Thursday Night Info

WildBillPicks7

Move the line! I double dog dare you!!
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May 4, 2005
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Teams playing on Thursday Night this year............Last two weeks the rd team has won SU. New Orleans @ Carolina and Cleveburgh @ Cincypuke LW.

On the year home teams are 5-4 SU!! ON 2 game losing skid however.

Totals after 9 games, 7-2 Overs.

Miami on TNF, 3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS, 1-2 home, 0-2 as a fav, 0-2 vs Div, 1-3 off non-div opponent, lost on last play @ Detroit.

Buffalo on TNF, 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 1-1 away, 1-2 dog, 1-1 vs Div. 0-2 vs Opp off SU win, Miami lost on last play vs Detroit on Sunday.

Both teams 5-4 this year and in 2nd in Div and in the middle of wildcard possibilities.

GL on whatever you're playing this evening!!

Key injuries - Dolphins top OT Albert is out, Miller is probable at running back
Key injuries - Bills, RB Jackson iffy.

Info from King Creole : "Buffalo has defeated Miami in each of the last three meetings in this series (2-0 last year / 1-0 this year). So if any team has the added motivation of REVENGE, it?s the host on Thursday night. When I went into our Football database and ran a query based on the ?Big R?, here what I came up with:
21-3 ATS last 5 years: All DIVISION home favorites of > 3 points off a SU loss (MIAMI) and playing with REVENGE. In the last three seasons, these ?extra motivated? teams have gone a PERFECT 13-0 ATS. That query alone makes this play 2** worthy.
When we shorten our query to this division (AFC East) specifically, we get the following: 9-0-1 ATS since 1998: All AFC EAST Division home favorites of 3 > points with REVENGE off a SU loss (MIAMI) vs any fellow division opponent also of a SU loss (Buffalo).
Last week, there Dolphins lost (LATE) as a road dog versus Detroit. And Buffalo lost as a home favorite versus Kansas City... 12-2 ATS last 3 years: All NFL home favorites of > 2 points off a SU road DOG loss (DOLPHINS) versus any opponent off a SU home FAV loss (Buffalo). These teams have gone a PERFECT 6-0 ATS in same-division play?

When I was searching for a possible Over / Under angle in this game, I came across this: It pertains to teams like Miami who have gone UNDER the Total in each of their last four games?. 9-1-1 ATS last 4 years: All NFL home favorites in the 2nd half of the season (Game Eight >) off a SU loss and 4 or more ?UNDERS? in their last four games. These team have gone a perfect 5-0 ATS as favorites of < 8 pts (DOLPHINS).
MIAMI is a PERFECT 5-0 ATS at home when playing with Division REVENGE on the last four seasons?
BUFFALO is 1-6 ATS in the last six seasons as underdogs when playing ?into? Division Revenge.
The FAVORITE in this Miami / Buffalo SERIES has gone 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. "
 
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