12:10 PM MLB [901] SFO GIANTS -1.5 -155 ( M BUMGARNER -L / A BLAIR -R )
02:20 PM MLB [904] CHI CUBS -1.5 +130 ( J URIAS -L / K HENDRICKS -R )
02:10 PM MLB [917] ARI DBACKS +130 ( Z GREINKE -R / D KEUCHEL -L )
1 unit bet pays 7.70 ....betdsi line ... evening parlay later (looking at Det, Phil, Cleve in 5, over Boston, Sparks)
MLB parlays: 6-55, -11.22 units units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...
Goood luck everyone!!
:firing: :toast:
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
Blair ran into a little trouble early, but settled down and managed to rack up a few quality innings. It?s a good sign to see Blair bounce back from his last effort in which he surrendered nine runs in 1 1/3 innings. Blair has an intriguing pedigree and repertoire....displayed better fastball command as he returned from the Minors to complete 5 2/3 innings against the Marlins on Saturday. Left-handed hitters have slashed .340/.448/.449 against the heralded prospect.
Madison Bumgarner is a must-play in cash games. After a ho-hum April (3.64 ERA), the Giants ace posted a 1.05 ERA with 45 whiffs in 42 2/3 innings in May, and now he gets a Braves team that's worst in baseball against lefty pitching (60 wRC+) while fanning 23 percent of the time. Bumgarner should cut through this lineup with ease.
Dallas Keuchel hasn't strung together multiple quality starts in a row even once this season, and the Diamondbacks don't go easy on left-handed pitching (.331 wOBA).
Though the bottom-line results weren't good, Ventura owners can be encouraged by the fact that he issued zero walks for the first time this season. Ventura's control -- he's averaging 5.3 walks per nine innings -- has been a significant factor in his poor performance. However, he's also struggled with diminished velocity and a decreased strikeout rate this season
The Yankees enter this game ranked 26th in the league in scoring, putting up 3.78 rpg, while also ranking 27th in hitting at .232 and 20th in homers with 55. The Yankees hit .221 overall on the road, including .202 vs lefties. New York averages 3.19 and allows 4.12 rpg on the road.
Pick: Over 9
I know that the Yankees have struggled to score, but that offense should have a nice time vs Matt Boyd, who has struggled as a starter in his career, while the Tigers as a team have allowed 5.40 rpg at home this year. Boyd probable won?t go past six innings in that game and that will bring into play a Detroit bullpen that has an 8.76 ERA in its last 10 games. Yikes. The Yanks hit lefties at a .257 clip on the road, compared to hitting righties at .207 away from home, so they should be in good shape to score so runs here. Detroit will also get their fair share of runs vs Michael Pineda, who has a 6.31 ERA on the road this year, an 8.59 ERA in his last three starts overall and a 5.56 ERA in two career starts here at Comerica. Both offenses should have a fun time in this one.
Matt Moore has been batted around this year (see his 5.31 ERA), but he's still missing bats (8.7 K/9), his walk rate (3.0 BB/9) is an improvement over his career mark (4.0 BB/9), and his matchup against Minnesota is close to ideal. Not only are the Twins the worst team in the AL against left-handed pitching (65 wRC+), they're whiffing 25 percent of the time.//Moore is inconsistent, but this is a lineup he should be able to handle with relative ease.
Pineda is interesting, in that some of his peripherals aren?t bad, and therefore some of his analytic numbers might indicate he?s more a victim of bad luck than anything else. Sorry, but I?ve been watching his games and this is one time where the metrics are off. Pineda has been pretty bad. Yeah, I know, his BABIP is insanely high, Pineda still owns an admirable BB/K ratio, so that 6.92 ERA is not really a good indicator. I get all that, and I normally subscribe to those theories. It?s entirely conceivable that there could be some progression due for Pineda. But until it starts to show, it?s either fade or stay away for me the Pineda pitches.
Michael Pineda upside and 10.0 K/9 rate. Whatever upside is still there, however, is drowned out by the very real downside that's left him with a 6.92 ERA, the worst in baseball among qualified starters. Pineda will have the platoon advantage against most of Detroit's lineup, but righty batters have hit him just as hard as lefty batters this season. Against a Tigers lineup that sports a .330 wOBA against righty pitching, Pineda figures to be in for another long night.
Wei-Yin Chen has been a viable SP when the matchup is right, but Thursday's matchup against Pittsburgh is wrong. The Pirates have hammered lefty pitching this season to the tune of a .343 wOBA, which ranks top-three in baseball, and he doesn't miss enough bats to offset the risk.
Gibson is set to be activated from the 15-day DL on Thursday to make his first start since April 22. He posted a 0.96 ERA in two rehab starts with Class A Advanced Fort Myers.
The Reds have found some success as of late, but they haven't won back-to-back games since May 6-7. Uh, no thanks. Have to side with the Rockies on their home field.
Simon is 0-2, 9.78 in his last four starts (over 4-0-1 in his last five).
Butler is 2-2, 4.88 in his five starts; three of his last four stayed under.
Cincinnati lost 13 of last 16 games; over is 11-4-2 in their last 17. Colorado lost seven of its last ten games (over 8-2).
Boston / Baltimore Over 9.5
Boston has been on a major upswing on the diamond for the past several weeks and they have taken control of first place in the A.L. East. They have been pummeling people with their offense and they should have no problem tearing up Ubaldo Jimenez. He is one of the worst starting pitchers in baseball and has been for six years. I seriously have no idea how this guy still has a job. His last four starts have all gone 'over,' and he's given up 23 runs in his last 17 innings. That's sustained awfulness. Rick Porcello is on the mound for the Sox. Here is a guy that is clearly pitching over his head. He has had an ERA of at least 4.30 in five of the past six years. Yet right now he's at 3.68. He's gotten hit for at least four runs in two of his last three starts, and the cracks are showing. Expect another high-scoring shootout from these two teams on Friday and play this one 'over'.
02:20 PM MLB [904] CHI CUBS -1.5 +130 ( J URIAS -L / K HENDRICKS -R )
02:10 PM MLB [917] ARI DBACKS +130 ( Z GREINKE -R / D KEUCHEL -L )
1 unit bet pays 7.70 ....betdsi line ... evening parlay later (looking at Det, Phil, Cleve in 5, over Boston, Sparks)
MLB parlays: 6-55, -11.22 units units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...
Goood luck everyone!!
:firing: :toast:
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
Blair ran into a little trouble early, but settled down and managed to rack up a few quality innings. It?s a good sign to see Blair bounce back from his last effort in which he surrendered nine runs in 1 1/3 innings. Blair has an intriguing pedigree and repertoire....displayed better fastball command as he returned from the Minors to complete 5 2/3 innings against the Marlins on Saturday. Left-handed hitters have slashed .340/.448/.449 against the heralded prospect.
Madison Bumgarner is a must-play in cash games. After a ho-hum April (3.64 ERA), the Giants ace posted a 1.05 ERA with 45 whiffs in 42 2/3 innings in May, and now he gets a Braves team that's worst in baseball against lefty pitching (60 wRC+) while fanning 23 percent of the time. Bumgarner should cut through this lineup with ease.
Dallas Keuchel hasn't strung together multiple quality starts in a row even once this season, and the Diamondbacks don't go easy on left-handed pitching (.331 wOBA).
Though the bottom-line results weren't good, Ventura owners can be encouraged by the fact that he issued zero walks for the first time this season. Ventura's control -- he's averaging 5.3 walks per nine innings -- has been a significant factor in his poor performance. However, he's also struggled with diminished velocity and a decreased strikeout rate this season
The Yankees enter this game ranked 26th in the league in scoring, putting up 3.78 rpg, while also ranking 27th in hitting at .232 and 20th in homers with 55. The Yankees hit .221 overall on the road, including .202 vs lefties. New York averages 3.19 and allows 4.12 rpg on the road.
Pick: Over 9
I know that the Yankees have struggled to score, but that offense should have a nice time vs Matt Boyd, who has struggled as a starter in his career, while the Tigers as a team have allowed 5.40 rpg at home this year. Boyd probable won?t go past six innings in that game and that will bring into play a Detroit bullpen that has an 8.76 ERA in its last 10 games. Yikes. The Yanks hit lefties at a .257 clip on the road, compared to hitting righties at .207 away from home, so they should be in good shape to score so runs here. Detroit will also get their fair share of runs vs Michael Pineda, who has a 6.31 ERA on the road this year, an 8.59 ERA in his last three starts overall and a 5.56 ERA in two career starts here at Comerica. Both offenses should have a fun time in this one.
Matt Moore has been batted around this year (see his 5.31 ERA), but he's still missing bats (8.7 K/9), his walk rate (3.0 BB/9) is an improvement over his career mark (4.0 BB/9), and his matchup against Minnesota is close to ideal. Not only are the Twins the worst team in the AL against left-handed pitching (65 wRC+), they're whiffing 25 percent of the time.//Moore is inconsistent, but this is a lineup he should be able to handle with relative ease.
Pineda is interesting, in that some of his peripherals aren?t bad, and therefore some of his analytic numbers might indicate he?s more a victim of bad luck than anything else. Sorry, but I?ve been watching his games and this is one time where the metrics are off. Pineda has been pretty bad. Yeah, I know, his BABIP is insanely high, Pineda still owns an admirable BB/K ratio, so that 6.92 ERA is not really a good indicator. I get all that, and I normally subscribe to those theories. It?s entirely conceivable that there could be some progression due for Pineda. But until it starts to show, it?s either fade or stay away for me the Pineda pitches.
Michael Pineda upside and 10.0 K/9 rate. Whatever upside is still there, however, is drowned out by the very real downside that's left him with a 6.92 ERA, the worst in baseball among qualified starters. Pineda will have the platoon advantage against most of Detroit's lineup, but righty batters have hit him just as hard as lefty batters this season. Against a Tigers lineup that sports a .330 wOBA against righty pitching, Pineda figures to be in for another long night.
Wei-Yin Chen has been a viable SP when the matchup is right, but Thursday's matchup against Pittsburgh is wrong. The Pirates have hammered lefty pitching this season to the tune of a .343 wOBA, which ranks top-three in baseball, and he doesn't miss enough bats to offset the risk.
Gibson is set to be activated from the 15-day DL on Thursday to make his first start since April 22. He posted a 0.96 ERA in two rehab starts with Class A Advanced Fort Myers.
The Reds have found some success as of late, but they haven't won back-to-back games since May 6-7. Uh, no thanks. Have to side with the Rockies on their home field.
Simon is 0-2, 9.78 in his last four starts (over 4-0-1 in his last five).
Butler is 2-2, 4.88 in his five starts; three of his last four stayed under.
Cincinnati lost 13 of last 16 games; over is 11-4-2 in their last 17. Colorado lost seven of its last ten games (over 8-2).
Boston / Baltimore Over 9.5
Boston has been on a major upswing on the diamond for the past several weeks and they have taken control of first place in the A.L. East. They have been pummeling people with their offense and they should have no problem tearing up Ubaldo Jimenez. He is one of the worst starting pitchers in baseball and has been for six years. I seriously have no idea how this guy still has a job. His last four starts have all gone 'over,' and he's given up 23 runs in his last 17 innings. That's sustained awfulness. Rick Porcello is on the mound for the Sox. Here is a guy that is clearly pitching over his head. He has had an ERA of at least 4.30 in five of the past six years. Yet right now he's at 3.68. He's gotten hit for at least four runs in two of his last three starts, and the cracks are showing. Expect another high-scoring shootout from these two teams on Friday and play this one 'over'.
