Thursday's best NHL bets

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Thursday's best NHL bets

Dallas Stars at Montreal Canadiens (-145, 5.5)

The Canadiens have had a couple days off to catch their breath before setting their sights on the NHL postseason.

Montreal currently sits in the eighth spot in the Eastern Conference, heading into Thursday?s game against the Stars. The Habs are coming off a 2-1 overtime loss to the New Jersey Devils and have just one win in their last four games.

"We have some time off and that will give the other teams a chance to catch up," Scott Gomez told the Montreal Gazette of the standings situation. Montreal has played 47 games, more than any other team in the NHL.

Gomez expects the break to "help some of the guys who are a little nicked up." The Canadiens had played well defensively during this skid, allowing just under two goals per game. However, the offense has stumbled, netting a combined five goals in those four games.

The break should get those goal scorers back on track. Dallas has given up more than three goals a game over their last five contests ? in which they are just 1-4.

Pick: Canadiens

Philadelphia Flyers at Toronto Maple Leafs (+125, 6)

The Maple Leafs wish they could rewind the clock back to 2009. While last year wasn?t great for Toronto, it was a lot nicer to the franchise than 2010 has been so far.

The Leafs have won just one game this New Year, going 1-5 heading into Thursday?s home tilt with the Philadelphia Flyers. Toronto?s most recent loss was a 4-2 defeat to the Carolina Hurricanes, the worst team in the NHL, Tuesday night.

The Maple Leafs scoring must be still suffering from a hangover from New Year?s Eve. In those six games in 2010, the team is averaging only 1.83 goals per contest and has played under the total in four of those outings.

Most of the fingers are pointing at slumping star Phil Kessel, who sparked the offense earlier in the season after coming over from the Boston Bruins in a trade this offseason. Kessel has just two assists during Toronto?s skid with a plus/minus rating of -2.

"He wants to score more than anybody, that's a special art he has and when you're not doing it you tend to internalize and beat yourself up," coach Ron Wilson told the Toronto Star after the loss to Carolina.

Wilson tried mixing up Kessel?s linemates in order to snap his scoring skid. He teamed with minor-league callup Tyler Bozak, who looked impressive with the big club. He set up Kessel up with three solid scoring opportunities, all of which were squandered by the fourth-year center.

Kessel isn?t alone in blowing his chances. The Leafs have outshot their opponents in 12 of the last 14 games, including smothering the Hurricanes with 40 shots to Carolina?s 18 Tuesday.

"You want to see more than two goals with the number of shots we had tonight," forward Lee Stempniak told the media.

Pick: Under
 

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Atlanta seeks continued dominance over Buffalo

Atlanta seeks continued dominance over Buffalo

Atlanta seeks continued dominance over Buffalo

After earning their first regulation victory in nearly two months, the Atlanta Thrashers are looking to end their four-game homestand with a winning record. Facing a Buffalo Sabres team that hasn?t had much success at Philips Arena could help Atlanta accomplish that goal. The Thrashers try to win their sixth straight at home over first-place Buffalo when the teams meet for the third time this season Thursday night.

Atlanta (20-19-6, 20-25 SU) dropped nine in a row before defeating the New York Rangers 2-1 in a shootout in the opener of this homestand last Thursday. The Thrashers were then blown out 8-1 by Washington on Saturday but rebounded to beat Ottawa 6-1 on Tuesday night.

They scored three times in the first period and got a goal and two assists from Ilya Kovalchuk in their first regulation win since defeating Florida 4-3 on Nov. 30, a span of 21 games. ?We worked hard in practice on battling hard and trying to get some crease goals,? right wing Chris Thorburn said. ?It paid off for us tonight.?

That practice session was unannounced, and it was called by coach John Anderson the day after the loss to the Capitals. ?As a coaching staff, it helps us teach because they were doing the things that we were asking,? Anderson said. ?When you get a few bounces here and there, that?s what creates confidence.? The Thrashers hope to use this confidence in being better than 3-9 in home games after playing a home game this season.

Atlanta has played with confidence at home against Northeast Division-leading Buffalo (28-11-5, 28-16 SU) in recent years, winning five straight and going 6-0-1 in the last seven meetings. The Sabres are 3-12-2 with a tie all-time at Atlanta.

The Thrashers are also 6-0-1 in the last seven overall matchups, going 1-0-1 in Buffalo this season, but Anderson tried to guard against overconfidence after Tuesday?s win. ?We?re still not exactly where we want to be,? he said. ?Baby steps.?

While the Thrashers had not won in regulation for quite some time, Buffalo has lost twice in regulation since early December. The Sabres went 12-2-3 in their last 17 games and 6-0-2 in their past eight.

Buffalo had its six-game win streak snapped with a 4-3 shootout loss to Colorado on Saturday. The Sabres erased a two-goal deficit in the third period but scored three times on 11 shootout attempts. ?We battled hard, and came out flying in the third,? said backup goalie Patrick Lalime, who was in search of his 200th win. ?That?s the way we should play all the time. We had a lot of great chances, but we just didn?t close the deal.?

Ryan Miller will likely be back in net Thursday for Buffalo, which opens a season-high seven-game road trip. The Sabres have won seven of their last nine away from home and are 6-1 in road games having won two of their last three games this season.

?(It gives you) an opportunity,? coach Lindy Ruff told the Sabres? official Web site. ?Other teams look at you and say, boy, this team?s going on the road for an extended period of time and we should be able to pick up some ground. We?d like to send the message that we don?t want anyone to pick up any ground on us. We want to play above .500 on the road.?

Bookmaker.com has Buffalo as -155 money line favorites, with total of Un6 and puck line (-1.5) of +200. The Sabres are 8-2 in road games after playing three consecutive contests on home ice and 13-5 ATS in January games over the last two seasons. Atlanta also plays well after multiple home games and is 12-5 after three straight in Phillips Arena over the last three seasons. The Thrashers have plenty of defensive shortcomings and are 12-3 OVER having lost eight or more of their last 10.

This Eastern Conference clash is on MSG and Sports South starting at 7 Eastern, with Buffalo 12-5 UNDER against teams allowing three or more goals per game.

Power Line ? Buffalo -191 and Under
 

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Today's NHL Picks

Today's NHL Picks

Today's NHL Picks
Dallas at Montreal
The Stars look to take advantage of a Montreal team that is 2-9 in its last 11 games versus the Western Conference. Dallas is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Stars favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+120).

Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, JANUARY 14
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 51-52: Ottawa at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 10.158; NY Rangers 10.960
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-180); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-180); Under
Game 53-54: Buffalo at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.266; Atlanta 10.644
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-140); 6
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-140); Over
Game 55-56: Philadelphia at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.115; Toronto 11.280
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-135); 6
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+115); Under
Game 57-58: Carolina at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.354; Detroit 11.606
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-200); Under
Game 59-60: Florida at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.586; Tampa Bay 11.699
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-140); Over
Game 61-62: Dallas at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.014; Montreal 10.973
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+120); Under
Game 63-64: Minnesota at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.870; St. Louis 11.745
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 65-66: Columbus at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 11.283; Chicago 12.174
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-300); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-300); Over
Game 67-68: New Jersey at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.093; Phoenix 11.172
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1/2;
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-130); 5
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+110);
Game 69-70: Pittsburgh at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 10.857; Edmonton 10.421
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-155); Under
Game 71-72: Boston at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 11.391; San Jose 13.000
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-210); 5
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-210); Under
Game 73-74: Anaheim at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 12.615; Los Angeles 11.564
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles -135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+115); Over
 
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