I'm sure I'll pay for posting this and playing it this way, but Baltimore hasn't shown me that they have a break out game in them. I think Lamar is hurting more than is being made public--he certainly hasn't run the same way in recent games. And their defense is still porous. If Burrow is any kind of sharp, I see Cincy winning easily, and that's how I'm betting it. Good luck however you play it.