Thursday

[RTL]

(13-8-1) +5.85 units

Toronto Bluejays +128
Atlanta Braves & Philadelphia Phillies over 10 (-105)
Tampa Bay Devil Rays & New York Yankees under 10.5 (-105)

RTL

 

[tig3rs]

why the over play with the braves and phillies RTL?

 

[RTL]

Well, I'll give you 3 reasons:

1. The bats are due to wake up today after the first two games.

2. Eaton is very hittable.

3. The wind is blowing out today.

RTL

 

[Scoop Mackenzie]

and if this helps....


Over is 4-1 in Miller's last 5 games behind home plate.
Over is 4-1 in Miller's last 5 games behind home plate vs. Philadelphia.
Over is 16-7-1 in Phillies last 24 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 9-4 in Phillies last 13 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600
Over is 35-17 in Braves last 52 during game 3 of a series.
Over is 4-1 in James' last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-1 in James' last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
Over is 6-0-1 in Braves last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.


s c OO p

 

[RTL]

Thanks for the reinforcements Scoop!

RTL

 

[tig3rs]

the bats haven't been asleep, there were 16 hits yesterday, 11 walks, 18 left on base wednesday, 17h, 7bb, 17 lob monday.

the wind is blowing out huh? is that as big an issue as it is in cincy? who do you think will come in for relief of Eaton? they threw 5 guys yesterday and 4 on monday.

gl to you on the yankees under. det/tor cancelled, what a bummer, was looking forward to some easy dough there.

 

[RTL]

Okay, maybe I shouldn't have said, "The bats are due to wake up today." What I meant to say was, these two teams are due to score some runs today. Yes, the wind blowing out at CBP is a huge issue! That place is a launching pad when the weather is fair. James and Eaton both might get whiplash today. I have no idea who will relieve Eaton, and I don't care. Whoever it is, he better be prepared to get hit too. Yeah, I was sorry to see Detroit/Toronto get postponed. Easy money in my opinion.

RTL

 

[tig3rs]

maybe i'll buy back the 1-unit under i just took. gotta love matchbook, lose like 3 pts instead of 10 or 20.

 

[tig3rs]

i don't know how applicable those trends from covers are to this season since we're two games in, but okay... guess what, bought it back, line had moved 10 points each side, i'm now a tenth of a unit winner either way, go braves! RTL where you from?

 

[RTL]

Dude, you should stick to your guns. Don't let others, including me, dissuade you from making a bet. I'm from Arlington, Virginia.

RTL

 

[tig3rs]

well, no, i can totally see the wind adding runs, we had 3 homers last night with the wind blowing in. i stick to my guns 99% of the time, but if i see merit in the other side i seek out the most info i can on it and when i see i could be wrong i can be cautious, rather lose the juice (not in this case ) than lose the 2-unit play. especially when i'll be cheering the braves victory! thanks though. any of my plays you agree with solidly today?

 

[RTL]

Well, I will say one thing about your plays, you need to be careful about playing so much chalk. You don't have one dog on your card. I'm not saying you're wrong, but don't make a habit out of it. Based on your record, you seem to know what you're doing, so have confidence in your plays. I wish you the best of luck today, and every day this season!

RTL

 

[tig3rs]

Well, I will say one thing about your plays, you need to be careful about playing so much chalk. You don't have one dog on your card. I'm not saying you're wrong, but don't make a habit out of it. Based on your record, you seem to know what you're doing, so have confidence in your plays. I wish you the best of luck today, and every day this season!

RTL

well two of the plays are virtually even and i'm also playing but not posting the braves and reds, close to even one dog one fave. i didn't ask about them all together, i was saying do you have one that you like most? not looking for advice or help, just discussion to better us all.

 

[tig3rs]

chalk the reason i only played the runline for NYY

 

[RTL]

Kansas City Royals +160

RTL

 

[tig3rs]

i think you're nuts. you didn't watch Dice-K in spring training did you? maybe there'd be value if it was like +225

 

[RTL]

We shall see! Thanks for coming in my thread and calling me nuts. Now I know it's a winner!

RTL

 

[tig3rs]

i'd buy it back with BOS -1.5... but we shall see!

 

[tig3rs]

how'd you know the wind was blowing out in philly today? google earth and weather.com? or is there another site with weather related to baseball?

 

[RTL]

Washington Nationals & Arizona Diamondbacks under 8.5

RTL