105 to -119 @ Pinnacle .. looks like the big boys mebbe moving in on the Under.

 

[Spock]

Adding

San Diego @ LA Under 7.5
San Diego ML

The key here is that LA is strugglin .. LA night games tend to have low number of runs scored ..

Over the last 10 games

LA Over Under is 1 - 8
SD Over Under is 4 - 4

LA is hitting 0.218 against RHP
SD is hitting 0.208 against RHP

Coming along to the Pitchers.

Tomko is 8 - 11 Over / Under
Ashby is 7 - 10 Over / Under

Tomko ERA is 3.68
Ashby ERA is 3.68

The Ump is 7 - 10 Over / Under
Interesting note here is that the home team has won only 7 times in 17 games.

Both teams hit LHP well but do not hit RHP well .. add the slump of LA to that ..
and the Ump who favors the Under .. and I think this game should go Under with a total of 5 runs score ..

San Diego ML is also a good play in my opinion. Go against LA when they are in a free fall.

 

[Spock]

4 Wins 1 Push so far

Waitin for LA and Oak game to get over.

Have played :

Oak Under
LA Under
San Diego ML

Cheers !!!
Spock

 

[Spock]

7 - 0 - 1 yesterday

lets see if we have some good plays today

will be back ..

Cheers !!!
Spock