thursday trends

shawn555

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Hot pitchers
-- McCarthy is 2-0, 0.36 in his last three starts.
-- Peavy is 5-1, 2.37 in his last seven starts.
-- Wood is 2-1, 3.08 in his last four starts.
-- San Diego won last four Cashner starts (3-0, 2.96). Zito is
-- Oakland won last three Griffin starts (2-0, 3.86). Giants are 6-0 in Zito home starts (3-0, 1.38).
-- Locke is 4-0, 1.67 in his last seven starts.

-- Phillies are 6-1 when Pettibone starts (3-0, 3.21).
-- Bronx won both of Nuno's starts (1-0, 1.64).
-- Bailey is 2-0, 1.64 in his last three starts.
-- Atlanta won last four Minor starts (3-0, 1.33).

-- Rays are 9-1 when Moore starts (2-0, 2.37 in last three). Nolasco is 1-0, 1.15 in his last couple starts.
-- Walters allowed two runs in six IP in his first '13 start.
-- Nicasio is 1-0, 1.64 in his last two starts.
-- Vargas is 3-0, 1.69 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Grimm is 2-3, 5.46 in his last five starts.

-- FHernandez is 0-2, 9.28 in his last two starts.
-- Fister is 1-2, 5.86 in his last five starts.

-- Morales is 1-1, 3.18 in five minor league starts this year; he was 3-4, 3.77 in nine MLB starts LY.
-- Nationals lost last three Haren starts (0-2, 6.00). FGarcia is 1-2, 5.66 in his last four starts.
-- Gee is 0-2, 9.35 in his last three starts.
-- Kazmir is 0-1, 7.62 in his last three starts.
-- Dickey is 2-4, 5.52 in his last seven starts.

-- Lohse is 0-4, 4.91 in his last five starts.
-- Guthrie is 0-3, 8.38 in his last three starts. Wacha is making MLB debut; he was 4-0, 2.05 in nine AAA starts (35 hits allowed in 52.2 IP).
-- Astros lost last five Harrell starts (0-4, 8.74).
-- Lilly is 0-1, 6.08 in three starts this season.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- McCarthy 4-10; Grimm 4-8
-- Peavy 1-9; Wood 1-10
-- FHernandez 2-11; Cashner 3-7
-- Griffin 1-10; Zito 3-10 (3 of last 3)
-- Fister 2-10; Locke 3-10

-- Morales 0-0; Pettibone 0-7
-- Haren 1-10; FGarcia 2-5
-- Gee 2-10; Nuno 0-2
-- Bailey 2-10; Kazmir 2-7
-- Dickey 4-11; Minor 3-10

-- Moore 4-10 (4 of last 5); Nolasco 4-11
-- Lohse 3-9; Walters 0-1
-- Guthrie 1-10; Wacha 0-0
-- Harrell 1-11; Nicasio 5-10
-- Lilly 2-3; Vargas 0-10

Totals
-- Over is 11-2-1 in Baltimore's last fourteen games.
-- Seven of last eleven Pirate games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Kazmir starts went over the total.
-- Three of last four Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Nine of last thirteen Kansas City games stayed under the total.

-- Eight of last ten Colorado games stayed under the total.
-- 23 of last 30 Tampa Bay games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Arizona road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in Griffin's last five starts.
-- Under is 7-2-2 in FHernandez starts.

-- Five of last seven Minor starts went over the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Pettibone starts.
-- Nine of Mets' last thirteen games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-1-3 in White Sox' last seven games.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Vargas starts.

Hot teams
-- Pirates won 12 of their last 15 games. Detroit won six of its last nine.
-- Reds won 14 of their last 18 games.
-- Twins won four of their last five games.
-- Cardinals won 21 of their last 27 games.
-- Rays won their last four games, scoring 28 runs.
-- A's won 11 of their last 12 games.
-- Atlanta won nine of its last twelve games.
-- Phillies are 10-6 in their last sixteen games.
-- Arizona won four of its last five games.
-- Mets won their last four games, allowing eight runs.
-- White Sox are 9-5 in their last fourteen games.
-- Angels won nine of their last eleven games.

Cold teams
-- Indians lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Orioles lost seven of their last ten home games. Washington lost five of its last six home games.
-- Brewers lost 12 of their last 15 games.
-- Royals lost 12 of their last 13 games.
-- Astros lost four of their last six games; Rockies lost four of last five.
-- Marlins lost 18 of their last 21 games.
-- Giants lost five of their last seven games.
-- Padres lost five of their last eight games. Mariners lost ten of last twelve.
-- Toronto lost five of its last eight road games.
-- Red Sox lost their last two games, scoring four runs.
-- Rangers lost their last three games, scoring ten runs.
-- Bronx lost six of its last eight games.
-- Cubs are 5-8 in their last thirteen games.
-- Dodgers lost eight of their last ten road games.

Umpires
-- Chi-Cubs-- Home team won last five Fagan games.
-- Sea-SD-- Favorites won nine of last eleven Bellino games.
-- A's-SF-- Underdogs are 24-18 in last 42 Iassogna games.
-- Det-Pitt-- Last five Gonzalez games went over the total.

-- Bos-Phil-- Seven of last nine Miller games stayed under.
-- Wsh-Balt-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Estabrook games.
-- NY-NY-- Favorites won six of last seven Johnson games.
-- Cin-Cle-- Favorites won five of last six Cooper games.
-- Tor-Atl-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Nauert games.

-- TB-Mia-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Layne games.
-- Mil-Min-- Six of last seven Baker games stayed under total.
-- KC-StL-- Five of last six Fletcher games stayed under total.
-- Hst-Col-- Underdogs/over are both 6-1 in last seven Davidson games.
-- LA-LA-- Five of last six Dreckman games went over the total
 
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shawn555

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Braves are 11-0 since May 2011 as a home 140+ favorite after a loss in which they used 5+ pitchers


Yankees are 0-10 OU since April 29, 2012 at home when
they are off a loss in which they never led and it is the last game of a series


Jake Peavy starts the White Sox are 0-13 since July
26, 2011 as a dog vs a team that has hit more grounders than fly balls season-to-date


Cardinals are 2-21 (+$2,458) since 2011 when on a 4+ game winning streak, if one of their last two wins was by more than one run and they used less than seven pitchers last game


Brewers are 0-8 since April 25, 2010 within 20 cents of pickem when they are off a loss in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs and it is the last game of a series


Blue Jays are 10-0 OU since August 28, 2009 as a 140+ dog after scoring 3 runs or less and winning as a dog



The Nationals are 1-24 with a line between -135 and +135 after a loss where they led by more than a run after five innings.
 

heleanth

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Thank you for posting the trends. Very helpful.

The CWS are not a dog today, they are favored against the Cubs. Also, shouldn't Peavy be listed in the hot pitchers, rather than cold?
 

shawn555

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Thank you for posting the trends. Very helpful.

The CWS are not a dog today, they are favored against the Cubs. Also, shouldn't Peavy be listed in the hot pitchers, rather than cold?

The cubs actually opened as a very small favorite.

And yeah Peavy was put in the wrong spot.
 
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